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On July 10th, New York Fed Open Markets Account Manager Perry stated that there is no predetermined path for reserve management purchases, and the New York Feds open market trading desk can adjust the purchase volume upwards or downwards based on money market conditions. Furthermore, Perry indicated that the trading desk is prepared to implement any changes and interest rate control frameworks that the committee may decide to pursue, coinciding with Fed Chairman Warshs appointment of a working group on the Feds balance sheet. The Fed began reserve management purchases last December due to anticipated rapid reserve outflows in April, driven by tax revenue inflows into the Treasurys general account. When the Treasurys bank account balances at the Fed increase, bank system reserves decrease.European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated her willingness to discuss the joint EU borrowing proposal put forward by Spain, emphasizing that the digital euro will not replace cash. Negotiations are still ongoing.European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: I will not run for the French presidential election.July 10th - As of 2:30 PM closing, the Shanghai Gold futures contract rose 1.31% to 902 yuan/gram, the Shanghai Silver futures contract rose 3.22% to 14,693 yuan/kilogram, and the SC Crude Oil futures contract fell 3.22% to 465 yuan/barrel.July 10th - As of 2:30 PM closing, the Shanghai Gold Futures main contract rose 1.31%, the Shanghai Silver Futures main contract rose 3.22%, and the SC Crude Oil main contract fell 3.22%.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to See Selling Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Sep 30, 2022 15:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued strong downward pressure on stock markets, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been quite bearish throughout Thursday's trading session. In the end, a lot of things are happening all around the globe, and the US dollar is strengthening. The S&P 500 won't do well in that climate, and neither will any other stock index, for that matter. I like fading rallies, and I also enjoy the notion of shorting those who do experience that break down below the 3600 mark.


The S&P 500 will likely have dropped below the 3500 level by then, which is a big, round, psychologically meaningful number. In the end, this is a market that, given enough time, should see a lot of volatility and, therefore, a lot of causes for people to feel uneasy. Nevertheless, bear market rallies have a reputation for being rather nasty, so an occasional snap to the upside is possible.


Given the market's continued exposure to a lot of outside unfavorable impact, they will almost certainly remain selling opportunities. Interest rates, global slowdowns, and a slew of other geopolitical concerns are all producing problems at the moment. In the end, I believe that in this situation, with enough time, we should see significant downward pressure. In light of this, maintain a manageable position size and refrain from going all in on each transaction you make. In a market like this, sound money management is essential.