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Futures commentary by Everbright Futures: Precious metals are experiencing significant volatility. With two trading days remaining overseas during the New Years holiday, short-term speculation warrants caution. The Federal Reserve meeting minutes show that most participants believed further interest rate cuts might be appropriate if inflation gradually declines as expected; most supported a December rate cut, with those supporting it generally citing increased downside risks to employment in recent months; most believed rate cuts would help prevent a deterioration in the labor market, while some officials pointed to the risk of rising inflation. A Federal Reserve survey indicates that respondents expect net purchases of approximately $220 billion in the first 12 months after the start of the purchase program. Geopolitically, the Russia-Ukraine conflict shows signs of further deterioration, with Saudi Arabias airstrike on Mukalla port and the situation in Yemen escalating further; safe-haven demand may influence gold prices.On December 31, the National Committee of the Chinese Peoples Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) held a New Years tea party at the CPPCC Auditorium. Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee, President of the Peoples Republic of China, and Chairman of the Central Military Commission, delivered an important speech. In his speech, he pointed out that 2025 will be an extraordinary year. We have overcome difficulties and worked hard to successfully achieve the main goals of economic and social development. my countrys economy has forged ahead under pressure, developing in a new and superior direction, demonstrating strong resilience and vitality. The growth rate is expected to reach around 5%, continuing to rank among the worlds leading major economies, with the total economic output expected to reach around 140 trillion yuan. Significant achievements have been made in scientific and technological innovation, the construction of a modern industrial system has continued to advance, and new-quality productive forces have developed steadily. New steps have been taken in reform and opening up, peoples livelihoods have been better guaranteed, and the overall social situation has remained stable.December 31st, Futures.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures prices tended to consolidate in the recent intraday trading session. Although the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showed a negative signal, and the oversold condition appeared excessive compared to price action, suggesting that bearish momentum is rapidly weakening. Meanwhile, positive support remains in place as prices continue to trade above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA50). The trendline-following pattern remains unchanged, dominated by a short-term bullish corrective wave.December 31st, Futures.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures fell in recent intraday trading after the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showed a negative signal after reaching overbought territory. This pullback aims to accumulate momentum and digest previous gains. This decline occurred against the backdrop of continued dynamic support, specifically as prices remain above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA50), which reinforces the stability and dominance of the short-term bullish corrective trend. In particular, the current price action continues along the support trendline, meaning the possibility of a price recovery in the near future remains.December 31st, Futures.com analysts latest view: International spot gold rose in recent intraday trading, gaining bullish momentum by stabilizing at the key support level of $4350, thus achieving the current cautious gains. However, as the price is still trading below the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA50), the resulting negative pressure limits the possibility of a strong rebound in the short term, and the market is currently still dominated by a bearish corrective wave. Accompanying this cautious rise, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown a negative signal after escaping oversold territory, indicating that the bearish trend may return. This means that any current rise may only be a temporary correction, after which gold may face selling pressure again.

BTC Eyes Sub-$19,000 with ETH Facing a Fall to Sub-$1,450

Cory Russell

Sep 06, 2022 16:03

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Bitcoin (BTC) increased by 0.85% on Sunday. BTC gained 2.21% to reach $20,03 at the close of the week, reversing a Saturday decline of 0.68%. BTC rebounded from a low of $19,589 to a high of $20,039 in the last hour before easing down.


Ethereum (ETH), which had lost 1.14% on Saturday, gained 1.35% on Sunday to close the week up 10.73% at $1,579.


Following the general market, ETH dropped to a low of $1,541 before reaching a high of $1,584 in the last hour. Investor anticipation of the impending Merge offered assistance, while Fed apprehension maintained ETH below $1,600.


Despite the US markets being closed for Labor Day, investor caution dominated the cryptocurrency market going into the Monday session. Investors in cryptocurrencies are in the dark about the Fed's rate rise in September.


Although the US job market statistics from last week were worse than anticipated, inflation is still much higher than the Fed's target, which signals front-loading for the rest of the year. After Friday's statistics, former Fed Chair and US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen emphasized the Fed's obligations. The remarks made by Yellen are still relevant.

Bitcoin Price Action (BTC)

BTC was worth $19,746 at the time of writing, a decline of 1.28%. BTC saw a negative morning, dropping from a high of $20,060 to a low of $19,637.


At $19,715, BTC momentarily breached the First Major Support Level (R1).

Technical Significance

In order to support a run at the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $20,165, BTC must cross the pivot point at $19,877. To break beyond the morning high of $20,060, BTC requires support from a larger portion of the market.


BTC would challenge the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $20,327 and resistance at $20,500 during a prolonged crypto rise. At $20,777, the Third Major Resistance Level (R3) is located.


If the pivot is not moved through, the First Major Support Level (S1) at $19,715 remains in play. In the absence of a prolonged sell-off, BTC should stay above $19,000. The decline should be constrained by the Second Major Support Level at $19,427.