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Futures News, June 3rd - Data released by the Petroleum Institute of Japan (PAJ) on Wednesday showed that for the week ending May 30th, Japans commercial crude oil inventories stood at 10.0167 million kiloliters, an increase of 537,049 kiloliters from the previous weeks 9.4797 million kiloliters. Refinery operational capacity (BPSD) utilization was 79.1%, compared to 82.1% the previous week. Refinery design capacity (BPCD) utilization was 63.1%, compared to 73.5% the previous week. Due to changes in Japans petroleum product supply structure, the PAJ has suspended the release of weekly inventory details for gasoline, jet fuel, kerosene, and diesel.June 3rd - According to the Financial Times, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Winsch stated that a peace agreement between the US and Iran reached before next weeks ECB meeting would not weaken the case for an interest rate hike. Winsch said, "If a peace agreement is indeed reached before the meeting, it will be part of the discussion. But we cannot know whether it will be lasting or credible." He hinted at support for a 25 basis point rate hike by the ECB. He believes that if the conflict remains unresolved, discussions among policymakers before setting interest rates on June 11th will be "quite easy." If a peace agreement is reached between the US and Iran, the discussions "may be slightly less easy. But the case for a rate hike may still exist, just not as strongly." He stated, "At some point, we cannot let the markets bear everything. We need to make a position clear."Japans Topix index broke through 4,000 points for the first time, rising more than 2% on the day.June 3rd - The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) will mark its third anniversary of full entry into force in June 2026. According to the Guangdong Sub-Administration of the General Administration of Customs, since June 2, 2023, Guangdong ports have imported a total of 53.8 billion yuan worth of goods enjoying preferential tariff treatment, resulting in tariff reductions of 1.4 billion yuan. Tax reductions have seen significant growth for three consecutive years, with year-on-year increases of 8.81%, 32.35%, and 32.12% respectively in 2023, 2024, and 2025. According to a relevant official from the Comprehensive Business Department of the Guangdong Sub-Administration of the General Administration of Customs, the customs has continuously optimized the level of RCEP customs clearance facilitation, helping enterprises to make good use of the RCEP rules of origin based on their own product and industry characteristics, guiding enterprises to scientifically choose the "optimal option" for preferential treatment, actively cultivating and recognizing "approved exporters," and realizing the superposition of policy dividends for customs advanced certified enterprises, thus continuously releasing the benefits of tariff reductions.Hong Kong-listed tech stocks continued to decline during the session, with Meituan (03690.HK) falling more than 6%, Kuaishou (01024.HK) and Bilibili (09626.HK) falling more than 5%, and Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) and JD.com (09618.HK) currently down more than 4%.

Application of fundamental analysis

LEO

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

what is fundamental anaylsis?

Fundamental analysis is conducted mainly through analysing economic, social, and political factors that influence the market demand and supply. Investors who rely on fundamental analysis must find out the various factors that affect the economy, such as those that will boost the economy to grow rapidly, and those that will drive it down.

This method of analysis is based on the assumption that a country's currency will be strong when its economic outlook is good. The reason is that the better a country's economic conditions, the more foreign companies and investors will be willing to invest in the country, and they need to buy a large amount of local currency to acquire assets.

Application of  fundamental anaylsis?

A variety of fundamental changes will influence currency pairs. Out of these changes, interest rate expectations tend to have the biggest impact on the strength of a country's currency, and investors can trade accordingly.

If a country's released inflation data keeps surpassing the central bank's target, the central bank will influence the local currency according to its own inflation target by raising or lowering interest rates.


Usually, the central bank will raise interest rates to reduce the amount of money in circulation and curb inflation. If the central bank wishes to increase the amount of money in circulation, it may do so by lowering interest rates. Generally, as the difference between a high-interest currency with a low-interest currency widens, hot money will tend to flow into the high-interest money market, driving the demand for money higher. This is one of the reasons for the rise in medium-term and long-term exchange rates, and investors may capture these opportunities to 


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