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May 21 – A survey released on Thursday showed that UK factory orders saw their biggest drop since September 2020 this month, while sales price expectations also rose sharply. This situation highlights the predicament facing the Bank of England. Data from the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) showed that the UK industrial orders balance in May was -41, the lowest since September 2020; while the industrial price expectations balance was 38, the highest since February 2023. Cameron Martin, senior economist at the CBI, said that in an increasingly uncertain global environment, the Middle East conflict is causing energy costs to rise and triggering further supply chain disruptions, posing new challenges to manufacturers already facing weak demand. The Bank of England is currently closely monitoring the situation to determine whether it needs to raise interest rates to eliminate inflationary pressures caused by the energy price shock triggered by the war with Iran, or whether the decline in demand means that any rise in the overall inflation rate is only temporary.The UKs CBI industrial orders balance fell to -41 in May, the lowest level since September 2020. Meanwhile, the UKs CBI industrial price expectations balance rose to 38 in May, the highest level since February 2023.The UKs CBI industrial price expectations balance for May was 38, compared to 32 in the previous month.The UKs May CBI industrial orders balance was -41, compared to an expected -40 and a previous reading of -38.Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi: Wherever there is a need for fighting, we will fight; wherever there is a need for negotiation, we will negotiate.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to See Selling Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Sep 30, 2022 15:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued strong downward pressure on stock markets, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been quite bearish throughout Thursday's trading session. In the end, a lot of things are happening all around the globe, and the US dollar is strengthening. The S&P 500 won't do well in that climate, and neither will any other stock index, for that matter. I like fading rallies, and I also enjoy the notion of shorting those who do experience that break down below the 3600 mark.


The S&P 500 will likely have dropped below the 3500 level by then, which is a big, round, psychologically meaningful number. In the end, this is a market that, given enough time, should see a lot of volatility and, therefore, a lot of causes for people to feel uneasy. Nevertheless, bear market rallies have a reputation for being rather nasty, so an occasional snap to the upside is possible.


Given the market's continued exposure to a lot of outside unfavorable impact, they will almost certainly remain selling opportunities. Interest rates, global slowdowns, and a slew of other geopolitical concerns are all producing problems at the moment. In the end, I believe that in this situation, with enough time, we should see significant downward pressure. In light of this, maintain a manageable position size and refrain from going all in on each transaction you make. In a market like this, sound money management is essential.

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