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July 13th - According to South Korean media reports, industry insiders revealed on Monday that Samsung Electronics has begun preparations for the production of Teslas (TSLA.O) next-generation artificial intelligence (AI) chip, the AI5. Previously, a Samsung executive posted on LinkedIn that Teslas AI5 chip had completed the tape-out process, meaning that the final design work before mass production has been completed. The AI5 is a chip developed by Tesla to provide computing power for its Full Self-Driving (FSD) system, the Optimus humanoid robot, and AI data centers.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung: He will guide the government to support three key projects: semiconductors, artificial intelligence data centers, and physical artificial intelligence.July 13 – Europe has been maintaining air transport by importing jet fuel from the US and Asia, increasing refinery output, and drawing on reserves, but the risk of further supply disruptions has increased as tensions in the Middle East escalate again. The UK, France, and Germany are particularly vulnerable. Data released by consultancy Energy Aspects on June 18 shows that Europes jet fuel supply deficit in the third quarter is expected to approach 600,000 barrels per day, while the US and Asia-Pacific regions have supply surpluses of 116,000 barrels per day and 425,000 barrels per day, respectively. Energy Aspects stated that European jet fuel inventories stood at 38 million barrels at the beginning of June. Reuters calculations show that European inventories could only meet less than 30 days of demand, making it the tightest supply region among the worlds major jet fuel markets. Data from the International Energy Agencys latest monthly report shows that as of the end of May, jet fuel inventories were estimated to have increased by 10% year-on-year, while refinery output increased by 30%. This also means that Europe has only about a months buffer time. Energy analyst Janiv Shah said, "Based on current developments, we expect the market tightness to continue into August."On July 13th, Zhengzhou rapeseed meal futures opened lower and then fluctuated downwards. Canadian canola futures surged, with the benchmark contract closing more than 5% higher, mainly reflecting the threat to canola crop growth posed by recent excessive rainfall on the grasslands and the heatwave in the EU. Strengthening Chicago soybean and soybean oil futures, along with a rebound in international crude oil futures, also provided support. Rapeseed meal spot prices followed the market decline slightly. On the demand side, demand was affected by heavy rainfall in South China, hindering the circulation of domestic rapeseed meal spot goods. Some crushing plants shut down, resulting in reduced rapeseed meal production and a slight decrease in inventory. In the short term, rapeseed meal prices are expected to continue their volatile adjustment.On July 13th, Daiwa issued a research report predicting that Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) will raise its AI capital expenditure forecast, which will put pressure on its mid-term earnings. Meanwhile, while growth in the gaming business has slowed due to a high base, its market share growth momentum remains strong. The bank lowered its 2026-2028 earnings per share forecasts for the company by 1% to 6% to reflect the impact. Daiwa significantly raised its 2026 AI capital expenditure forecast for Tencent from RMB 108 billion to approximately RMB 181 billion to reflect the companys stronger commitment to AI investment and improved chip supply. Although higher depreciation will drag down its near-to-mid-term earnings performance, it is also expected to drive faster expansion of the cloud business and monetization of AI demand, which is expected to be released from the second half of 2026. Daiwa maintains its "Buy" rating on Tencent, but lowers its target price from HKD 700 to HKD 670.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to See Selling Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Sep 30, 2022 15:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued strong downward pressure on stock markets, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been quite bearish throughout Thursday's trading session. In the end, a lot of things are happening all around the globe, and the US dollar is strengthening. The S&P 500 won't do well in that climate, and neither will any other stock index, for that matter. I like fading rallies, and I also enjoy the notion of shorting those who do experience that break down below the 3600 mark.


The S&P 500 will likely have dropped below the 3500 level by then, which is a big, round, psychologically meaningful number. In the end, this is a market that, given enough time, should see a lot of volatility and, therefore, a lot of causes for people to feel uneasy. Nevertheless, bear market rallies have a reputation for being rather nasty, so an occasional snap to the upside is possible.


Given the market's continued exposure to a lot of outside unfavorable impact, they will almost certainly remain selling opportunities. Interest rates, global slowdowns, and a slew of other geopolitical concerns are all producing problems at the moment. In the end, I believe that in this situation, with enough time, we should see significant downward pressure. In light of this, maintain a manageable position size and refrain from going all in on each transaction you make. In a market like this, sound money management is essential.