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Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures group: There seems to be some profit-taking in the oil market due to concerns that OPEC will increase production by more than expected.July 5, Swissquote senior market analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya: The preference for the US dollar is weakening. First, concerns about US debt are rising, and second, the preference for US debt is facing risks. Another reason is that the tariff situation and trade disruptions will have a negative impact on US economic growth, and the Federal Reserve may not be able to support the economy when inflation risks rise.July 5th news: On July 4th local time, a federal judge in the United States briefly halted the Trump administrations plan to deport eight immigrants to South Sudan in order to buy time for their lawyers to state their claims in a Massachusetts court.On July 5, institutional analyst Javier Blas said that OPEC+ representatives are discussing a fourth consecutive increase of 411,000 barrels per day, but there is also the possibility of a "slightly larger" increase. According to the increased UAE quota, OPEC+ will return about 2.5 million barrels per day of production to the market. So far, about 1.4 million barrels per day have been returned (one increase of 138,000 barrels per day and three increases of 411,000 barrels per day). Next, the remaining increase may be divided into three monthly increases (two 411,000 barrels per day and one about 275,000 barrels per day). But it is also possible to accelerate the increase in production and make two increases of about 550,000 barrels per day.French President Emmanuel Macron: Airbus and Malaysia Airlines have reached a "historic" cooperation agreement. (Previously, AirAsia Bhd. reached a preliminary agreement with Airbus to purchase up to 70 Airbus SE extended-range jets, a transaction valued at $12.3 billion.)

A Quiet Start for Silver Markets, According to the Silver Price Prediction Model

Alina Haynes

Jul 05, 2022 11:51

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Silver markets have done relatively little throughout the trading session on Monday, as the Americans were away for the Independence Day vacation. This means that there was just a small amount of electronic trade, so suggesting that you cannot read too much into the Monday candlestick. You may, however, read quite a deal into the Friday candlestick. The Friday candlestick pierced the $20 barrier, so wiping off a number of stop loss orders.

 

Any recovery at this moment in time in the silver market needs to be looked at through the lens of mistrust, since the downside is so strongly embedded in the mentality of market players. In fact, it’s not until we break over the $22.50 barrier that I start to look in the opposite direction. I feel that the $20 level should be small barrier, but I predict that there is much more resistance towards the $21 level.

 

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At the first hint of weariness, I will more often than not put on a tiny position to start “dipping my toe in the water” to the downside. My desire to purchase silver is currently thwarted by an overvalued currency and rising interest rates in the United States, both of which operate against the total worth of commodities. Adding additional gasoline to the flames is that industrial demand for silver should continue to drop in this climate, so it’s simply too much for the markets overcome anytime soon.

 

If we break down below the lows of the Friday session, I predict that the $18 level will be attacked next, followed by the $15 level.