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On August 6th, multiple sources revealed that Li Auto released an appointment announcement on the last working day of July. To enhance product competitiveness, and with the approval of the R&D Technology Committee, the company will establish cross-domain integrated product and technology innovation working groups in batches. Ma Donghui stated that the core logic of the product and technology innovation working groups can be summarized by four keywords: emergence, co-creation, pre-emptive, and results list, corresponding to the source of innovation, collaboration methods, pace of progress, and results, respectively. Judging from the appointment announcement, the innovation working groups are essentially horizontally integrated teams formed around specific business segments, with members drawn from various departments such as R&D, product, procurement, and sales. In early July, news circulated internally that Li Auto would split its product department, but the company did not issue an official announcement. The establishment of these product innovation groups is widely regarded by Li Auto employees as an official confirmation of this news.August 6th - According to the latest Challenger layoff report, the number of layoffs in the US fell to 33,429 in July, with hiring plans showing signs of recovery; artificial intelligence (AI) became the main driver of layoffs for the fifth consecutive month. The report states that US employers announced 27% fewer layoffs in July than in June, and a 46% decrease compared to the same period last year, marking the lowest monthly total in two years. Julys total layoffs were the lowest since July 2024, when 25,885 layoffs were announced. As of July, employers had announced 477,033 layoffs, a 41% decrease compared to the number announced in the first seven months of 2025. This is the fifth time this year that layoff numbers have fallen below the same period last year. The pace of layoffs slowed significantly this summer. Layoff plans remain primarily concentrated in the technology sector, with AI remaining a dominant topic as investment in this technology reshapes corporate organizational structures. However, Andy Challenger, Chief Revenue Officer of Challenger, stated, "Hiring is up 25% from last year, so while AI is changing the labor market, its not destroying employment."On August 6th, in response to the industry-wide discussion about over 500 new car models launched in the first half of the year, Li Yanwei, an expert from the China Automobile Dealers Association, stated on social media that only about 165 new car models were launched in China from January to June 2026, and the widely circulated figure of 500 to 600 models is inaccurate. Li Yanwei explained that the figure of over 500 models is a combined count of the model itself, various configurations, and derivative versions. "For example, if a new model is launched with three configurations, this can be counted as one model with three variations; if we include the 165 models launched in the first half of the year with different configurations, there might be 500 to 600 variations; but saying there are only 500 to 600 models is inaccurate." Previously, several media outlets used a broad statistical method, claiming 550 new car models from January to May and over 600 models in the first half of the year, sparking heated discussions within the industry.The Challenger Job Cuts Report shows that Julys total layoffs were the lowest monthly level since July 2024, when 25,885 layoffs were announced. As of July, employers had announced 477,033 job cuts, a 41% decrease from the 806,383 announced in the first seven months of 2025. This is the fifth time this year that layoff numbers have fallen below the level of the same period last year.The US Challenger job cuts rate fell 27.09% month-over-month in July, compared to -53% in the previous month.

Analysis of Factors Affecting Crude Oil Price

Alyssa Hertig

Oct 25, 2021 13:27



一. Crude oil demand

1. crude oil demand is positively correlated with the global economic growth. Novel Coronavirus pneumonia has been affected by the recent outbreak of the global economy, factories have shut down and oil demand has fallen sharply, resulting in the fall in crude oil prices from the initial $70 to the current $22.

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2. The cost of alternative energy will determine the upper limit of oil price. When the price of oil is higher than the cost of alternative energy, consumers will tend to use alternative energy. At present, the cost of shale oil production in the United States is $40-$50, and the cost of crude oil production is less than $10.

3. The data of crude oil demand mainly depends on the oil demand of the United States and other large industrial countries, such as monthly industrial output rate, manufacturing PMI value, etc.  The financial calendar can be viewed on Top 1markets official website or Top 1markets APP for the latest economic data.

 

二. Crude oil supply

1. Oil supply must be based on oil reserves. The International Energy Agency predicts that the world oil production had reached its peak in 2015, and the global oil supply has gradually entered a declining stage.

2. At present, the suppliers of the world oil market mainly include the organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non OPEC countries. OPEC has most of the world's proven oil reserves, and its production and price policies have a significant impact on the world's oil supply and price. The non OPEC countries, mainly led by Russia, adjust production according to prices. On March 7, at the OPEC meeting, Saudi Arabia and Russia failed to reach an agreement on the oil production reduction plan. Saudi Arabia said it would increase production. Once the news came out, the price of crude oil plummeted on that day from$42 to $32.

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3. At present, the impact of supply is mainly quantified by EIA crude oil inventory in the United States, API crude oil inventory and the output of some large international oil exporting countries.

 

三. US dollar index

Crude oil price has always been closely linked with the US dollar, and its delivery and pricing are settled in US dollar, so the US dollar index will also have an impact on crude oil price. There is a certain inverse correlation between the change of oil price and the change of US dollar index. For example, if the U.S. dollar continues to depreciate and the real income of oil products priced in US. Similarly, if the US dollar appreciates, the oil price will be lowered. During the period of US dollar appreciation from 2013 to 2016, crude oil prices showed a trend opposite to it.

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四. Conflict

Geopolitics is one of the important factors that can not be ignored. In geopolitics, revolutions or riots at home and abroad in the world's major oil producing countries, wars in the Middle East, including terrorist riots around the world, will have a significant impact on oil prices. These are clearly reflected in the historical oil price chart.

Such as the events of “911” in 2001 in the United States and military action against Iraq by United States led to a rapid contraction in Iraq's crude oil production. Brent crude rose 100% from $30 a barrel before 911 to $67 a barrel in September 2005.

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