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On June 30th, according to foreign media reports, international oil prices rose on Monday as weekend clashes between the US and Iran highlighted the fragility of the interim peace agreement. Meanwhile, cautious market expectations for a continued recovery in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz limited the potential for further price increases. Sources said that the technical teams from the US and Iran responsible for implementing the interim peace agreement are expected to meet in Doha, the capital of Qatar, in the coming days. Last Thursday, media reports indicated that the amount of crude oil transported through the Strait of Hormuz had risen to its highest level since the start of the US-Israel war against Iran in late February. However, analysts warned that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is far from fully recovered, keeping oil prices high. Bob Yageer, head of energy futures at Mizuho Bank, said that people are realizing this. Its impossible to move all the crude oil out of the Gulf in the next week or two, nor is it possible to stuff all the crude oil into the strait to restore pre-war levels.Japans May unemployment rate will be released in ten minutes.Conflict Situation: 1. According to RIA Novosti: The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that Russian troops have taken control of Bokhodalivka in eastern Ukraine. 2. Ukraine reported an attack on Dnipro, resulting in 4 deaths and 10 injuries. Peace Negotiations: 1. Kremlin: (Regarding new Ukrainian peace proposals) Our position, as stated by Russian President Putin in 2024, remains unchanged. Other Situations: 1. The United States removed some entities from its sanctions list related to Russia. 2. According to Interfax: Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak stated that Russia is still considering imposing a diesel export ban. 3. According to RIA Novosti: Russia will take political and military-technical measures in response to Finlands lifting of the ban on nuclear weapons deployment. 4. Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Zakharova: NATO is cooperating with Ukraine to prepare for the development of weapons capable of striking Russian air bases, including those deep within Russian territory. 5. Zelensky: During the Danish Defense Ministers first visit to Ukraine, the two sides discussed preparations for a "drone agreement," which is nearing completion, and both sides agreed that it should be signed as soon as possible. The new Danish government has pledged to continue its firm support for Ukraine.New York silver futures broke through $59 per ounce, up 0.63% on the day.Market news: The U.S. House of Representatives has passed legislation related to childrens online safety.

A Quiet Start for Silver Markets, According to the Silver Price Prediction Model

Alina Haynes

Jul 05, 2022 11:51

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Silver markets have done relatively little throughout the trading session on Monday, as the Americans were away for the Independence Day vacation. This means that there was just a small amount of electronic trade, so suggesting that you cannot read too much into the Monday candlestick. You may, however, read quite a deal into the Friday candlestick. The Friday candlestick pierced the $20 barrier, so wiping off a number of stop loss orders.

 

Any recovery at this moment in time in the silver market needs to be looked at through the lens of mistrust, since the downside is so strongly embedded in the mentality of market players. In fact, it’s not until we break over the $22.50 barrier that I start to look in the opposite direction. I feel that the $20 level should be small barrier, but I predict that there is much more resistance towards the $21 level.

 

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At the first hint of weariness, I will more often than not put on a tiny position to start “dipping my toe in the water” to the downside. My desire to purchase silver is currently thwarted by an overvalued currency and rising interest rates in the United States, both of which operate against the total worth of commodities. Adding additional gasoline to the flames is that industrial demand for silver should continue to drop in this climate, so it’s simply too much for the markets overcome anytime soon.

 

If we break down below the lows of the Friday session, I predict that the $18 level will be attacked next, followed by the $15 level.