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HSBC has kept its prime lending rate in Hong Kong dollars unchanged at 5%.JPMorgan Chase: The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in December 2026, compared with previous forecasts that interest rates would remain unchanged this year.July 30th - On Thursday, demand at the auction of Japanese two-year government bonds was lower than the 12-month average, as the market widely anticipated a tightening of monetary policy by the Bank of Japan. The subscription multiple was 3.63, compared to 4.82 at the previous auction, and the 12-month average is 3.81. Another sign of weak investor interest was the tail spread (the difference between the average bid and the minimum acceptable bid) at 0.007, compared to 0.005 last month. Recently, yields on short-term Japanese government bonds, which are more sensitive to monetary policy, have risen due to increased oil prices caused by tensions in the Middle East and heightened concerns about fuel inflation. The two-year yield has now risen to 1.47%, close to the high of 1.52% reached earlier this month. This further increases pressure on the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates.On July 30th, according to foreign media reports, Malaysian palm oil futures fell slightly on Thursday, marking their third decline in four trading days, mainly dragged down by weaker prices of competing edible oils and crude oil. The benchmark October palm oil contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange fell 16 ringgit, or 0.34%, to 4,648 ringgit per tonne (approximately US$1,137.82) in early trading. Despite escalating tensions in the Middle East and the US-Iran conflict spreading beyond major fronts, oil tankers continued to leave the region, causing oil prices to give back some of their gains. Weaker crude oil futures reduced the attractiveness of palm oil as a biodiesel feedstock. The ringgit strengthened slightly by 0.07% against the US dollar, making it slightly more expensive for buyers holding foreign currency to purchase the commodity. According to documents from the Indonesian Ministry of Energy, the country has increased its 2026 biodiesel quota using palm oil as a feedstock to 16.75 million kiloliters to meet the increased demand from the B50 biodiesel blending policy launched earlier this month.Shunichi Suzuki, Secretary-General of the Democratic Party of Japan: The goal is to submit a tax reduction bill during the autumn Diet session.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to See Selling Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Sep 30, 2022 15:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued strong downward pressure on stock markets, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been quite bearish throughout Thursday's trading session. In the end, a lot of things are happening all around the globe, and the US dollar is strengthening. The S&P 500 won't do well in that climate, and neither will any other stock index, for that matter. I like fading rallies, and I also enjoy the notion of shorting those who do experience that break down below the 3600 mark.


The S&P 500 will likely have dropped below the 3500 level by then, which is a big, round, psychologically meaningful number. In the end, this is a market that, given enough time, should see a lot of volatility and, therefore, a lot of causes for people to feel uneasy. Nevertheless, bear market rallies have a reputation for being rather nasty, so an occasional snap to the upside is possible.


Given the market's continued exposure to a lot of outside unfavorable impact, they will almost certainly remain selling opportunities. Interest rates, global slowdowns, and a slew of other geopolitical concerns are all producing problems at the moment. In the end, I believe that in this situation, with enough time, we should see significant downward pressure. In light of this, maintain a manageable position size and refrain from going all in on each transaction you make. In a market like this, sound money management is essential.