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On January 14th, Brian Martin, Head of G3 Economy Research at ANZ Bank, stated that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged in January, but the view that the rate-cutting cycle is on a long-term pause lacks a reasonable basis. He believes the Fed should resume rate cuts soon, with the committee likely to lower the federal funds target rate by 25 basis points in March and another 25 basis points in June, bringing the target rate down to 3.00%-3.25% by mid-year. Martin pointed out that as the impact of previous tariffs on price increases fades, wage growth slows, and housing inflation cools, US inflation will gradually moderate by 2026.A Bank of Korea official stated that the USD/KRW exchange rate above 1400 is inconsistent with economic fundamentals.On January 14th, it was reported that seven departments, including the China Meteorological Administration, jointly issued the "Guiding Opinions on Strengthening Collaborative Development and Promoting High-Quality Development of Health and Wellness Meteorological Services." The "Guiding Opinions" propose that by 2027, a nationwide collaborative and vertically integrated health and wellness meteorological technology innovation and service framework will be basically established; by 2030, a relatively complete health and wellness meteorological technology innovation and service business system will be formed, significantly improving the efficiency of collaborative development across the entire health and wellness chain and multiple fields. The "Guiding Opinions" also propose strengthening meteorological services for population health, providing refined services to different groups. Various departments will strengthen the risk prevention and control product system, providing refined risk warning services to the public, medical institutions, and elderly care institutions based on region, season, and population; collaboratively promote the prevention and control of allergenic pollen and other pollen allergens, jointly formulate standards and specifications, and coordinate observation equipment; and improve meteorological services for elderly health and wellness.On January 14th, futures market news reported that international crude oil prices rose for the fourth consecutive trading day, with Brent crude increasing by a cumulative $5.51 per barrel. This led to a positive turn in the crude oil price change rate during this pricing cycle, providing policy support for refined oil market prices. Recently, domestic gasoline and diesel prices have fallen to relatively low levels, with crack spreads at a low level and limited price differences between truck and vessel sales units. Driven by profit motives, sales units may attempt to push prices up. However, considering the current lack of substantial growth in gasoline and diesel demand, the sustainability of price increases is expected to be limited.Indonesian Deputy Minister of Energy: The government has decided to maintain the biodiesel program at the B40 level this year.

Asia Stocks Join Wall Street's Rebound, As The Yen Continues to Rise

Skylar Williams

Dec 22, 2022 11:42

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Asian markets rose on Thursday after a positive reading on U.S. consumers delighted Wall Street investors, while the yen added to its big recent gains as Japanese government yields moved into a new higher zone.


Unexpectedly, consumer confidence in the United States reached an eight-month high in December as the labor market remained robust. The anticipated rate of inflation dropped to 6.7%, the lowest level since September 2021, as a result of falling gas prices.


This contributed to a rise on Wall Street, with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures each up 0.3% on Thursday.


Futures on the EURO STOXX 50 and FTSE climbed 0.1% and 0.3%, respectively, despite the typical winter slump in volume.


MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific equities excluding Japan increased by 1.1%, while Chinese blue chips increased by 0.75 percent.


The Nikkei gained 0.2% as the Japanese government upgraded its growth prediction for the next fiscal year in anticipation of higher company spending and hefty wage increases.


Investors continue to ponder the repercussions of the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) shocking decision to allow JGB rates to climb this week, prompting many to believe that a policy tightening is imminent.


Yields on 10-year government bonds have risen 23 basis points this week to 0.480%, the highest level since July 2015 and just a hair's breadth away from the BOJ's new ceiling of 0.5%.


The increase in rates and the strengthening of the yen will reduce the value of Japanese investors' holdings, according to analysts at Capital Economics.


"Insurance companies would suffer the most from dropping bond prices, while pension funds will suffer the most from a rising currency rate. We doubt, however, that decreased investment returns pose systemic dangers."


Next year, capital also anticipates the dollar to decline toward 125 yen. At 131.93 yen, the dollar was already in the red for the week, having lost 3.5% so far; but, it had found some support around 130.40 yen. 


At 140.11, the euro had likewise lost 3.6% against the yen for the week. At $1.0622, the euro was slightly stronger against the dollar due to the yen's activity.


After British public borrowing reached a record in November and nationwide strikes dimmed the UK's economic outlook, the value of the pound declined. Overnight, the pound fell to a three-week low and was pegged at $1.2082.


The dollar's decline has been beneficial to gold, which is up 1.4% so far this week to $1,818 per ounce. 


Oil prices increased as data revealed a larger-than-anticipated decline in U.S. crude inventories, but a big snowstorm is expected to blanket a large portion of the country and reduce travel-related fuel consumption


Brent crude increased 34 cents to $82.54 per barrel, while U.S. crude petroleum advanced 44 cents to $78.73 per barrel.