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Germanys unadjusted current account balance for June was €19 billion, compared to €10.4 billion in the previous month.On August 12, the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) released its 2026 Q2 China Monetary Policy Implementation Report. The report emphasizes continuing to implement a moderately loose monetary policy. It further promotes interest rate liberalization and smooths the transmission channels of monetary policy. The PBOC strengthens its guidance on policy interest rates and improves the market-based interest rate formation and transmission mechanism. It strengthens the implementation and supervision of interest rate policies, conducting timely enforcement inspections and on-site assessments of financial institutions interest rate policy implementation and pricing capabilities to promote improved interest rate pricing capabilities. The report also emphasizes better leveraging the market-based interest rate pricing self-regulatory mechanism, effectively implementing various interest rate self-regulatory initiatives, strengthening the regulation of unreasonable market behaviors that could weaken monetary policy transmission, and maintaining market competition order. It promotes the diversification of loan pricing benchmarks. The report continues to deepen the disclosure of comprehensive financing costs for corporate loans, standardizes credit market operations, reduces intermediary financing costs, and promotes low overall social financing costs. Finally, it steadily deepens exchange rate liberalization, improves the managed floating exchange rate system based on market supply and demand and referencing a basket of currencies, upholds the decisive role of the market in exchange rate formation, and leverages the exchange rates function as an automatic stabilizer for the macroeconomy and balance of payments.On August 12, the Peoples Bank of China released its 2026 Q2 China Monetary Policy Implementation Report. The report emphasizes continuously enhancing the functions of the bond market and its ability to serve the real economy. It calls for high-quality development of the "technology board" in the bond market, effectively utilizing risk-sharing tools for technological innovation and private enterprise bonds, and supporting more private technology companies and private equity investment institutions in issuing bonds for financing. The report also promotes the development of corporate bond legislation, accelerates the development of a multi-tiered bond market, and steadily and prudently advances the development of over-the-counter bond business. It further emphasizes continuously standardizing issuance pricing, underwriting, and market-making practices, and strengthening risk monitoring in key areas and industries. The report supports more eligible overseas entities in issuing Panda bonds. Finally, it calls for continuously optimizing the cross-border RMB policy system, integrating and optimizing previously released cross-border RMB settlement policies, and improving the understandability and operability of these policies.On August 12, the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) released its 2026 Q2 China Monetary Policy Implementation Report. The report outlines the construction of a comprehensive macro-prudential management system and the improvement of mechanisms for preventing and resolving systemic financial risks. From macroeconomic, counter-cyclical, and contagion prevention perspectives, the report emphasizes strengthening the monitoring, assessment, and early warning of systemic financial risks, continuously expanding the scope of macro-prudential management, and enriching the macro-prudential policy toolbox. It also expands and enriches the central banks macro-prudential and financial stability functions, innovates financial instruments, and maintains the smooth operation of financial markets. The report strengthens macro-prudential management of systemically important financial institutions, deepens the construction of the supplementary regulatory system, and steadily expands the coverage of supplementary supervision to the non-bank sector. It further solidifies supplementary supervision of systemically important banks, guides selected banks to continuously improve their recovery and resolution plans, and explores the role of forward-looking risk management guidance. Finally, it improves the mechanism of the global systemically important bank cross-border crisis management team, strengthening cross-border regulatory cooperation and information sharing.On August 12th, the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) released its 2026 Q2 China Monetary Policy Implementation Report. The report emphasizes continuing to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, supporting investment in major projects. It outlines arrangements for pledged supplementary lending (PSL) to support policy-oriented development financial institutions in utilizing new policy-based financial instruments to supplement the capital of major projects. The focus is on supporting the digital economy, artificial intelligence, consumer infrastructure, and urban renewal sectors such as transportation, energy, and underground pipeline construction and renovation, thereby promoting better financial services to the real economy and driving increased effective investment. The outstanding balance of PSL at the end of June was 0.8 trillion yuan.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to See Selling Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Sep 30, 2022 15:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued strong downward pressure on stock markets, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been quite bearish throughout Thursday's trading session. In the end, a lot of things are happening all around the globe, and the US dollar is strengthening. The S&P 500 won't do well in that climate, and neither will any other stock index, for that matter. I like fading rallies, and I also enjoy the notion of shorting those who do experience that break down below the 3600 mark.


The S&P 500 will likely have dropped below the 3500 level by then, which is a big, round, psychologically meaningful number. In the end, this is a market that, given enough time, should see a lot of volatility and, therefore, a lot of causes for people to feel uneasy. Nevertheless, bear market rallies have a reputation for being rather nasty, so an occasional snap to the upside is possible.


Given the market's continued exposure to a lot of outside unfavorable impact, they will almost certainly remain selling opportunities. Interest rates, global slowdowns, and a slew of other geopolitical concerns are all producing problems at the moment. In the end, I believe that in this situation, with enough time, we should see significant downward pressure. In light of this, maintain a manageable position size and refrain from going all in on each transaction you make. In a market like this, sound money management is essential.