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According to Hong Kong Stock Exchange documents, Guangzhou Penghui Energy Technology Co., Ltd. has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.U.S. silver mining stocks fell, with Hecla Mining (HL.N) down 9%, Cordair Mining (CDE.N) down 8.6%, Silvercorp Metals (SVM.A) down 8.7%, and Endeavour Silver (EXK.N) down 8.1%.Micron Technology (MU.O) rose more than 3%, bringing its monthly gain to over 57%, and its market capitalization surpassed $500 billion for the first time.On January 30th, Trump turned the selection process for the Federal Reserve Chair into a game show, with Kevin Warshs ultimate victory being arguably the most unexpected choice. This decision is bound to exacerbate market volatility and may displease all parties, including Trump himself. This nomination will first trigger a strong cognitive conflict on Wall Street and in policy circles. Although Trump promised to choose a Fed Chair capable of implementing loose monetary policy, Warsh has always been considered a hawk. This background will make it difficult for Warsh to build credibility. If he chooses to cut interest rates, the market will see him as abandoning principles and submitting to Trumps puppet; if he maintains high interest rates for too long, he will inevitably clash with Trump quickly, which in itself will trigger market volatility. Before Powells term ends, Warshs "shadow term" has already begun, potentially leading to confused policy signals and market misinterpretations. Intriguingly, Warshs victory seems to stem from a "survivors logic." When the Trump team lost interest in Hassett, he became the only remaining option. Until December of last year, Hassett was still the top favorite in the forecasting market, but concerns that his nomination could drive up bond term premiums, coupled with warnings from Wall Street executives that someone too close to the president should not be in charge of an independent central bank, eventually changed the situation.On January 30th, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that the current interest rate range is 3.50%-3.75%, and monetary policy should be closer to a neutral level, which he believes is around 3%. Despite robust economic growth, the labor market remains weak. Waller expects last years weak employment data to be revised downwards, reflecting near-zero job growth in 2025. He stated that he has heard of several companies planning layoffs in 2026, and therefore is quite skeptical about job growth, warning of a significant risk of a sharp deterioration in employment. Regarding inflation, Waller pointed out that the inflation rate excluding tariffs is close to the Feds 2% target and is on track to reach it. Although inflation has risen due to tariffs, he believes that given that inflation expectations have stabilized, monetary policy should ignore these temporary effects. Waller voted against a 25 basis point rate cut at this weeks meeting, arguing that current policy is still excessively suppressing economic activity.

Ahead of U.S. CPI Data, Gold and Copper Preserve Recent Gains

Charlie Brooks

Sep 13, 2022 10:35

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Gold prices increased somewhat on Tuesday, but maintained recent gains as investors sought more evidence that U.S. inflation was declining from its highs this year.


At 19:48 EDT, spot gold rose approximately 0.1% to $1,725.70 per ounce, whilst gold futures fell 0.2% to $1,735.35 per ounce (23:48 GMT). The dollar's decline from a 20-year high hit last week has led to gains in both assets over the past three trading sessions.


After five consecutive days of losses, the dollar fell further on Tuesday, as measured by a 0.1% decline in the dollar index. Recent sessions have witnessed a decrease in the U.S. dollar due to a mix of profit-taking and the anticipation of inflation data indicating a further decline.


Inflation is expected to have slowed to 8.1% in August, down from 8.5% in July, according to U.S. CPI inflation data due Tuesday at 8:30 a.m. ET (12:30 p.m. GMT).


As a result of lowering fuel costs and the Federal Reserve's multiple rate hikes, the figure will imply a reduction in U.S. inflationary pressures.


As inflation remains well above the Fed's annual target of 2%, the markets believe that the Fed will continue to hike interest rates rapidly for the remainder of the year.


Next week, there is a greater-than-90-percent chance that the Federal Reserve will exceed expectations by increasing interest rates by 75 basis points.


It is widely believed that this will strengthen the dollar and Treasury yields in the near future, while reducing gold prices.


Investors have sought greater returns from the dollar and government debt in reaction to rising interest rates, causing gold prices to decline.


Copper prices began their ascent due to a weakened currency and anticipated supply disruptions from a strike at the Escondida mine in Chile.


London copper futures prices gained 0.2% to $3.6242 per pound. On Monday, they increased by 1.9%.


This week, unionized employees at Escondida, the world's largest copper mine, will go on strike. It is widely expected that this action will restrict the global copper supply, hence increasing prices.


Copper must also contend with poor demand in the world's top copper importer, China.