• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On July 26, Australian Prime Minister Barnes stated that he would raise the issue of tariffs with US President Trump. This comes after Washington imposed new tariffs on trading partners, including Australia. The Labor government, led by Barnes, has called the tariffs unreasonable and expressed its desire for their removal. When asked if he would discuss the issue with Trump, Barnes replied, "Of course." "We will raise this issue at all levels of the Australia-US relationship, and in fact, we have already done so."July 26 – According to Politico, as the US-Iran conflict continues, Arab countries suffering retaliatory attacks from Tehran are attempting to unite and find a path to peace. However, long-standing contradictions are hindering this process. In recent weeks, senior officials from the UAE and Saudi Arabia have publicly posed for photos together, demonstrating a thaw in relations; Jordan and six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) have also held talks at the US State Department and Capitol Hill; and the GCC has issued several joint statements condemning Irans attacks. However, several Arab diplomats, current and former US officials, and people familiar with the regional situation say that while these countries all want to ensure the Strait of Hormuz remains open, their differing priorities in how to achieve this goal are hindering substantial progress. These differences include a series of conflicting interests, such as which countries possess alternative shipping lanes, which countries have the deepest infrastructure ties with Iran, and which countrys economy will suffer the greatest losses in the current crisis. An Iraqi official stated, "They are working together to visit the U.S. Congress and the State Department to coordinate their messaging. But they are not on the same page." The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), comprised of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, already had numerous internal divisions before the current conflict, and the war with Iran is further amplifying these contradictions. "They have many issues to resolve, and this war has exacerbated the existing divisions in the Gulf region," said David Schenker, former U.S. State Department director for Middle East affairs.July 26 - Queensland, Australia, confirmed a case of highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza on July 25. This is the fourth state in the country to confirm a case of H5N1 avian influenza since June.July 26 - Japanese media reported on the 25th that the temperature in Mie Prefecture in central Japan reached 40.2 degrees Celsius that afternoon. This marks the fifth consecutive day that Japan has experienced temperatures above 40 degrees Celsius, setting a new record for the longest such streak since records began in 2010.The Korea Automobile and Mobility Industry Association (KAMA) predicts that domestic car sales in South Korea will increase by 2.7% year-on-year in the second half of the year, reaching 865,000 vehicles, with total sales for the year reaching 1.71 million vehicles.

As oil prices fall and investors become risk-averse before the BOC meeting, USD/CAD rises to 1.3200

Daniel Rogers

Sep 07, 2022 16:50

截屏2022-09-07 上午11.31.45.png 

 

The USD/CAD has risen for three consecutive trading days, and it is currently trading near 1.3190, which is the weekly high. To appease buyers near the highest levels in two months prior to the Bank of Canada (BOC) Monetary Policy Meeting, the Loonie pair has recently been applauding rising rates and a risk-aversion wave.

 

Declining prices of WTI crude oil, Canada's principal export, further strengthen the USD/CAD exchange rate as speculators anticipate the fifth BOC rate hike in 2022.

 

WTI crude oil prices have dropped to their lowest level since late January, down 1.70 percent to $85.40 as of press time on the back of recession worries and a stronger US dollar. Market perceptions of the latest production cut by OPEC and its partners, including Russia, known collectively as OPEC+, could add to the downward pressure on commodity prices.

 

In addition to the covid-related pessimism in China and the European energy crisis, improved US data strengthened the hawkish Fedbets and boosted the US dollar.

 

In the United States, the ISM Services PMI rose to 56.7 from 55.1 and above market expectations. In contrast to initial expectations of 45.0 and 44.1, the S&P Global Composite PMI and Services PMI both fell to 44.6 and 43.7, respectively. Still, following the news, the US Dollar Index (DXY) rose to a new 20-year high. There is now a 72.0% possibility of a 50 bps rate hike by the Fed in September, according to the CME's FedWatch Tool, up from 57.0% the day before.

 

The three-day surge in rates for 10-year US Treasuries to 3.25 percent is the highest it has been since June 15. The S&P 500 futures have also dropped to a new seven-week low, falling 0.55 percent intraday to 3,890.

 

The stronger U.S. dollar, declining oil prices, and reduced risk appetite should keep USD/CAD bulls optimistic despite the BOC's expected base rate increase of 75 basis points to 3.25 percent. Consolidating recent gains may be possible for the Canadian currency, however, thanks to hawkish comments from the BOC Rate Statement and softer Fedspeak.