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August 26th - This week, central bank officials from around the world will gather in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to discuss how to re-examine global inflation and the prospect of further increases in borrowing costs in the face of new inflationary threats. Spiros, an economist at Thin Ice Macro in Frankfurt, stated, "Global central banks are likely to adopt a cautious stance, viewing inflation as the risk they least want to see. You never know when the next supply shock will suddenly appear." Subadra Rajapa, head of US research at Societe Generale, noted that countries differ in their urgency regarding inflation, partly due to their varying degrees of sensitivity to energy cost fluctuations, which in turn depend on their import volumes. He pointed out that Europe and Japan are "more sensitive to the situation in the Middle East and oil prices." "We estimate that policy rates in the US and UK will remain tight," said Jarry Stern, chief European economist at Goldman Sachs. "Different starting points mean different pressures on countries to cope with the energy shock, giving the Fed and the Bank of England more time to observe how this shock evolves." Former Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said, "The Iran war has changed the way people discuss issues and make policy choices, and there seems to be no end in sight." "This makes this years Jackson Hole symposium completely different because we are now in a typical supply shock environment, or more accurately, multiple supply shocks hitting the global economy simultaneously."On August 26, CanSino Biologics (06185.HK) issued an announcement on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, noting the companys recent market developments regarding mRNA technology. The mRNA platform is one of the companys key technology platforms. The company is currently developing mRNA preventative vaccines and therapeutic biological products, as well as related delivery systems. In the therapeutic areas, the company is advancing research and development of mRNA vaccines for the treatment of glioblastoma, rhabdomyosarcoma, and cervical cancer, as well as the development of InVivoCAR-related therapies, all currently in early stages.The UKs CBI retail sales expectations index rose to -22 in August from -26, the highest level since March.The UKs CBI Retail Sales Expectations Index for August was -22, compared to -26 previously.The UK CBI retail sales balance for August was -48, compared to -26 in the previous month.

AUD / USD Rises To 0.6640 As Australian Employment Improves

Daniel Rogers

Mar 16, 2023 14:12

As a consequence of the upbeat Employment data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the AUD/USD pair has extended its recovery to near 0.6640. The Australian economy added 64,600 new employment in February, exceeding the consensus estimate of 48,500. The Australian economy reported 11.5K unemployment in January. From estimates of 3.6% and the previous issuance of 3.7%, the unemployment rate has been further reduced to 3.5%.

 

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which is drafting a plan to reduce inflation, will encounter additional challenges as a consequence of positive Australian labor market data. As a larger labor force in action would exacerbate inflationary pressures, RBA Governor Philip Lowe may continue to target higher rates.

 

Earlier, Australian Consumer Inflation Expectations (Mar) data indicated that inflation projections for the next 12 months decreased to 5.0% from the consensus of 5.4% and the previous release of 5.1%.

 

In the meantime, S&P500 futures are showing modest gains during the Asian session, which could be considered a dead cat bounce following the volatility on Wednesday. The debacle of Credit Suisse following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has increased the risk of global banking turmoil. According to one school of thought, the Federal Reserve (Fed) and other western central banks' rapid and precipitous interest rate increases contributed to the collapse of the global banking system.

 

As investors anticipate a less hawkish interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is looking to extend its correction below 104.60. After a fleeting upswing in January, the United States' inflation has retreated, dampening expectations for a hawkish stance from Fed chair Jerome Powell.