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July 21 – Nuveen Global Investment Strategist Laura Cooper stated in a report that the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting this week after the June rate hike, but will maintain a tighter tone. Cooper said the ECB would remain open to further tightening if renewed tensions drive up energy prices. She said inflation is more moderate than feared, with little sign of renewed acceleration in the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) pricing sub-index, while producer price data confirms that upstream cost pressures are easing. “These factors provide a reason to hold rates steady this month,” she said. The complexity lies in renewed disruptions to commodity supplies, which could reignite energy price pressures at a time when the ECB is gaining confidence in the path of declining inflation.According to the Joint Oil Data Institute (JODI), Saudi Arabias domestic refineries increased crude oil processing by 175,000 barrels per day in May, reaching 2.386 million barrels per day.According to the Joint Oil Data Institute (JODI), Saudi Arabias crude oil inventories increased by 2.827 million barrels in May, reaching 142.794 million barrels.According to the Joint Oil Data Institute (JODI), Saudi Arabias direct crude oil burning increased by 107,000 barrels per day in May, reaching 647,000 barrels per day.According to the Joint Oil Database (JODI), Saudi Arabias petroleum product exports increased by 74,000 barrels per day in May, reaching 1.083 million barrels per day.

Due to hawkish Fed forecasts, the EUR/USD recovers to near 1.0970 but remains in the doldrums

Alina Haynes

Apr 21, 2023 13:58

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Following a corrective move, the EUR/USD pair has rebounded from 1.0960, but investors await the publication of the preliminary Eurozone/United States S&P PMI data for April. The major currency pair has remained between 1.0911 and 1.1000 for the past two trading sessions, as the foreign exchange market prepares for a pre-anxiety move ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.

 

S&P500 closed with a negative tone for the third day in a row as quarterly earnings season induced extreme volatility. Tesla's poor earnings had a negative impact on Thursday's market sentiment. Moreover, market participants were cautioned by substandard revenue projections due to the potential for price reductions. The decision of the Fed to increase interest rates is reflected in quarterly earnings. Data from Refinitiv indicates that analysts have largely maintained last week's forecast of a near 5% YoY decline in quarterly profits for the 500 largest U.S. equities. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers. 

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been defending the key support level of 101.60 in recent trading sessions. The USD Index maintained the aforementioned support despite the release of disappointing Jobless claims data on Thursday. Initial Jobless Claims increased to 245K for the week ending April 4, which is greater than the previous release of 240K and estimates of 240K. Increasing unemployment claims heightened fears of a deteriorating labor market.

 

Despite this, Fed policymakers continue to anticipate further rate hikes from the central bank. Thursday, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, reaffirmed that the Fed has more work to do because US inflation remains too high, according to Reuters. He added, "The Federal Reserve will need to raise its policy rate above 5% and hold it there for some time."

 

Preliminary Consumer Confidence (April) for the Eurozone increased to -17.5 from -18.5 and the previous reading of -19.2. This may be the consequence of extraordinary efforts by the European Central Bank (ECB) to reduce inflationary pressures.


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