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Japanese Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Yoji Muto: We will strongly request the United States to exempt Japan from tariff measures and set up a special working group to provide information and grasp the impact.Japanese Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Yoji Muto: The content of (US tariffs) needs to be analyzed and the impact on the Japanese economy examined.Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Yoji Muto: We have told the United States that the new tariff announcement is "extremely regrettable."On April 3, Kimberly Clausing, a former Biden administration official and nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, called Trumps tariff announcement on Wednesday "very stubborn and much worse than I expected." "I expected things to be bad, but I didnt expect this level of self-harm. Its shocking that anyone thought this was a good idea. Id be shocked if we can get through this without a recession and Trump doesnt have to reverse his policies."On April 3, some economists worry that if Trump does not quickly cancel the latest round of tariffs, it may push the US economy into a recession. "If the US government implements these higher tariffs without major exemptions, it will be difficult for the economy to digest this. A recession seems more likely." said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moodys Analytics. Zandi said, "In many ways, the tariffs announced by Trump are even worse than the worst case scenario he envisioned. If they stick to it, I will buckle up and prepare for the impact." Zandi added that on a static basis, tariffs account for nearly 2% of GDP (not considering the impact of tariffs on the economy and taxes), which makes this round of tariffs the largest tax increase since the tax increase used to finance the war during World War II.

AUD/NZD moves within a 23-pip band due to Australian inflation that is lower than predicted

Alina Haynes

Nov 30, 2022 15:27

截屏2022-11-30 上午10.58.10.png 

 

The AUD/NZD pair swung wildly between 1.0764 and 1.0787 throughout the Asian session after the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported lower-than-anticipated Australian inflation data. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October reported a decrease in inflation to 6.9%, when market participants had predicted an increase to 7.4%.

 

If inflation declines, policymakers at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would likely heave a sigh of relief. Since inflationary pressures had previously shown little indication of abating, the Australian central bank was particularly concerned. In order to combat inflation, the market predicted that RBA Governor Philip Lowe will be forced to return to a rate hike structure of 50 basis points (bps).

 

As the inflation rate has fallen below 7.0%, the RBA may retain its present timetable of 25 basis point rate hikes to sustain economic prospects and satisfy its duty to seek price stability.

 

Investors are currently monitoring the development of the Chinese demonstrations. As a result of the public's enraged and exasperated lockdown protest against Covid, economic projections have become more bleak. This has held the antipodeans captive to bears for the past week.

 

Other than that, Thursday's Caixin Manufacturing PMI data will continue to be crucial. It is projected that the economic data would be lower at 48.9 than the prior reading of 49.2.

 

In New Zealand, the number of Building Permits has decreased by 10.7%, compared to the expected 2.4% increase and the previous release of 3.6%. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) increase in interest rates may be responsible for a decrease in the economic catalyst.

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