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On July 3, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde hinted on July 2 that she did not rule out the possibility of resigning her current post and running in next years French presidential election. In an interview that day, when asked if she would consider leaving office early if the eurozone inflation situation stabilized, Lagarde replied, "Possibly. I think there should be a European voice in the French presidential election." She also commented on Frances relationship with the EU, stating that if a presidential candidate raises the idea of "reducing Frances involvement in the EU" during election debates, someone needs to explain to voters that this path is not easy. "France will have to make bold decisions on thorny issues," she said, adding that voters expect to be told the truth and offered solutions, and "presidential candidates have a responsibility to examine these issues and propose solutions." When asked whether she would support a candidate or run herself, Lagarde initially answered "Im considering it," but then quickly corrected herself, saying she was joking.Indias final composite PMI for June was 57.1, compared to 57.4 in the previous month.On July 3rd, Faraday Future (FFIE.O) issued a statement clarifying that it has noticed false information circulating on some online platforms claiming that FFs Los Angeles headquarters is deserted. The statement clarified that FFs Hanford factory has not closed, and the relocation of its global headquarters to El Segundo, Los Angeles, is a normal process. The location of the video circulating online is FFs former headquarters in Gardena, which ceased to be used by FF at the end of March this year.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially determined that a magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at 12:44 on July 3 in Haixi Prefecture, Qinghai Province (37.86 degrees north latitude, 95.40 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.On July 3rd, UBS released a research report stating that it recently invited Innovent Biologics (01801.HK) to participate in its virtual healthcare roadshow. Following strong product sales in the first quarter, management stated that sales momentum remained solid in the second quarter, viewing it as the new normal rather than a new shock, primarily supported by high unmet demand in its innovative product portfolio. Regarding GLP-1 drugs, management did not feel pressured by tightening online channels, noting that the recent 618 e-commerce event showed healthy demand across the category. UBS has included Pfizers licensing revenue and abexilic acid sales in its forecasts. However, considering the R&D commitments of the collaborative assets, it increased its R&D expense forecasts for 2026-2028, resulting in a downward revision of its 2026-2028 EPS forecasts from RMB 1.13, RMB 2.91, and RMB 4.41 to RMB 1.12, RMB 2.41, and RMB 3.42, respectively. UBS slightly raised its target price for Innovent Biologics from HKD 124 to HKD 124.1, reiterating its buy rating.

Australia welcomes "Freedom Day", and the Australian dollar rises to a new one-month high! Target or aim 0.74

Oct 26, 2021 11:01

On Monday (October 11), the Australian dollar rose to a one-month high against the backdrop of a surge in commodity prices. At the same time, the Australian dollar was also supported by the relaxation of restrictions on the epidemic in Australia’s most populous state of New South Wales.


Sydney reopens


Sydney’s cafes, gyms and restaurants welcomed fully vaccinated customers on Monday after being locked down for nearly four months, because Australia’s goal is to start coexisting with the coronavirus and gradually reopen with a high vaccination rate.

Dominic Perrottet, Governor of New South Wales (NSW), told reporters in the state capital of Sydney: "I think this is a day of freedom. This is a day of freedom. We are leading the country out of this. A pandemic, but it will be a challenge."

Perrottet warned that infections will increase after the reopening, and virus-free states such as Western Australia and Queensland are paying attention to the situation of the epidemic because of concerns that the health system may be overwhelmed.

Perrottet has announced the end of the New South Wales blockade and strongly supports the reopening of Sydney. Since the outbreak of the highly contagious Delta virus in mid-June, more than 5 million residents of Sydney have been severely restricted.

The epidemic has since spread to Melbourne and Canberra, forcing these cities to lock down, although the number of cases in New South Wales is declining.

As the scope of vaccination expands, Australia plans to gradually return to normal, allowing fully vaccinated residents to freely enter and leave the country from November. Australia closed its international borders in March 2020, helping to keep its coronavirus population at a relatively low level.

The outlook for the Australian dollar


OCBC Bank analysts believe that the Australian dollar against the US dollar may target 0.7400 after closing above 0.7300 last week.

"Australian Treasury bond yields underperformed U.S. bonds, providing the Australian dollar with some additional support in addition to risk sentiment," the analyst added.

In addition, Credit Suisse analysts predict that the downtrend line of approximately 0.7365 in 2021 will limit its rebound.

He said that the Australian dollar has broken through the resistance level 0.7312/17, which means that it will be revised upwards to the 2021 downward trend line 0.7365 in the short term. Since then, the support level was initially seen at 0.7291/87, below this level will confirm a fall to a lower level, and retest the 0.7179/70 low.

A break below the low of 0.7179/70 should clear the way for another test of the main support level of 0.7126/06 and extend it down to the 0.7053 and 0.6991 levels. A break below the latter marks a significant change in the trend towards a downward trend.

(Australian dollar against the dollar daily chart)

GMT+8 22:26, the Australian dollar was quoted at 0.7367 against the US dollar.