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1. Indias Ministry of Food stated in a press release, "The government has observed that in some cases, sugar sold by sugar mills at the beginning of the month is only picked up or shipped by buyers at the end of the month. This practice exacerbates artificial shortages in the market. To address this issue and ensure timely access to the market, the government has decided to implement a bi-weekly sugar allocation system starting in September, replacing the existing monthly quota system." 2. On August 28, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a ministerial meeting, emphasizing the need to focus on autumn grain field management and agricultural disaster prevention, mitigation, and relief, striving for a bumper harvest and ensuring the achievement of the target of approximately 1.4 trillion jin (600 million tons) of grain output. The meeting also stressed the importance of strengthening and improving macro-control of the agricultural industry, focusing on stabilizing the production of livestock products such as hogs, and promoting reasonable prices. 3. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) released data showing that private exporters reported selling 182,000 tons of soybeans to China, 226,000 tons of soybeans to unknown destinations, 100,000 tons of soybean meal to Germany, and 100,000 tons of soybean meal to the Netherlands, all for delivery in the 2026/2027 marketing year. 4. Fed Chair Hamack: The Fed should raise interest rates; waiting will only bring pain. He does not believe financial conditions are tight. 5. Fed Chair Warsh warned that inflation has not shown a meaningful slowdown and said policymakers must be confident that inflation is moving in the right direction, otherwise the central bank "has more work to do." Warsh reiterated that the Fed will bring inflation back to its 2% target. He stated that this is a clear and fixed target. Warsh also stated that current financial conditions are not restrictive, and interest rates are the Feds "primary tool" for fulfilling its mandate. 6. US short-term interest rate futures fell, with market pricing indicating increased bets on a Fed rate hike following Warshs remarks. 7. Fed Chair Warsh stated, "Although the PCE and CPI data released this summer were better than expected, they did not convince me that the underlying trend of inflation has shown a meaningful improvement." "Market prices reflect the markets belief that we will achieve price stability. I can assure you that the markets judgment is correct." Warsh then stated that with inflation above 2%, the Feds "primary focus right now should be prices." 8. According to the Associated Press, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh said on Friday that inflation remains too high. He hinted that the central bank may need to raise interest rates in the coming months to reduce inflation. This statement more clearly reflects his view on the economic situation than his previous remarks.On August 28th, George Catrambo, Head of Fixed Income for the Americas at DWS, said during a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh, "Whatever you call it, this is exactly the forward guidance the market was expecting at the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting." "Im listening to a Fed chairman who is likely to tighten monetary policy. Hes trying to maintain a balance in his speech, but the Fed will most likely raise rates."On August 28th, Omar Sharif, an analyst at inflation research firm Inflation Insights, stated, "Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh gave the market what it wanted: a more detailed explanation of his views on current economic data, especially inflation data. Of course, he didnt reveal any potential future policy actions. In that sense, it seems to be a win-win situation for both Warsh and the market."On August 28th, Natixis analyst Hodge believed that Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs speech did indeed provide some guidance on the "response function": Warsh also proposed a standard for measuring inflation progress. Policymakers must be confident that underlying inflation is moving toward the 2% target "at a clear and sufficiently rapid pace."Colombian Vice President: We need to promote the development of the oil, gas and mining industries.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to See Selling Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Sep 30, 2022 15:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued strong downward pressure on stock markets, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been quite bearish throughout Thursday's trading session. In the end, a lot of things are happening all around the globe, and the US dollar is strengthening. The S&P 500 won't do well in that climate, and neither will any other stock index, for that matter. I like fading rallies, and I also enjoy the notion of shorting those who do experience that break down below the 3600 mark.


The S&P 500 will likely have dropped below the 3500 level by then, which is a big, round, psychologically meaningful number. In the end, this is a market that, given enough time, should see a lot of volatility and, therefore, a lot of causes for people to feel uneasy. Nevertheless, bear market rallies have a reputation for being rather nasty, so an occasional snap to the upside is possible.


Given the market's continued exposure to a lot of outside unfavorable impact, they will almost certainly remain selling opportunities. Interest rates, global slowdowns, and a slew of other geopolitical concerns are all producing problems at the moment. In the end, I believe that in this situation, with enough time, we should see significant downward pressure. In light of this, maintain a manageable position size and refrain from going all in on each transaction you make. In a market like this, sound money management is essential.