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February 23 - Gold and silver prices rose in early Asian trading, driven by risk aversion. President Trump announced on Saturday that he would raise a global tariff to 15% to replace several tariffs ruled illegal by the Supreme Court. An ANZ research report noted that Trumps latest move has reignited trade tensions, potentially stimulating safe-haven buying and supporting gold and silver prices.1. Monday: ① Data: 17:00 Germany February IFO Business Climate Index; 23:00 US December Factory Orders MoM; 23:30 US February Dallas Fed Business Activity Index. ② Events: Iran finalizes draft agreement with the US; 21:00 Fed Governor Waller speaks. ③ Holiday: Japanese stock market and mainland China market closed; northbound and southbound trading closed. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: 09:00 China Loan Prime Rate; 19:00 UK February CBI Retail Sales Balance; 22:00 US December FHFA House Price Index MoM; 22:00 US December S&P/CS 20-City Composite Home Price Index YoY (Unadjusted); 23:00 US December Wholesale Sales MoM; 23:00 US February Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index; 23:00 US February Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index. ② Events: Domestic refined oil price adjustment; US President Trump delivers State of the Union address; 01:30 ECB President Lagarde speaks; 13:00 New 15% global tariffs from the US take effect; 22:10 Fed Governor Waller speaks; 22:35 Fed Governor Lisa Cook speaks on AI. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: 05:30 US API crude oil inventories for the week ending February 20; 08:30 Australia January unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate; 15:00 Germany March GfK consumer confidence index, Germany Q4 unadjusted GDP year-on-year final reading; 17:00 Switzerland February ZEW investor confidence index; 18:00 Eurozone January CPI data; 23:30 US EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending February 20. ② Events: 00:00 Apple Inc. 2026 Annual Shareholder Meeting; 04:15 Federal Reserves Barkin and Collins jointly attend a panel discussion; 09:20 300 billion yuan of MLF and 400 billion yuan of 14-day reverse repos mature; 16:40 RBA Governor Bullock participates in a fireside chat. 4. Thursday: ① Data: 18:00 Eurozone February Industrial Sentiment Index and Economic Sentiment Index; 21:30 Canadas Q4 Current Account; 21:30 US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending February 21; 23:30 US EIA Natural Gas Storage for the week ending February 20. ② Events: 05:00 Nvidia releases earnings report after US market close; 06:00 Nvidia earnings call. Baidu releases earnings report before US market open (pending); 20:30 Baidu earnings call. 5. Friday: ① Data: 08:01 UK February GfK Consumer Confidence Index; 15:45 France February CPI (preliminary), Q4 GDP (final); 16:00 Switzerland February KOF Leading Economic Indicator; 16:55 Germany February Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment Change, Unemployment Rate; 21:00 Germany February CPI (preliminary); 21:30 Canada December GDP (monthly); 21:30 US January PPI (yearly); 22:45 US February Chicago PMI; 23:00 US December Construction Spending (monthly). ② Event: 15:00 MSCI China Index February adjustment takes effect. ③ Holiday: Taiwan stock market closed. 6. Saturday: ① Data: 02:00 US Total Oil Rig Count for the Week Ending February 27. ② Event: Berkshire Hathaway Earnings Report. 7. Sunday: ① Event: OPEC+ Meeting.February 23 – The 9th Congress of the Workers Party of Korea continued on February 22. The meeting discussed and revised the Workers Party Constitution and elected members of the Central Leadership. The Congress expressed its full support for and endorsement of the proposal to re-elect Kim Jong Un to the highest position in the Workers Party of Korea, and elected him as General Secretary of the Workers Party of Korea. The meeting also elected members and alternate members of the Central Committee of the Workers Party of Korea. Kim Jong Un, Pak Thae Song, Jo Yong Won, Ri Il Hwan, and 139 others were elected as members of the Central Committee of the Workers Party of Korea.February 23 - Analysts say that as skepticism surrounding artificial intelligence grows, Wall Street is increasingly worried that the chip giants earnings this week will drag down its stock price. Nvidias stock has been trading sideways for months, rising only 1.7% since the beginning of the fourth quarter of last year, slightly below the S&P 500s 3.3% gain over the same period. Nvidias recent lackluster performance is largely due to increased investor concerns about spending hundreds of billions of dollars on AI development, leading to capital outflows from large-cap tech stocks. However, the stock market also faces numerous external risks, including geopolitical instability and reduced expectations of interest rate cuts. All of this puts Nvidia in a delicate position when it releases its fourth-quarter and fiscal year results on Wednesday. Investors expect its results to far exceed Wall Street expectations and raise forecasts for the coming quarters. But the company may have little to do or say to drive a meaningful rise in its stock price. Nvidias stock price has fallen after its last two earnings releases.February 23 - On February 22, local time, Greenlands Prime Minister Jens-Frederic Nielsen stated on social media that Greenland has no intention of accepting a hospital ship that US President Trump planned to send to the island. Nielsen posted on Facebook that day, "The answer here is: No, thank you." He stated that Greenlanders enjoy free healthcare, a system that is a "basic component" of local society, "unlike the United States, where you have to pay for medical care."

As fears of a US economic slowdown mount, the USD/JPY exchange rate attempts to push auctions below 132.00

Alina Haynes

Jan 09, 2023 14:46

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During the opening minutes of the Asian session, the USD/JPY pair breached the immediate support level of 132.0. Given the severe volatility of the US Dollar Index, it is anticipated that the major will modify its auction profile below 132.00. (DXY). As Japanese markets are closed on Monday in observance of Coming of Age Day, the USD/JPY exchange rate may decline.

 

As the S&P500 futures have prolonged their upward gallop in early Monday trade, the market players' appetite for risk has increased. In addition, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is feeling more offers after President Evans' speech at the Chicago Federal Reserve that was less forceful (Fed). The USD Index has extended its decline to approximately 103.35 and is projected to reach a six-month low of 103.00.

 

Evans, president of the Chicago Fed, was quoted in the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) as saying, "It was likely that economic data would justify a 25 basis point raise in the policy rate at the Fed's next meeting," according to a Reuters story.

 

Friday, Atlanta Fed bank president Raphael Bostic told Reuters that the Federal Reserve's actions will depend on the status of the economy. In addition, he noted that "The US economy is certainly faltering" due to a significant decrease in housing and interest rate activities. In terms of policy rate forecasts, the Fed policymaker anticipates a terminal rate above 5% and the continuation of policy rate peaks until CY2024.

 

As reported by Reuters, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida indicated on Sunday that his administration and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) must reevaluate their relationship in guiding economic policy after a new BoJ governor is appointed in April. In a move that would open the stage for an exit from the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy, he stated that the government may reconsider its decade-long commitment to combat deflation with the Bank of Japan.