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AUD/USD struggles to surpass 0.6350; Australian Inflation/US GDP under the microscope

Alina Haynes

Oct 25, 2022 15:37

截屏2022-10-25 上午11.18.01.png 

 

During the Tokyo trading session, the AUD/USD pair reversed its decline to trade near 0.6350. The Australian dollar is under pressure as a result of Jinping's pessimism in China. Despite a small decline in S&P500 futures following three straight bullish settlements, the risk-on inclination remains firm. Following a poor beginning in Tokyo, the US dollar index (DXY) is attempting to retake the critical 112.00 mark.

 

The yield on 10-year US Treasury notes has reduced to 4.21 percent as a result of a positive market sentiment. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a fourth consecutive rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) of 75 basis points (bps) stands at 95%.

 

According to a Reuters survey regarding the Fed's interest rate forecasts, the central bank will announce its fourth consecutive 75 basis point rate increase. According to additional results of the Reuters poll, the central bank should not terminate monetary policy until the inflation rate falls to around half of its current level. Without a question, the Fed's aggressive rate-hiking cycle increases the probability of a future recession.

 

MSNBC reported that US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen remarked, "Cannot rule out risk" of a recession, creating a huge surge in recession worries.

 

Thursday's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers will dominate the news in the future. The annualized GDP is projected to climb significantly to 2.4%, compared to the earlier forecast of a 0.6% decline.

 

The Australian bulls have been shaken by the extraordinary third term of Chinese leader XI Jinping. China's economic prospects are in jeopardy, which has an effect on Australia's trade projections. Moreover, Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is increasing popularity. According to projections, the annual rate of headline inflation will rise to 7.0% from 6.1% in the previous report.


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