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On June 17, the International Energy Agency (IEA) stated that the oil supply shock in the Gulf region is expected to cause a significant drop in global oil demand before oil supplies in the Strait of Hormuz gradually normalize, with supply projected to rebound to 8 million barrels per day by 2027. The IEA noted that while the interim agreement to be signed this week by the US and Iran represents the most significant breakthrough in negotiations since the outbreak of the war, a full restoration of supplies through this vital waterway is expected to take several months. The organization now projects that global oil demand will decline by 1.1 million barrels per day this year due to high oil prices and severe supply disruptions, compared to a previous forecast of a 420,000 barrel per day decline. With the normalization of trade, lower oil prices, and an improved economic outlook, demand is expected to rebound to 2 million barrels per day next year. The IEA stated, "While the details of the agreement are still pending clarification and several issues remain unresolved, this is an encouraging step forward. However, a full restoration will not happen overnight, as mines need to be cleared from major shipping lanes and supply chains will need time to return to normal."On June 17th, the Shanghai Stock Exchange announced that companies producing large-scale AI models will be eligible for the fifth set of listing standards for the Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market). Issuers should hold a prominent and leading position in the field of large-scale AI models, occupy an important position in the industry chain, play a leading and exemplary role in the industry, and gain high recognition from relevant market players. The issuers large-scale AI model business or products should have a clear target market with significant current or potential demand, outstanding competitive advantages in R&D progress and key indicators, a large market space, and strong future growth potential. Issuers should formulate clear commercialization plans for their large-scale AI model business or products. Issuers should not have any matters that could have a significant adverse impact on their ability to continue operating, such as insufficient commercialization expectations for their large-scale model business or products.On June 17, the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) announced that, in order to implement the "Opinions of the China Securities Regulatory Commission on Setting Up a Science and Technology Innovation Growth Layer on the Science and Technology Innovation Board to Enhance the Inclusiveness and Adaptability of the System," further standardize the application of the fifth set of listing standards for science and technology enterprises on the Science and Technology Innovation Board, and support high-quality artificial intelligence large-scale model enterprises that have not yet formed a certain revenue scale to issue and list on the Science and Technology Innovation Board, the SSE has formulated the "Shanghai Stock Exchange Issuance and Listing Review Rules Application Guidelines No. 10 - Application of the Fifth Set of Listing Standards for Artificial Intelligence Large-Scale Model Enterprises on the Science and Technology Innovation Board," which is hereby issued and will take effect from the date of issuance.WTI and Brent crude oil prices are showing little fluctuation in the short term, currently trading at $75.75/barrel and $78.63/barrel respectively.IEA Monthly Report: Global oil supply will decrease by 3.9 million barrels per day in 2026 (in line with previous forecasts).

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to See Selling Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Sep 30, 2022 15:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued strong downward pressure on stock markets, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been quite bearish throughout Thursday's trading session. In the end, a lot of things are happening all around the globe, and the US dollar is strengthening. The S&P 500 won't do well in that climate, and neither will any other stock index, for that matter. I like fading rallies, and I also enjoy the notion of shorting those who do experience that break down below the 3600 mark.


The S&P 500 will likely have dropped below the 3500 level by then, which is a big, round, psychologically meaningful number. In the end, this is a market that, given enough time, should see a lot of volatility and, therefore, a lot of causes for people to feel uneasy. Nevertheless, bear market rallies have a reputation for being rather nasty, so an occasional snap to the upside is possible.


Given the market's continued exposure to a lot of outside unfavorable impact, they will almost certainly remain selling opportunities. Interest rates, global slowdowns, and a slew of other geopolitical concerns are all producing problems at the moment. In the end, I believe that in this situation, with enough time, we should see significant downward pressure. In light of this, maintain a manageable position size and refrain from going all in on each transaction you make. In a market like this, sound money management is essential.