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On November 8th, Kpler analyst Amena Bakr stated that OPEC+s decision to suspend production increases in the first quarter of next year is a precautionary measure, given the current market glut. "OPECs suspension of production increases is a prudent move, given the current oversupply," she said. Furthermore, as previous production cuts are gradually phased out, the organizations spare capacity has decreased significantly, currently estimated at around 4 million to 4.3 million barrels per day. "Some OPEC+ members have been struggling to increase production, raising concerns about whether more supply will be needed in the future. We are facing a constrained situation, with spare capacity within the group continuously decreasing."The German DAX 30 index closed down 191.13 points, or 0.80%, at 23,553.11 on Friday, November 7th; the UK FTSE 100 index closed down 55.48 points, or 0.57%, at 9,680.30 on Friday, November 7th; the French CAC 40 index closed down 14.59 points, or 0.18%, at 7,950.18 on Friday, November 7th; European... The Stoxx 50 index closed down 47.73 points, or 0.85%, at 5563.45 on Friday, November 7; the Spanish IBEX 35 index closed down 233.10 points, or 1.45%, at 15887.00 on Friday, November 7; and the Italian FTSE MIB index closed down 187.69 points, or 0.44%, at 42881.00 on Friday, November 7.Ukraines Presidential Advisor on Strategic Affairs, Kameshin, stated that the proposal regarding the export of weapons to Ukraine will be put forward in December.The schedule shows that Azerbaijani BTC crude oil exports from the port of Ceyhan will reach 17 million barrels in December, up from 15.3 million barrels in November.The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) will issue further decisions regarding exemptions for small refineries.

AUD / USD Rises To 0.6640 As Australian Employment Improves

Daniel Rogers

Mar 16, 2023 14:12

As a consequence of the upbeat Employment data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the AUD/USD pair has extended its recovery to near 0.6640. The Australian economy added 64,600 new employment in February, exceeding the consensus estimate of 48,500. The Australian economy reported 11.5K unemployment in January. From estimates of 3.6% and the previous issuance of 3.7%, the unemployment rate has been further reduced to 3.5%.

 

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which is drafting a plan to reduce inflation, will encounter additional challenges as a consequence of positive Australian labor market data. As a larger labor force in action would exacerbate inflationary pressures, RBA Governor Philip Lowe may continue to target higher rates.

 

Earlier, Australian Consumer Inflation Expectations (Mar) data indicated that inflation projections for the next 12 months decreased to 5.0% from the consensus of 5.4% and the previous release of 5.1%.

 

In the meantime, S&P500 futures are showing modest gains during the Asian session, which could be considered a dead cat bounce following the volatility on Wednesday. The debacle of Credit Suisse following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has increased the risk of global banking turmoil. According to one school of thought, the Federal Reserve (Fed) and other western central banks' rapid and precipitous interest rate increases contributed to the collapse of the global banking system.

 

As investors anticipate a less hawkish interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is looking to extend its correction below 104.60. After a fleeting upswing in January, the United States' inflation has retreated, dampening expectations for a hawkish stance from Fed chair Jerome Powell.