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On March 6th, UBS released a research report stating that Bilibili (BILI.O)s revenue in the fourth quarter of last year rose 8% year-on-year, exceeding the banks and market expectations by 2%. The advertising business performed particularly well, with year-on-year growth accelerating to 27%, exceeding the banks and market expectations by 3% to 4%. Gross margin expanded by 97 basis points year-on-year to 37.4%, in line with the banks and market expectations. The report noted that Bilibili repurchased $14.7 million worth of shares in the fourth quarter, with a remaining quota of $68.8 million. The bank believes the group should be able to complete the share repurchase before the expiration date in November this year. The bank expects the market to initially react positively to the strong fourth-quarter results, especially the significantly higher-than-expected advertising revenue, which the bank describes as a high-quality performance. The bank maintains its target price of $40.5 for Bilibili (BILI.O) shares and a "Buy" rating.Market news: A U.S. judge will hold a closed-door "settlement meeting" on Friday regarding the Trump tariff refund case, meeting with relevant parties.On March 6th, Nicholas Gwee, portfolio strategist at RBC Wealth Management, stated that Japan faces greater challenges than other countries in the region given the Middle East conflict, as Japan is a net importer of oil. He noted, "Over 90% of Japans imported crude oil comes from the Middle East, with over 60% transported through the Strait of Hormuz. Japan also relies on Middle Eastern supplies of liquefied natural gas and naphtha." Gwee stated that if the conflict continues, the sectors most affected include banking and financial services, aviation and transportation, shipping, energy-intensive manufacturing, refining and petrochemicals, as well as electronics and export-oriented industries. He added, "If the conflict drags on and restricts energy supplies, the Japanese stock market will continue to be under pressure."The Indian government has mandated that all refineries operating in India should maximize the production of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) from propane and butane fractions and supply it to IOCL, HPCL, and BPCL.On March 6th, Futures reported that gold prices rose and then fell this week. As of March 5th, the domestic 99.99% spot gold price was 1151.26 yuan/gram. The evolution of the Middle East geopolitical situation has a mixed impact on gold. Firstly, the escalating geopolitical fragmentation has led to a decrease in market risk appetite, supporting gold and thus driving up precious metal prices. Meanwhile, rising oil prices may lead to increased global energy costs, which in turn will push up inflation through the supply chain. Gold, due to its natural monetary characteristics, serves as a hedge against inflation and receives price support. Secondly, this event represents Trumps move to strengthen the dollars dominance in the global oil trade system, stimulating the US dollar index and indirectly putting downward pressure on gold prices. Looking ahead, the macroeconomic outlook remains mixed. It is recommended to pay attention to the power struggle between Trump and the Supreme Court over global tariffs and tariff refunds, US non-farm payroll and CPI data, and further developments in the Middle East geopolitical situation. Gold is expected to experience wide fluctuations in the short term.

BTC Fear & Greed Index Falls Despite BTC Avoiding Sub-$16,000

Jimmy Khan

Nov 24, 2022 15:40

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Bitcoin (BTC) increased by 2.44% on Wednesday. BTC finished the day at $16,613 after rising by 2.87% on Tuesday. For the first time in three sessions, BTC avoided trading below $16,000.


BTC dropped to a low of $16,168 early in the morning following a mixed day's start. BTC surged to a late high of $16,682, avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $15,791. At $16,469, the First Major Resistance Level (R1) was breached by BTC, which ultimately closed the day at $16,613.


On Wednesday, FTX contagion risk decreased even further, supporting the cryptocurrency market desperately needed. Former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried boosted investor hopes after learning that the company had cash reserves of $1.24 billion.


Bankman-Fried wrote in a letter to the staff, "Perhaps there still remains a chance to preserve the company. I think there are many billions of dollars in sincere interest from new investors that could be used to compensate customers. But since I have no control over it, I can't guarantee you anything.


The letter came after news that Justin Sun of Tron and Brad Garlinghouse of Ripple were interested in buying FTX assets. Investors are hopeful that the collapse of FTX will have a minimal effect on creditors given the stated cash holding of $1.24 billion.


The FOMC meeting minutes provided more assistance for the cryptocurrency market overnight. Before the holidays, talk of letting up on the gas helped riskier assets, with the NASDAQ Composite Index increasing by 0.99%. The US economic data underwhelmed, though, restricting the NASDAQ's potential growth.


Since the US markets are closed for Thanksgiving, there are no US statistics to take into account today.