EUR/USD 1.13927
0.060%
Gold 4036.38
0.195%
Oil 83.486
6.582%
USD/JPY 163.832
-0.017%
GBP/USD 1.33010
0.098%
GBP/JPY 217.919
0.095%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
July 30th - Foreign media analysis suggests that while US President Trump continues to pressure newly appointed Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh to cut interest rates as soon as possible, Wall Street investors are increasingly betting on the opposite outcome. Recent escalation of the conflict with Iran, the implementation of a new round of global tariffs, the continued data center investment boom, and strong US consumption have collectively exacerbated market and Federal Reserve concerns about inflationary pressures, reinforcing expectations of continued tightening policies or even further interest rate hikes. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at its Wednesday meeting. However, whether Warsh, who took over as chairman at the end of May, can continue to suppress calls for rate hikes within the committee increasingly depends on whether inflation can continue to improve. Current polls show that the American public is not satisfied with Trumps economic performance, and higher interest rates will undoubtedly further dampen the economic performance the White House hopes to see. Trump has consistently called for rate cuts and reiterated this stance this week. However, even if the Federal Reserve ultimately chooses to raise rates, Trumps initial target may not be Warsh, but rather other Federal Reserve officials. Trump has already appointed three members to the seven-member Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Trump previously stated, "Kevin is excellent, but he also has a committee, and the members of that committee are very politicized. He wants to do the right thing, and I know what he wants to do, but he also needs the approval of some people who may have ulterior motives. Interest rates should go down."U.S. Energy Secretary Wright: The U.S. military is escorting oil and gas through the Strait.U.S. Energy Secretary Wright: The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is "far from" the minimum operational level.The Bank of Canada will release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting in ten minutes.U.S. Energy Secretary Wright: 13 million barrels of oil left the Gulf region in the past week.

As the likelihood of an aggressive Fed direction decreases, the US Dollar Index rises again toward 104.60

Daniel Rogers

Aug 11, 2022 12:05

 截屏2022-08-11 上午10.22.39.png

 

On Wednesday, the US dollar index (DXY) dropped significantly as the US Consumer Price Index fell (CPI). As the prospect of a major rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September diminished due to a sharp slowing in price pressures, the DXY collapsed like a house of cards. When the asset broke through the consolidation formed between 106.00 and 106.80, it fell to 104.64. Despite the temporary pause, the market's downward trend will continue.

Normalized CPI drops 60 basis points

Inflation in the United States for the year was reported at 8.5%, which was less than the 8.7% predicted and 9.1% reported in the preceding report. An annual reduction in inflation of this magnitude in July, brought on by a dramatic drop in oil prices, sent a strong signal of market fatigue to participants. Without a doubt, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce further rate hikes; but, the Fed's long-term hawkish stance will take a major hit.

There will be sustained confidence in the market.

After taking a number of policy tightening steps, including raising interest rates and halting the bond-buying program, Fed policymakers heave a sigh of relief. In order to put capital into risk-perceived assets, investors have been waiting for a month with strong employment data and a significant drop in price pressures. It's likely that your desire to take risks will last for a longer period of time in the future.

Suggestion