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Both WTI and Brent crude oil opened about 1% higher on Monday, currently trading at $102.57 per barrel and $107.15 per barrel, respectively.On March 30th, Jefferies stated that Australian refineries can only meet a small fraction of domestic fuel demand. The conflict in Iran has led to rising petrol and diesel prices, and Australias competition regulator has expressed concern about supply issues in areas including suburban areas, regional towns, and remote regions. Jefferies estimates that Australian refinery output can meet approximately 37% of petrol demand and about 14% of diesel demand. This conclusion is based on an analysis of Australian oil statistics from last year. "Even in Queensland and Victoria, where Ampore and Viva Energy respectively own refineries, the output of Litton and Geelong is insufficient to meet the states total demand for petrol or diesel," said analyst Michael Simotas.According to Iranian state media, a petrochemical plant in Tabriz, a city in northwestern Iran, was attacked.1. Ukrainian Armed Forces: Russian troops lost approximately 1,360 soldiers yesterday. 2. RIA Novosti: Russia claims to have captured the village of Kivsharivka in Kharkiv Oblast, Ukraine. 3. Russia warns South Korea that it will retaliate if it provides lethal weapons to Ukraine. 4. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov: Russian-American relations have fallen to a historic low in recent years; Russia is willing to develop relations with the US. 5. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: Following the Ukrainian attack, oil refineries in Leningrad Oblast, Russia, are operating at only 40% capacity. 6. Governor of Leningrad Oblast: A fire broke out at the Baltic port of Ust-Luga, Russia, caused by a Ukrainian drone attack; the fire is now under control.On March 30th, economist Rory Robertson stated that the Australian economy may have already experienced a downturn due to the oil price shock and threats to energy supplies. If the economy did not actually contract in March, the constraints imposed on numerous industries by the sudden surge in fuel prices (especially diesel) and reduced supply could force a slight contraction in economic activity in April. Robertson stated that the economic outlook depends on whether the problems can be resolved as quickly as they appeared. He added that historical experience shows that sudden and prolonged oil price shocks often turn into economic disasters.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to See Selling Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Sep 30, 2022 15:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued strong downward pressure on stock markets, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been quite bearish throughout Thursday's trading session. In the end, a lot of things are happening all around the globe, and the US dollar is strengthening. The S&P 500 won't do well in that climate, and neither will any other stock index, for that matter. I like fading rallies, and I also enjoy the notion of shorting those who do experience that break down below the 3600 mark.


The S&P 500 will likely have dropped below the 3500 level by then, which is a big, round, psychologically meaningful number. In the end, this is a market that, given enough time, should see a lot of volatility and, therefore, a lot of causes for people to feel uneasy. Nevertheless, bear market rallies have a reputation for being rather nasty, so an occasional snap to the upside is possible.


Given the market's continued exposure to a lot of outside unfavorable impact, they will almost certainly remain selling opportunities. Interest rates, global slowdowns, and a slew of other geopolitical concerns are all producing problems at the moment. In the end, I believe that in this situation, with enough time, we should see significant downward pressure. In light of this, maintain a manageable position size and refrain from going all in on each transaction you make. In a market like this, sound money management is essential.