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On May 14, Hang Seng Bank (00011.HK) reportedly carried out a more extensive layoff operation since the bonus was distributed in late March. The reduction in individual departments of Hang Seng is about 10% to 50%, and the layoff operation is expected to be completed by the end of June. According to reports, Hang Seng Bank has laid off employees in many departments since March. At this stage, it mainly involves the logistics support department, including the strategy and corporate development department. In addition, the layoff departments also include the information technology department, corporate communications department and Hang Seng Index Company. According to reports, even if employees in the affected departments have not been fired, they have to reapply for the position and compete with internal and external applicants. However, even if you apply for a position in the original department, the title may have changed due to the reorganization. Currently, Hang Seng is recruiting more than 100 positions, and the relevant employees can apply for any position at will.Samsonite (01910.HK) fell nearly 10% after the results. The companys adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter decreased by 20.9% to US$128 million.Smoore International (06969.HK) rose more than 7%, and its share price once reached HK$17 during the session, setting a new high since August 2022.The rupiah fell as much as 0.45% to 16,585 against the dollar, its lowest level since May 2.On May 14, Goldman Sachs said that after an internal analysis of Trumps social media posts on oil prices, it was found that Trump seemed to prefer to maintain WTI oil prices between $40 and $50 per barrel. Analysts such as Daan Struyven said: "Trump has always been very concerned about oil and US energy dominance. He has posted nearly 900 related tweets. Through analysis, we infer that his preference for WTI oil prices is around $40 to $50, which is also the range in which he talks about oil prices the least frequently." The prices of US and Brent crude oil are often affected by Trumps social media remarks. His comments range from OPECs production policy, US gasoline prices to sanctions on countries such as Iran. The report pointed out: "When WTI prices are above $50, Trump usually calls for price cuts (or welcomes the drop in oil prices); when oil prices are very low (below $30), he calls for higher oil prices, usually to support domestic oil and gas production in the United States."

Volatility subsides around 101.80 as focus shifts to US S&P PMI in US Dollar Index Price Analysis

Alina Haynes

Apr 21, 2023 14:03

US Dollar Index.png 

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has prolonged its correction after falling below immediate support at 101.80 during the Asian session. Following the release of more-than-anticipated Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending April 14 and a lackluster Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (April), the USD Index fluctuated erratically on Thursday.

 

The US Department of Labor reported that unemployment claims exceeded expectations for the eleventh consecutive week. The economic data revealed that 245K unemployed people filed for unemployment benefits, exceeding both the consensus estimate and the previous figure of 240K.

 

Due to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to increase interest rates, labor market conditions are undeniably and persistently deteriorating. Despite this, the market continues to anticipate a 25 basis point (bp) rate hike. According to CME Fedwatch, over 85 percent of probabilities favor interest rates above 5 percent.

 

In the interim, three consecutive bearish trading sessions on the S&P 500 suggest that investors have supported the risk aversion theme. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds has dropped below 3.54 percent. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers. 

 

On a two-hour time frame, the USD Index is consolidating in a wide range between 101.63 and 102.23, indicating the absence of a significant catalyst. After the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States, a power-pack action is anticipated. It is anticipated that the Manufacturing PMI will register 49.0, a decrease from the previous release of 49.9. The Services PMI is expected to fall to 51.5 from the previously reported 52.6.

 

At 101.85, the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) intersects with the asset price, indicating a significant decrease in volatility.

 

In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) oscillates between 40.00 and 60.00, indicating that investors are waiting for a decisive catalyst.

 

If the asset breaks decisively above the April 17 high of 102.23, investors will push the asset toward the April 10 and March 24 potential resistance levels of 102.76 and 103.36, respectively.

 

Alternately, a breach of the April 5 low of 101.41 would cause the asset to decline to the April 14 low of 100.78. A subsequent decline will reveal psychological support of $100 for the asset.


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