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JD.coms Q2 earnings call will be held in ten minutes.On August 13th, Nomura Securities strategists predicted that the Swedish central bank would keep its policy rate unchanged at 1.75% in August and maintain it throughout 2026. Despite subdued and stable inflation expectations in Sweden, stronger economic activity data, Middle East-related energy risks, and anticipated tightening by the European Central Bank have increased the likelihood of an earlier rate hike by the Swedish central bank. The bank stated, "Furthermore, the European Central Bank has already raised rates once this year, and we expect it to raise rates again in September. While we believe these pressures will not prompt the Swedish central bank to vote for a rate hike this time, the risk to our forecast for the Swedish central banks policy rate is that the rate hike could occur earlier than our current expectation of December 2027."The Indian rupee weakened against the US dollar on Thursday, despite both the dollar and oil prices falling. The dollar came under pressure after market concerns about a near-term Federal Reserve rate hike eased following expectations of slower-than-expected US July consumer price index growth. Analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman noted that the latest US inflation data prompted a mildly dovish shift in interest rate expectations, although the dollars overall upward trend continued. They emphasized that after the US July CPI data indicated that inflation was cooling, federal funds futures reduced bets on a September rate hike from about 50% to 35%, in line with expectations. Economies like India, heavily reliant on oil imports to meet energy needs, tend to have currencies that underperform in high oil price environments.On August 13, the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR) government held its first large-scale drill at the Hong Kong side of the Huanggang Port, testing the overall management of passenger and vehicle flow at the ports joint inspection building and public transport interchange, in preparation for the ports official opening. The HKSAR government stated that the early opening of the port is a shared goal of both the Hong Kong and Shenzhen governments, and Hong Kong will continue to work closely with Shenzhen to expedite all preparatory work. Once both sides confirm that the port meets the conditions for safe and smooth operation, the Guangdong and Hong Kong governments will finalize the official opening date and announce it to the public in due course.U.S. Defense Secretary Hergsays: If Cuba does not comply with Washingtons demands, we will take military action against the country. As I have said before, and as we may have seen in other cases, all options, including military options, are being considered.

AUD/USD continues to swing near 0.6860 despite positive Australian employment data

Alina Haynes

Dec 15, 2022 11:35

 AUD:USD.png

 

The AUD/USD currency pair continues to be affected by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision (Fed). The Australian dollar has continued to bounce at 0.6860 despite the Australian Bureau of Statistics' announcement of a significant improvement in Employment Change data. The Australian economy has created 64K new jobs, as opposed to the 19K expected and the 32.2K seen earlier. The unemployment rate has remained unchanged at 3.4%.

 

Previously, 12-month inflation forecasts for Australian consumers declined to 5.2% from 5.7% and 6.0% in the prior edition. Reserve Bank of Australia will be delighted by a considerable decline in inflationary pressures (RBA). Philip Lowe, the RBA's governor, has been tightening monetary policy to reduce the CPI (CPI).

 

Notably, a drop in one-year inflation expectations will not compel the RBA to abandon further interest rate hikes, given that the route to achieving a 2% inflation rate is not yet complete. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) could boost the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps).

 

A change in the Federal Reserve's (Fed) current monetary policy plan caused volatility in the US Dollar. After the Fed announced a lesser rate hike of 50 basis points (bps) and abandoned the 75 basis point rate hike cycle, the US Dollar Index (DXY) plummeted to a six-month low of 103.49. As the fight against inflation will take some time, the Federal Reserve has raised the peak interest rate to 5.1% by the end of CY2023.