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Two sources say the International Energy Agency (IEA) will recommend using its strategic petroleum reserves, given the potential disruption to oil supplies due to the situation in Iran. The initial release from the IEAs strategic petroleum reserves will exceed 100 million barrels in the first month.On March 11, Barclays Bank predicted that if oil prices remain around $100 per barrel and economic growth remains stagnant, the earnings per share (EPS) growth rate for European companies is likely to fall to a low single digit, and the Stoxx Europe 600 index will drop to around 550 points. Historically, during periods of stagflation, the energy, utilities, and healthcare sectors have outperformed, while the financial, telecommunications, and consumer sectors have tended to lag. In a report, the bank stated that although the energy intensity of the economy has decreased over time, economic growth still faces risks because Europes dependence on Middle Eastern energy supplies is as high as 30%.Italian Prime Minister Meloni: Another priority is to support small and medium-sized enterprises within the new European Competitiveness Fund to promote the balanced flow of EU resources in all our regions.March 11th - Analysts say the situation since the US and Israels attack on Iran indicates that the US remains the preferred market for investors. Even with its flaws, the US remains a global hub of innovation and boasts the worlds deepest and most liquid markets, qualities that become indispensable during economic shocks. After 14 months of turmoil, weve also seen signs of resilience from the Federal Reserve and the Supreme Court, providing additional sources of confidence. It continues to be at the forefront of artificial intelligence, a net oil exporter—a stark contrast to energy-consuming Europe in terms of economic standing—and dominates defense contracting and "defense technology." War and high oil prices are far from purely beneficial, but their negative impact on the US economy is far less than in other parts of the world. This makes it possible that, in critical moments, global investors desire for US assets remains greater than for any other country, and this situation is unlikely to change in the short term.Overnight index swaps indicate that the probability of a Bank of England rate cut this year has fallen to around 20%, compared to 50% on Tuesday.

Analysis of the EUR/USD Price Indicates 1.0930 Is a Crucial Resistance Level for Bulls

Daniel Rogers

Apr 04, 2023 14:39

 EUR:USD.png

 

EUR/USD sustains its week-beginning strength as bulls approach the crucial 1.0930 resistance level, trading near 1.0910 as of early Tuesday press time.

 

In doing so, the EUR/USD pair validates the bullish MACD signals and the ascending RSI (14) line, indicating it is not overbought.

 

The Euro pair's effective trading beyond the convergence of the 21-DMA and the 50-DMA, around 1.0730-25 at the time of publication, strengthens the bullish outlook.

 

As a result, EUR/USD purchasers are likely to surmount the critical resistance area comprised of multiple levels marked since late January 2023.

 

The Year-to-Date (YTD) high of 1.1033 could act as a further filter to the north before directing EUR/USD investors to the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of its November 2022 to March 2023 moves near 1.1190.

 

It should be noted that the psychological magnetism of 1.000 can also be used to verify Euro-Pair purchasers.

 

In the interim, a downside break of the aforementioned DMA confluence near 1.0730-25 is not an open invitation to the EUR/USD bears, as an ascending support line from September 2022, close to 1.0630 at the absolute minimum, could act as the buyers' last line of defense.

 

A decline to the previous monthly low of 1.0548 cannot be ruled out if the Euro-U.S. dollar exchange rate remains below 1.0630.