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On August 26th, Tang Daosheng, Senior Executive Vice President of Tencent Group and CEO of the Cloud and Smart Industries Group, published an article in Tencents internal publication addressing external criticisms that "Tencent is slow in its AI development." He responded that its impossible not to feel anxious. "The Hunyuan large-scale model has undergone multiple reconstructions. Hunyuan Hy3 performs exceptionally well among large models with similar parameters, but due to the companys overall insufficient computing power, model training and product development have been slowed down, resulting in significant impacts." Tang Daosheng stated that getting started early may not be the most crucial factor; the second half of the AI era has only just begun. Only by persevering can one seize the continuously emerging new opportunities.On August 26, European Central Bank Executive Board member Schnabel stated that the protracted Middle East conflict, coupled with unexpectedly strong Eurozone economic performance, poses upside risks to inflation, necessitating further interest rate hikes. Consumer price increases could exceed 2% for an "extended period," and policymakers will be behind the curve if action is delayed until these effects are transmitted to wages. She stated, "At current interest rates, inflation is unlikely to return to the target level in the medium term, thus requiring further policy tightening. Especially given the current resilient aggregate demand, preventing a second round of effects early is crucial, as acting too late may require more aggressive tightening measures." She pointed out that fiscal policy, increased defense spending, and the global AI boom are key drivers of strong economic growth. Schnabel warned that energy price pressures, excluding oil, are becoming more persistent. Given low European gas inventory levels, the gas market is particularly worrying, "posing a substantial upside risk to inflation. The longer the conflict lasts, the greater the risk and intensity of indirect and second-round effects."Tibo, Product Manager at OpenAI Codex: Good products take time. At least 34 days.ANZ Bank now expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in November.August 26th - According to foreign media reports, South Korea stated on Wednesday that fighter jets were scrambled in response to Russian military aircraft entering its air defense identification zone (ADIZ). This marks the second time in several weeks that Russian military aircraft have entered the area. The South Korean Ministry of National Defense stated that multiple Russian military aircraft entered and subsequently left the ADIZ over the East Sea (East Sea). The Ministry of National Defense emphasized that the Russian aircraft did not violate South Korean airspace.

AUDUSD fluctuates near 0.6670 support as higher Treasury yields bolster US Dollar rebound

Daniel Rogers

Nov 18, 2022 15:14

 截屏2022-11-18 上午11.27.07.png

 

AUDUSD stalls at 0.6690 following a two-day decline as bears seek fresh signals to end a four-week uptrend. Friday's light economic calendar offers a challenge for sellers of the Australian dollar throughout the Asian trading session. Notwithstanding, the US Dollar's recovery, aided by increased Treasury yields, mixes with the market's pessimistic outlook to keep pair sellers upbeat.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) appears to be recovering from a three-month low hit earlier in the week, as a result of recent assertive words from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials and better top-tier data from the United States. The dollar disregards Thursday's conflicting secondary numbers as a result.

 

The solid Retail Sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers for the month of October appeared to favor Fed hawks. However, James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, remarked on Thursday that the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy is not now deemed restrictive enough to reduce inflation. Neel Kashkari, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issued his most recent comments along the same vein. The Federal Reserve's Kashkari stated, "With inflation still high and monetary policy tightening already underway, it is unknown how high the US central bank will have to raise its policy rate."

 

In terms of data, the US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index declined to -19.4, compared to -6.2 market estimates and -8.8 previously. In addition, Housing Starts decreased by 4.2% month-over-month in October, following a 1.3% decline in September, and Building Permits decreased by 2.4%, compared to a 1.4% increase the previous month. In addition, Jobless Claims decreased to 222K for the week ending November 11 compared to the 225K predicted and upwardly revised 226K the previous week.

 

Domestically, Australia's Employment Change increased by 32,2K versus 15K market forecasts and 0.9K previously, while the Unemployment Rate decreased to 3.4% from 3.5% previously and 3.5% forecasts. Especially with the publication of the solid Wage Price Index, the employment data gained a boost in their ability to attract buyers. However, it appears that previous dovish remarks from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) officials have kept AUDUSD purchasers on the board.

 

In addition, elevated tensions between Russia and Ukraine as a result of missile strikes against Poland and growing Covid counts in China weighed on market sentiment and the risk-barometer pair.

 

Wall Street ended in the red, echoing sentiment, while 10-year Treasury yields rose from a six-week low.

 

A lack of significant data/events could allow bears to catch their breath, but risk-averse sentiment and hawkish Fed concerns could drive the AUDUSD price close to the weekly loss.

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