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Fitch: Frances pension reform suspension faces the risk of policy reversal after the 2027 general election.On October 16th, Juan Carlos Artigas, Head of Research at the World Gold Council, stated that despite gold having reached 45 all-time highs this year, speculative holdings and net long positions in the futures market have yet to reach historical peaks, indicating that the market is not yet saturated. Furthermore, global central banks are continuing their gold-buying trend, potentially leading to further inflows. Golds safe-haven and inflation-fighting properties remain attractive amidst rising economic uncertainty, making it inappropriate to simply judge market overheating based on short-term gains. The fundamental reason for golds continued rise is the markets search for alternatives to US dollar assets. The previous catalyst was the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which led to increased gold holdings to avoid freezing US dollar assets. The current catalyst is US policy uncertainty and high government debt in developed countries. Overall, some investors are taking a wait-and-see approach due to concerns about a potential correction after entering the market due to the already high gold price. However, long-term macroeconomic support remains.Frances CAC40 index rose 0.7% as French Prime Minister Le Corny survived a no-confidence motion.According to Interfax: The Caspian oil pipeline transported about 54 million tons of crude oil from January to September.Indonesia is considering implementing a 1% sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) blend for international flights departing from Jakarta and Bali in 2026, according to Edi Wibowo, an official from the Indonesian Ministry of Energy.

As BoJ Udea Mentions the Appropriateness of Current Monetary Policy, EUR/JPY Exhibits a V-Shaped Movement

Daniel Rogers

Feb 24, 2023 14:30

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When Kazuo Ueda, the nominee for Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), addresses the Japanese parliament, the EUR/JPY currency pair exhibits a V-shaped movement. The commentary of Haruhiko Kuroda's successor as Governor of the Bank of Japan has increased the volatility of the Japanese Yen.

 

As he describes the current monetary policy as appropriate and necessary to sustain 2% inflation, BoJ Ueda's speech appears more diplomatic. Moreover, he stated that rising import prices are the cause of Japan's rising inflation. Domestic demand is still insufficient, but the central bank is attempting to achieve pre-pandemic growth rates. The neighborhood has descended into lunacy as a result of his speech's absence of Yield conversion control (YCC) discussions.

 

Despite current discussions about the expansion of the YCC, the economic outlook for the Japanese Yen is positive, as the Bank of Japan is working to increase labor costs, which will confidently support a revival in overall demand.

 

Nordea economists continue to be optimistic about the Japanese Yen: "We remain fairly sanguine on JPY due to our expectations of a change in Bank of Japan monetary policy later this year." According to a note from Nordea, the time is ripe for a normalization of the Bank of Japan's stimulative monetary policy, "with inflation reaching its highest level in decades and a prognosis for higher wage growth."

 

Despite the easing of inflationary pressures, investors are concerned that the normalization of the Eurozone economy will take a significant amount of time. In order to maintain a ceiling on the price index, the European Central Bank (ECB) is anticipated to continue raising interest rates.