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Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures group: There seems to be some profit-taking in the oil market due to concerns that OPEC will increase production by more than expected.July 5, Swissquote senior market analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya: The preference for the US dollar is weakening. First, concerns about US debt are rising, and second, the preference for US debt is facing risks. Another reason is that the tariff situation and trade disruptions will have a negative impact on US economic growth, and the Federal Reserve may not be able to support the economy when inflation risks rise.July 5th news: On July 4th local time, a federal judge in the United States briefly halted the Trump administrations plan to deport eight immigrants to South Sudan in order to buy time for their lawyers to state their claims in a Massachusetts court.On July 5, institutional analyst Javier Blas said that OPEC+ representatives are discussing a fourth consecutive increase of 411,000 barrels per day, but there is also the possibility of a "slightly larger" increase. According to the increased UAE quota, OPEC+ will return about 2.5 million barrels per day of production to the market. So far, about 1.4 million barrels per day have been returned (one increase of 138,000 barrels per day and three increases of 411,000 barrels per day). Next, the remaining increase may be divided into three monthly increases (two 411,000 barrels per day and one about 275,000 barrels per day). But it is also possible to accelerate the increase in production and make two increases of about 550,000 barrels per day.French President Emmanuel Macron: Airbus and Malaysia Airlines have reached a "historic" cooperation agreement. (Previously, AirAsia Bhd. reached a preliminary agreement with Airbus to purchase up to 70 Airbus SE extended-range jets, a transaction valued at $12.3 billion.)

Asian stocks follow Wall Street higher ahead of Fed meeting

LEO

Oct 25, 2021 14:07

By Kevin Buckland and Kane Wu

TOKYO (Reuters) - Asian stocks rose on Tuesday, tracking Wall Street's advance to record highs, as investors anticipated the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks meeting this week will keep policies accommodative to help drive a post-pandemic global economic recovery.

European shares looked set to extend the global rally, with pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% and FTSE futures 0.5% higher in early deals. On Monday, the STOXX 600 index touched its highest level in more than a year before ending flat. E-mini futures for the S&P 500 edged up 0.04%.

An index of Asia-Pacific share markets excluding Japan strengthened 0.69%, led by a 1.2% jump in Australia's benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index.

Japan's Nikkei 225 gained 0.5% to just below the closely watched 30,000 mark, while the broader Topix added 0.65%.

China's blue chip CSI 300 index climbed 0.55%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng gained 0.46%.

"The rally in stocks has to do with expectations that as we hear from central banks this week, they'll be reiterating a message they've already made clear, which is they are unconcerned about the inflation outlook," said Michael McCarthy, chief markets strategist at CMC Markets in Sydney.

"Whether or not that will last is a key question. We’ve seen sentiment reverse sharply several times over the past two or three weeks, particularly in bond markets. But for right now, the sun is shining and equity gains reflect that."

On Monday, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both soared on gains in travel stocks as mass vaccinations in the United States and congressional approval of a $1.9 trillion aid bill fueled investor optimism.

Longer-term U.S. Treasury yields slipped further on Tuesday, as the market looked ahead to government debt auctions and the Fed's two-day policy meeting, which will conclude on Wednesday.

The benchmark 10-year yield, which reached a more than one-year high of 1.642% last week, was back at 1.125%.

The earlier surge in yields stemmed from investors speculating that rising inflation expectations could prompt the Federal Open Market Committee to signal it will start raising rates sooner than expected.

Fed policymakers are expected to forecast that the U.S. economy will grow in 2021 by the fastest rate in decades, as it recovers from a coronavirus-stricken 2020.

The Bank of England also meets this week on Thursday, while the Bank of Japan wraps up a two-day gathering on Friday.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 174.82 points, or 0.53%, to 32,953.46, the S&P 500 gained 25.6 points, or 0.65%, to 3,968.94 and the Nasdaq Composite remained unchanged to 0.00.

Airline shares rose as the companies pointed to concrete signs of an industry recovery as vaccine rollouts help spur leisure bookings.

The outlook for post-pandemic recoveries continued to diverge between the U.S. and Europe.

President Joe Biden's order to make vaccination available to all adults by May 1 contrasted with stuttering rollouts in Germany, France and elsewhere, where use of the AstraZeneca (NASDAQ:AZN) vaccine has been suspended due to concerns over possible serious side effects.

However, Kyle Rodda, an analyst at IG Markets, said the prospect of a slower economic recovery in Europe didn't appear to be a major handicap for investors.

"It doesn't seem to be the view that this is a real risk," he said. "Investors are wary, but not worried."

In currencies, the U.S. dollar held small gains from overnight, with caution evident ahead of the central bank meetings.

The greenback was largely flat at 109.19 yen, after rising as high as 109.365 on Monday for the first time since June.

The euro was little changed at $1.1930, languishing for an eighth session below the closely watched $1.20 level.

Bitcoin continued its slide from a record high of $61,781.83 reached on Saturday, last trading 2.42% weaker on the day at around $54,304.


U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for April changed hands at $64.81 a barrel, down 58 cents. Brent crude futures for May stood at $68.31 a barrel, losing 57 cents.