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January 22 – Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun held a regular press conference on January 22. An AFP reporter asked about US President Trumps scheduled signing ceremony for the "Peace Commission" in Davos, Switzerland today, noting that approximately 35 of the 50 invited leaders have accepted the invitation. What is Chinas comment on this? Is China considering participating? "We have already answered the question about the Peace Commission, and we have no further information to add at this time," Guo Jiakun said.On January 22, in response to remarks made by a NATO spokesperson regarding Greenland, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun stated at a regular press conference that China consistently advocates handling relations between countries in accordance with the purposes and principles of the UN Charter. The so-called "China threat" is baseless, and China opposes fabricating baseless accusations and using China as a pretext for pursuing selfish interests.On January 22, the Ministry of Commerce held a regular press conference. Spokesperson He Yongqian, in response to a question regarding the trade agreement reached between China and Canada on electric vehicles and canola, stated that according to the adjusted arrangements, Canada will grant China an annual quota of 49,000 electric vehicles, enjoying a 6.1% most-favored-nation tariff within the quota, with the 100% surcharge waived. The quota will increase annually at a certain rate. China believes this is a positive step in the right direction for Canada and good news for Chinese electric vehicles expanding into the Canadian market. Regarding canola, China has always advocated resolving trade disputes through dialogue and consultation, and will fully consider Canadas reasonable demands within the framework of rules, making a final ruling based on facts and evidence. It is believed that these agreements will play a positive role in deepening relevant trade and industrial cooperation between China and Canada and improving the well-being of the people of both countries.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at 15:03 on January 22 in Akqi County, Kizilsu Kirghiz Autonomous Prefecture, Xinjiang (40.71 degrees north latitude, 78.43 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.The chart shows that at 23:00 Beijing time on January 22, there will be large foreign exchange options contracts for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and USD/CAD expiring, including 7 contracts with strike prices exceeding 1 billion. Please manage your risks.

Volatility subsides around 101.80 as focus shifts to US S&P PMI in US Dollar Index Price Analysis

Alina Haynes

Apr 21, 2023 14:03

US Dollar Index.png 

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has prolonged its correction after falling below immediate support at 101.80 during the Asian session. Following the release of more-than-anticipated Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending April 14 and a lackluster Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (April), the USD Index fluctuated erratically on Thursday.

 

The US Department of Labor reported that unemployment claims exceeded expectations for the eleventh consecutive week. The economic data revealed that 245K unemployed people filed for unemployment benefits, exceeding both the consensus estimate and the previous figure of 240K.

 

Due to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to increase interest rates, labor market conditions are undeniably and persistently deteriorating. Despite this, the market continues to anticipate a 25 basis point (bp) rate hike. According to CME Fedwatch, over 85 percent of probabilities favor interest rates above 5 percent.

 

In the interim, three consecutive bearish trading sessions on the S&P 500 suggest that investors have supported the risk aversion theme. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds has dropped below 3.54 percent. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers. 

 

On a two-hour time frame, the USD Index is consolidating in a wide range between 101.63 and 102.23, indicating the absence of a significant catalyst. After the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States, a power-pack action is anticipated. It is anticipated that the Manufacturing PMI will register 49.0, a decrease from the previous release of 49.9. The Services PMI is expected to fall to 51.5 from the previously reported 52.6.

 

At 101.85, the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) intersects with the asset price, indicating a significant decrease in volatility.

 

In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) oscillates between 40.00 and 60.00, indicating that investors are waiting for a decisive catalyst.

 

If the asset breaks decisively above the April 17 high of 102.23, investors will push the asset toward the April 10 and March 24 potential resistance levels of 102.76 and 103.36, respectively.

 

Alternately, a breach of the April 5 low of 101.41 would cause the asset to decline to the April 14 low of 100.78. A subsequent decline will reveal psychological support of $100 for the asset.


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