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July 19th - According to NewsNation: US President Trump reiterated that Iran "cannot and should not have nuclear weapons." After Iran announced a suspension of its commitments under the interim agreement, Trump stated that he "doesnt care at all."Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi and Iraqi Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein held a telephone conversation to discuss the situation in the Middle East and bilateral cooperation.U.S. Commerce Secretary Rutnick: The United States has reached a very good agreement on the Gordi Howe International Bridge (the U.S.-Canada transnational bridge). The United States will receive 50% of the net revenue up to 2041 and will have a say in setting tolls.According to the New York Times, U.S. officials said that Iranian attacks on U.S. military bases in Jordan damaged several U.S. helicopters and injured dozens of U.S. personnel.July 19th - According to the Wall Street Journal, the U.S. labor market remains robust according to most key indicators. However, nearly two million Americans have been unable to find work for at least six months. Data from the U.S. Department of Labor shows that in June, the number of long-term unemployed (unemployed for 27 consecutive weeks or more) accounted for 27.3% of the total unemployed, up 4 percentage points from a year ago. This proportion is close to its highest level since the end of 2021. Because the overall unemployment rate remains low, the size of the long-term unemployed population is not yet sufficient to cause a substantial shock to the economy. However, analysts say its ripple effects are accumulating. Preston Mooy, senior economist at Employ America, said, "We havent seen large-scale layoffs in the past few years, so the number of short-term unemployed has remained relatively stable. But at the same time, hiring activity has seen a fairly significant decline." Even if some long-term unemployed people find new jobs, the weak hiring environment means more people are constantly joining the long-term unemployed group, keeping this number consistently high.

Asian Markets Exhale An Exhalation of Relief Following The Ueda Hearing

Aria Thomas

Feb 24, 2023 11:21

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Asian markets heaved a sigh of relief on Friday after the incoming head of Japan's central bank allayed concerns of an early end to ultra-loose monetary policy, which pushed global bond yields lower.


Kazuo Ueda, who will succeed Haruhiko Kuroda as governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) in April, began a three-hour speech to parliament at 9:30 a.m. (00:30 GMT), providing markets with their first look at how the newly constituted central bank might navigate an exit from ultra-low interest rates.


Ueda has pledged to maintain ultra-loose monetary policy because inflation has yet to meet the central bank's 2% target sustainably and steadily, and there was little indication that he would soon unwind the BOJ's yield curve control policy (YCC).


"There have been strong hopes that Ueda will bring a hawkish slant to the BOJ, but his confirmation speech indicates otherwise," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index.


Ueda's confirmation hearing in the lower house occurs as markets renew their assault on YCC and place wagers on a near-term increase in interest rates.


The yield on Japan's five-year government bonds decreased to 0.235% from 0.240% at the previous market close. Due to a lack of liquidity, ten-year bonds did not trade early on Friday, but bond futures advanced.


The Nikkei stock index increased by 1%.


The yen remained volatile. It reversed an early rise to trade at 134.71 per dollar, essentially unchanged.


Sean Callow, senior currency strategist at Westpac, stated, "Overall, Ueda is working hard to present himself as delivering continuity - at least initially." "Now is not the moment for him to implement his own policies; that is not why the government chose him."


Japan's annual core consumer inflation reached a new 41-year high of 4.2% in January, putting pressure on the central bank to wind down its vast stimulus program.


In other markets, equities were mixed. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific equities excluding Japan fell 0.2% and is on track for a 1.5% weekly decline.


Chinese blue chips and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 0.4% and 0.9%, respectively, while Australia's resource-rich stocks rose 0.2%.


The Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq Composite all ended Thursday in positive territory, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 0.33%, the S&P 500 gaining 0.53%, and the Nasdaq Composite gaining 0.7%.


Investors anticipated the publication of the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index for January on Friday. The index is anticipated to rise 4.3% annually, compared to 4.4% the previous month.


Overnight, robust data, including an unexpected decline in new unemployment claims and a revised increase in the PCE price index for the fourth quarter, indicated some economic strength.


The dollar index, which compares the safe-haven dollar to six other currencies, was hovering at 104.63, close to a seven-week high of 104.78.


On Friday, Treasury yields declined marginally. The yield on benchmark 10-year government bonds fell as low as 3.8590 percent, down from the previous close of 3.8810 percent.


The yield on two-year bonds hovered at 4.6810 percent, compared to the previous close of 4.6930 percent.


Brent crude futures rose 0.6% to $82.71 and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 0.6% to $75.90 on the energy market.


Gold was marginally greater. The spot price of gold was $1825.13 per ounce.