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July 5th - George Gonsalves, head of U.S. macro strategy at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities Americas, said that Warshs concise style makes the June meeting minutes more significant than usual, providing a valuable perspective on the differing positions among Federal Reserve officials. "The minutes will become even more important because, until now, we didnt know what the Fed was thinking," Gonsalves said. "It will be very enlightening to see how they debated and what they focused on." He added that some investors have questioned Warshs "hands-off" approach, and many want greater transparency. Many market participants are not used to reduced information and remain quite skeptical about how long the Fed can maintain this stance. Now we can only try to decipher the meaning between the lines.On July 5th, local time, Russian Presidential Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov stated in a broadcast that Ukrainian armed forces have intensified their attacks on Russian infrastructure due to the deteriorating situation on the front lines. The Russian military is establishing a secure buffer zone along the border, and concrete results are already visible. He also stated that Russian troops are steadily advancing according to plan in special military operations areas. Peskov stated that the EUs transformation into a military-political bloc has further exacerbated the Ukraine issue. Russia hopes the EU will not undermine the prospects for peace negotiations. Peskov also stated that Russia remains open to peace negotiations and looks forward to the US playing a mediating role. Russia has always welcomed visits from US Presidential Envoy Witkov and Trumps son-in-law Jared Kushner. Even with their extended absence, Russia continues to maintain contact with the US through existing channels.July 5 - According to sources from the Yemeni military and medical departments, Houthi rebels launched an attack on Hodeidah province on the Red Sea coast on July 4, killing at least 14 Yemeni government soldiers and injuring several others.According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), the Iranian International Maritime Bureau stated that maritime trade between Qatars Ruves port and Iranian ports has resumed.Iraqi Oil Minister: Crude oil production at the Sinbad oil field will reach 80,000 to 100,000 barrels per day, with associated gas production increasing by approximately 260 million standard cubic feet per day.

Due to hawkish Fed forecasts, the EUR/USD recovers to near 1.0970 but remains in the doldrums

Alina Haynes

Apr 21, 2023 13:58

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Following a corrective move, the EUR/USD pair has rebounded from 1.0960, but investors await the publication of the preliminary Eurozone/United States S&P PMI data for April. The major currency pair has remained between 1.0911 and 1.1000 for the past two trading sessions, as the foreign exchange market prepares for a pre-anxiety move ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.

 

S&P500 closed with a negative tone for the third day in a row as quarterly earnings season induced extreme volatility. Tesla's poor earnings had a negative impact on Thursday's market sentiment. Moreover, market participants were cautioned by substandard revenue projections due to the potential for price reductions. The decision of the Fed to increase interest rates is reflected in quarterly earnings. Data from Refinitiv indicates that analysts have largely maintained last week's forecast of a near 5% YoY decline in quarterly profits for the 500 largest U.S. equities. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers. 

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been defending the key support level of 101.60 in recent trading sessions. The USD Index maintained the aforementioned support despite the release of disappointing Jobless claims data on Thursday. Initial Jobless Claims increased to 245K for the week ending April 4, which is greater than the previous release of 240K and estimates of 240K. Increasing unemployment claims heightened fears of a deteriorating labor market.

 

Despite this, Fed policymakers continue to anticipate further rate hikes from the central bank. Thursday, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, reaffirmed that the Fed has more work to do because US inflation remains too high, according to Reuters. He added, "The Federal Reserve will need to raise its policy rate above 5% and hold it there for some time."

 

Preliminary Consumer Confidence (April) for the Eurozone increased to -17.5 from -18.5 and the previous reading of -19.2. This may be the consequence of extraordinary efforts by the European Central Bank (ECB) to reduce inflationary pressures.


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