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On October 25th, local time, Sudans Rapid Support Forces (RSF) announced their control of Bara, a major city in North Kordofan State, central Sudan. The statement stated that the RSF launched a full-scale offensive against the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF)-held city, inflicting thousands of casualties and injuring hundreds, ultimately securing full control of the city. The statement also stated that retaking Bara is a significant step toward full control of the Kordofan region. The SAF has yet to respond to the statement.Pakistans Defense Minister: We see Afghanistans desire for peace, but failure to reach an agreement will mean open war.On October 25th, local time, the second round of ceasefire talks between Pakistan and Afghanistan began in Istanbul, Turkey. The talks were hosted by Turkey and held at an Istanbul hotel. The Pakistani delegation included the militarys director of operations and security and intelligence officials. The Afghan delegation was led by Deputy Interior Minister Rahmatullah Najeeb.On October 25th, Belgorod Oblast Governor Ilya Gladkov announced that Ukrainian armed forces had damaged the Belgorod Reservoir Dam. He stated that Ukrainian forces might attempt to attack and destroy the dam again. If this were to happen, several streets in riverbanks and settlements near Kharkiv Oblast would be flooded, impacting the lives of approximately 1,000 residents. Gladkov stated that local authorities have advised residents at risk of flooding to move to temporary relocation sites. The Ukrainian side has not yet responded to this request.On October 25th, Bank of France Governor François Villeroy de Villeroy warned lawmakers debating the 2026 budget that the deficit must not exceed 4.8% of economic output to ensure France can cope with its growing debt burden. The French National Assembly is currently debating a draft budget that targets 4.7% GDP growth, but Prime Minister Jean-Claude Le Cornu has said the ultimate target should be within 5%, and he is seeking a compromise with opposition lawmakers. "It is absolutely necessary to keep the deficit below 3% between now and 2029, which would imply a maximum deficit of 4.8% next year," Villeroy de Villeroy said in an interview with La Croix. He also stated that France faces the risk of "progressive suffocation" from debt and that additional deficit spending will fail to stimulate economic growth. According to calculations by the Bank of France, if debt uncertainty is reduced, a 1% reduction in the household savings rate would boost economic growth by 0.4%. However, Villeroy de Villeroy stated that the French economy has strong momentum this year and growth will be "at least" as strong as the Banks forecast of 0.7%.

AUD/JPY Establishes over 90.00 as RBA Favors Gradual Balance Sheet Easing Program

Alina Haynes

May 23, 2022 10:06

The AUD/JPY pair has showed a sharper upward move after being underwhelming in the early Tokyo session. The risk barometer stayed in a modest range of 90.18-90.44 and now has surged significantly to around 90.60 after Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)’s Christopher Kent said that the central bank is in no haste to kick-start its balance sheet reduction operation.

 

The current spike in the price pressure caused the RBA to boost its interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) for the very first time since the Covid-19 epidemic in May’s monetary policy statement. The action was absolutely unexpected since the RBA did emphasize in its comments that the central bank is not seeing rate rises sooner.

 

As RBA has pushed up its rate cycle, the market investors started expecting that the RBA will also commence its balance sheet reduction program to speed up the inflation-controlling procedure. Now, the RBA has indicated that the central bank is in no mood to bank upon quantitatively easing forcefully.

 

RBA Christopher Kent ordered that the Bank would continue to be able to maintain effective control over the cash rate as it withdraws monetary policy stimulus in the term ahead,' as per Reuters.

 

Meanwhile, higher-than-anticipated inflation data in Tokyo are expected to limit the sheer quantity of stimulus packages supplied by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to accelerate the growth rate. Annual Japan’s National Consumer Price Index (CPI) number at 2.5 percent , much higher than the expectations of 1.5 percent and the earlier print of 1.2. 

AUD/JPY

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