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On October 16th, gold prices hit a new high of $4,226 in early trading, supported by concerns about trade tensions and market bets that the Federal Reserve will increase monetary easing before the end of the year. So far this week, gold prices have risen by over 5%, and the buying frenzy has also spread to other precious metals. Traders are heavily betting on at least one significant US interest rate cut before the end of the year, and Fed Chairman Powell hinted this week that the central bank will cut rates by another 25 basis points later this month. The ongoing US government shutdown also provided support for gold prices. Furthermore, the so-called "currency devaluation trade" is driving inflows into gold, with investors selling sovereign debt and currencies to hedge against the risks of widening fiscal deficits. Active gold purchases by central banks are a key support. Saad Rahim, chief economist at Trafigura Group, said that the gold rally is "primarily driven by physical buying. If you look at central banks, they are buying heavily."South Koreas chief presidential policy adviser expressed "optimism" when asked about US tariff negotiations.Honda Motor: Will make additional investment in California-based startup Helm.AI.ANZ Bank raised its gold price forecast to $4,400 an ounce by the end of this year, and expects it to peak at nearly $4,600 an ounce by June 2026.On October 16, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) announced that atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide reached record highs in 2024. This phenomenon is attributed to continued human emissions of carbon dioxide and the frequent occurrence of wildfires. This, combined with the reduced absorption of carbon dioxide by carbon sinks such as terrestrial ecosystems and the oceans, could lead to a vicious cycle of climate change. WMO officials stated that the last time such high carbon dioxide concentrations were recorded in Earths history was approximately 3 to 5 million years ago, before the advent of humans.

AUD / JPY Falls Below 91.50 Despite RBA Rate Increase Prospects

Alina Haynes

Mar 07, 2023 13:41

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The AUD / JPY pair has moved its auction below 91.50 during the early Asian session. The risk barometer is confronting offers while attempting a recovery, and it is anticipated that its decline will continue to around 91.30. Despite increasing likelihood of a hawkish monetary policy from the Reserve Bank of Australia, the cross shows no signs of recovery (RBA).

 

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January showed a significant deceleration, but not enough for the RBA to suspend its policy tightening.

 

GDP increased by 0.5% in the fourth quarter, which was less than the consensus estimate of 0.8% and the previous release of 0.7%.

 

Analysts at SocGen believe that "recent signals in the macroeconomic data, such as the decline in inflation, the revival in the unemployment rate, relatively tepid wage growth, and the confirmation of a decline in consumption, all support a 25 basis point increase in March." Despite the markets' more pessimistic view of US Fed policy, they sustain our baseline scenario of a terminal policy rate of 3.85%.

 

, The annualized GDP data indicate that the Japanese economy has expanded by 0.8%, which is 0.8% more than the previous expansion of 0.6%. While it is expected that the quarterly statistics will show a steady growth of0.2%, it is anticipated that the yearly growth rate will be 0.4%.