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On August 9th, a Reuters poll of economists predicted that the U.S. overall CPI annual rate would fall to 3.4% in July from 3.5% in June, while the core CPI annual rate would fall to 2.5% from 2.6% in the previous month. Economists at Citigroup believe that, as expected, if inflation readings soften for the second consecutive month, it would mean that more than one months data points to easing inflationary pressures, essentially ruling out a September rate hike. However, economists also expect core services inflation to rise slightly in July, with prices increasing by 0.3% month-on-month. This figure was flat in May and June. Bank of America analysts stated that the rebound in core services indicators may keep a September rate hike on the table. Analyst Kate Duguid said that if the latter view prevails, and inflation data is lower than expected, then the Feds rate hike may be postponed until December or later.According to the Syrian state news agency, the Syrian Foreign Ministry stated that Syria and Russia will begin restructuring Russias presence along the Syrian coast within the framework of a memorandum.Hamas senior official Bassem Naim: It is expected that mediators and the United States will pressure Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and his government to adhere to the roadmap.Sources say four Yemeni government soldiers were killed in a Houthi attack.On August 9, according to Iranian state television, Supreme Leader Mojtaba met with Iranian President Pezechzian as he began his third term. The two leaders discussed a wide range of challenges facing the country, including the livelihood needs of the people, the ongoing third war of aggression, future prospects, military development, and economic relations with foreign partners.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to See Selling Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Sep 30, 2022 15:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued strong downward pressure on stock markets, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been quite bearish throughout Thursday's trading session. In the end, a lot of things are happening all around the globe, and the US dollar is strengthening. The S&P 500 won't do well in that climate, and neither will any other stock index, for that matter. I like fading rallies, and I also enjoy the notion of shorting those who do experience that break down below the 3600 mark.


The S&P 500 will likely have dropped below the 3500 level by then, which is a big, round, psychologically meaningful number. In the end, this is a market that, given enough time, should see a lot of volatility and, therefore, a lot of causes for people to feel uneasy. Nevertheless, bear market rallies have a reputation for being rather nasty, so an occasional snap to the upside is possible.


Given the market's continued exposure to a lot of outside unfavorable impact, they will almost certainly remain selling opportunities. Interest rates, global slowdowns, and a slew of other geopolitical concerns are all producing problems at the moment. In the end, I believe that in this situation, with enough time, we should see significant downward pressure. In light of this, maintain a manageable position size and refrain from going all in on each transaction you make. In a market like this, sound money management is essential.

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