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The Bank of Japan will release a summary of the opinions of the deliberation committee members at its March monetary policy meeting in ten minutes.March 30th - According to the Italian newspaper *La Stampa*, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Bank of France Governor Villeroy stated in an interview that the ECB is prepared to take action to curb inflation expectations; however, it is still too early to bet on the timing of an interest rate hike. Villeroy pointed out that the war with Iran could trigger a negative supply shock, dragging down economic growth and accelerating the rise in consumer prices. He emphasized that recent news related to the conflict "has not sent a positive signal." In an interview published on Monday, he stated, "The ECB cannot control oil prices, but it has the responsibility and the ability to anchor household and business inflation expectations to our 2% medium-term inflation target. If necessary, we are prepared to act in this direction."ECB Governing Council member Villeroy: The ECB is ready to act, but it is too early to discuss the date when the ECB may raise interest rates.March 30th - According to CBS News, Jim Sims, the Democratic chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, accused President Trump of making "outright lies" about negotiations with Iran last week amid market turmoil and the ongoing war. "Last Sunday, he realized there was a serious financial crisis in the markets, so he made that up," Sims said in a program interview. Sims added, "The Iranians now realize they have the upper hand. Gasoline prices have risen by more than $1 a gallon. They realize, My God, we have huge leverage."Both WTI and Brent crude oil opened about 1% higher on Monday, currently trading at $102.57 per barrel and $107.15 per barrel, respectively.

AUDUSD fluctuates near 0.6670 support as higher Treasury yields bolster US Dollar rebound

Daniel Rogers

Nov 18, 2022 15:14

 截屏2022-11-18 上午11.27.07.png

 

AUDUSD stalls at 0.6690 following a two-day decline as bears seek fresh signals to end a four-week uptrend. Friday's light economic calendar offers a challenge for sellers of the Australian dollar throughout the Asian trading session. Notwithstanding, the US Dollar's recovery, aided by increased Treasury yields, mixes with the market's pessimistic outlook to keep pair sellers upbeat.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) appears to be recovering from a three-month low hit earlier in the week, as a result of recent assertive words from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials and better top-tier data from the United States. The dollar disregards Thursday's conflicting secondary numbers as a result.

 

The solid Retail Sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers for the month of October appeared to favor Fed hawks. However, James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, remarked on Thursday that the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy is not now deemed restrictive enough to reduce inflation. Neel Kashkari, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issued his most recent comments along the same vein. The Federal Reserve's Kashkari stated, "With inflation still high and monetary policy tightening already underway, it is unknown how high the US central bank will have to raise its policy rate."

 

In terms of data, the US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index declined to -19.4, compared to -6.2 market estimates and -8.8 previously. In addition, Housing Starts decreased by 4.2% month-over-month in October, following a 1.3% decline in September, and Building Permits decreased by 2.4%, compared to a 1.4% increase the previous month. In addition, Jobless Claims decreased to 222K for the week ending November 11 compared to the 225K predicted and upwardly revised 226K the previous week.

 

Domestically, Australia's Employment Change increased by 32,2K versus 15K market forecasts and 0.9K previously, while the Unemployment Rate decreased to 3.4% from 3.5% previously and 3.5% forecasts. Especially with the publication of the solid Wage Price Index, the employment data gained a boost in their ability to attract buyers. However, it appears that previous dovish remarks from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) officials have kept AUDUSD purchasers on the board.

 

In addition, elevated tensions between Russia and Ukraine as a result of missile strikes against Poland and growing Covid counts in China weighed on market sentiment and the risk-barometer pair.

 

Wall Street ended in the red, echoing sentiment, while 10-year Treasury yields rose from a six-week low.

 

A lack of significant data/events could allow bears to catch their breath, but risk-averse sentiment and hawkish Fed concerns could drive the AUDUSD price close to the weekly loss.