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On December 29th, silver prices retreated after hitting a record high above $80 per ounce on Monday, while gold prices also fell from near-record highs as investors took profits and a reduced perception of geopolitical risks dampened safe-haven buying. ActivTrades analyst Ricardo Evangelista stated, "Gold prices fell in early trading today after hitting record highs, mainly due to traders taking profits ahead of year-end. Initial optimism from the US government regarding progress in the Ukraine peace talks also represented a mild headwind." The market is currently focused on the release of the Federal Reserves December meeting minutes on Tuesday for clues about the interest rate outlook. UBS analysts stated in a report, "Gold is trading at a high premium, and a sudden shift to a hawkish stance by the Fed and/or large-scale outflows from major ETFs could trigger downside risks."On December 29th, Shengtong Energy announced that its stock price had increased by 213.97% from December 12th to December 29th, 2025, triggering multiple instances of abnormal stock trading fluctuations. The significant short-term price increase has severely deviated from the companys fundamentals. To protect investors interests, the company will suspend trading to investigate the stock trading fluctuations. Trading in the companys stock will be suspended from the opening of the market on December 30th, 2025 (Tuesday) and will resume after the investigation is completed and an announcement is released. The suspension is expected to last no more than three trading days.Sources say Kazakhstans oil production so far in December has fallen 6% from the November average, to 1.93 million barrels per day.On December 29th, it was reported that on December 26th, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) held a collective meeting for newly appointed division-level and department-level leaders for 2025. Zhu Hexin, Secretary of the Party Leadership Group and Director of SAFE, attended and delivered a speech. Zhu Hexin emphasized that, focusing on the main tasks of preventing risks, strengthening supervision, and promoting high-quality development, SAFE should enhance its sense of responsibility, improve its ability to perform its duties, work diligently and pragmatically, continuously deepen reform and opening up in the foreign exchange sector, facilitate cross-border trade and investment, prevent risks in cross-border capital flows, ensure the safety, liquidity, and value preservation and appreciation of foreign exchange reserve assets, and effectively safeguard the stability of the foreign exchange market and national economic and financial security.As of 8:30 PM Beijing time, WTI crude oil futures rose 2.15%, while U.S. natural gas futures fell 0.39%.

As Fed Chair Powell endorses higher rate hikes, EUR / USD falls toward 1.0530

Daniel Rogers

Mar 08, 2023 14:00

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During the Asian session, the EUR / USD pair broke below the consolidation around 1.0550 to the downside. It appears that the major currency pair has resumed its decline, and further losses are anticipated due to pessimistic market sentiment. The currency pair is expected to find support near 1.0530.

 

Futures on the S&P 500 have lost their dead cat bounce as the motif of risk aversion gains strength. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has already reached a three-month high above 105.60, and gains are anticipated due to a general improvement in the appeal of safe-haven assets. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has surpassed 3.97 percent. Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, believes that increasing interest rates is "appropriate and suitable" for controlling the nation's rising inflation. He has asserted that the current monetary policy is inadequately restrictive to bring inflation down to the desired levels.

 

The extraordinary increase in payrolls reported in January has prompted contemplation of a higher termination rate than previously anticipated. Prior to this, Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated that February's economic data was a one-time anomaly and that price pressures would resume their downward trend beginning the following month. Consequently, investors will gain greater insight following the release of the US Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change (Feb) data, which is anticipated to be higher at 200K compared to the previous release of 106K.

 

On the Eurozone front, investors are concentrating on German January Retail Sales data. Compared to the previously reported contraction of 5.3%, it is anticipated that the monthly data will indicate an expansion of 2.0%. As a consequence, inflationary pressures may intensify as a rebound in retail demand may boost the German Consumer Price Index (CPI).

 

Klaas Knot, a policymaker at the European Central Bank (ECB), stated on Tuesday that the ECB is likely to continue raising interest rates for "quite some time" following March. According to him, the current rate of interest rate hikes could continue through May if underlying inflation does not decrease significantly.