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November 9th - Trump: I am pleased to announce that the great attorney John Coale has been nominated as the U.S. Special Envoy to Belarus. He has successfully facilitated the release of 100 hostages and is working to secure the release of another 50. I would like to express my sincere gratitude in advance to the esteemed President Lukashenko of Belarus for considering the release of these additional hostages.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant: Substantial progress is being made on the inflation issue, and prices are expected to fall in the coming months.On November 9th, local time, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed a new sanctions decision, imposing sanctions on several Russian government officials and institutions. Ukraine called on the international community to increase pressure on Russia and sanction all individuals and organizations that fund war and spread disinformation. Ukraine stated that this round of sanctions includes "Russian government members involved in the plunder of occupied Ukrainian territories" and personnel from Russian military intelligence. Ukraine also plans to take further measures against publishing institutions within Russia engaged in war propaganda and defense of aggression. According to Ukrainian sources, the sanctions list includes individuals such as Russian Presidential Special Representative Kirill Dmitriev.Iraqs State Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO) announced that Iraq has set its official selling price for December Basra medium crude oil to Asia at a discount of $0.35 to the average price of Oman/Dubai crude oil.November 9th - According to Japans TBS News, a 5.6-magnitude earthquake struck off the eastern coast of Honshu, Japan, at 6:28 PM local time on the 9th, with a focal depth of 10 kilometers. The epicenter was located off the coast of Sanriku, and Morioka City in Iwate Prefecture experienced noticeable tremors with an intensity level of 3. A 6.7-magnitude earthquake had just struck the same area at approximately 5:03 PM local time on the 9th, triggering a tsunami. According to the latest observations, the tsunami has reached several locations in Iwate Prefecture, including Miyako, Kuji Port, and Ofunato. No casualties have been reported so far.

As Fed Chair Powell endorses higher rate hikes, EUR / USD falls toward 1.0530

Daniel Rogers

Mar 08, 2023 14:00

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During the Asian session, the EUR / USD pair broke below the consolidation around 1.0550 to the downside. It appears that the major currency pair has resumed its decline, and further losses are anticipated due to pessimistic market sentiment. The currency pair is expected to find support near 1.0530.

 

Futures on the S&P 500 have lost their dead cat bounce as the motif of risk aversion gains strength. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has already reached a three-month high above 105.60, and gains are anticipated due to a general improvement in the appeal of safe-haven assets. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has surpassed 3.97 percent. Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, believes that increasing interest rates is "appropriate and suitable" for controlling the nation's rising inflation. He has asserted that the current monetary policy is inadequately restrictive to bring inflation down to the desired levels.

 

The extraordinary increase in payrolls reported in January has prompted contemplation of a higher termination rate than previously anticipated. Prior to this, Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated that February's economic data was a one-time anomaly and that price pressures would resume their downward trend beginning the following month. Consequently, investors will gain greater insight following the release of the US Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change (Feb) data, which is anticipated to be higher at 200K compared to the previous release of 106K.

 

On the Eurozone front, investors are concentrating on German January Retail Sales data. Compared to the previously reported contraction of 5.3%, it is anticipated that the monthly data will indicate an expansion of 2.0%. As a consequence, inflationary pressures may intensify as a rebound in retail demand may boost the German Consumer Price Index (CPI).

 

Klaas Knot, a policymaker at the European Central Bank (ECB), stated on Tuesday that the ECB is likely to continue raising interest rates for "quite some time" following March. According to him, the current rate of interest rate hikes could continue through May if underlying inflation does not decrease significantly.