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On September 5th, stronger-than-expected US August jobs data triggered renewed bets on a possible Federal Reserve rate hike, but Wall Street risk assets did not show significant panic. Data showed increased resilience in the job market, leading traders to raise their expectations for a rate hike at the Feds September 16th meeting. US Treasuries experienced a sell-off, the dollar strengthened, and the S&P 500 fell on Friday but still recorded a weekly gain. Unlike previous rate hikes that often triggered capital outflows, this round of bond market adjustments has not yet spread to other risk assets. Credit spreads remain low, limiting pressure on corporate bonds and stock index markets. JPMorgan Chase stated that US Treasury liquidity has deteriorated significantly, but corporate bond ETFs and stock index futures markets have not yet experienced similar tension. Market resilience mainly stems from economic growth and corporate profits, especially as AI investment continues to drive large-scale capital expenditures by technology companies. Analysts point out that the market is currently more focused on whether yields will rise rapidly than on the jobs data itself. The market focus will shift to inflation data and whether the Fed will reconsider its rate hike path due to inflationary pressures. If yields rise further rapidly, it could force investors to reduce their risk exposure.US officials: The White House has no plans to hold an artificial intelligence meeting in mid-September.The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) are continuing operations in the security zone to eliminate threats to Israeli civilians and soldiers. The IDF will continue to take measures against Hezbollahs repeated attempts to harm Israeli soldiers.The Israel Defense Forces stated that the operation constituted a "blatant violation" of Hezbollahs rules and that retaliatory strikes had been carried out against targets in southern Lebanon.Israel Defense Forces: Hezbollah militants fired a drone at Israeli soldiers stationed in the "safe zone" in southern Lebanon on the same day. The Israeli military opened fire and shot it down, causing no casualties.

Technical Analysis

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