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On September 18, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk warned that Russia may be planning a "hybrid" drone and missile attack against countries supporting Ukraine, including NATO member Poland. Tusk told parliament that, based on evidence gathered by intelligence agencies, Russias primary objective is to cripple Ukraines economic and logistical systems and weaken NATOs resolve to support Ukraine through attacks on NATO member states. He called this the "most likely scenario." Poland, a crucial conduit for aid to Ukraine, has recently experienced several suspicious incidents, including cyberattacks targeting water supply, energy facilities, and hospitals, as well as damage to the Warsaw-Ukrainian border railway line. Tusk stated that Russia may be attempting to create the risk of drones or missiles entering the airspace of NATOs eastern flank, describing it as an "accidental incident." Tusk said that Russia has recently intensified its attacks on Ukraine, including targets near the Polish border. He anticipates that six major Ukrainian cities will face sustained, high-frequency attacks targeting warehouses, defense supplies, and railway infrastructure.September 18th - Four industry sources stated that the Yaroslavl refinery, owned by Russias Slavneft, suspended crude oil processing on Thursday due to equipment damage caused by a Ukrainian drone attack. Yaroslavl Oblast Governor Mikhail Yevlayev stated that a large-scale drone attack had been thwarted in the region. "A total of 65 drones were shot down, with no casualties. The refinery was damaged, and fires are currently being actively extinguished." Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated on Thursday that Ukraine attacked the Yaroslavl refinery overnight. The refinery is located approximately 250 kilometers (155 miles) northeast of Moscow. Sources said the attack damaged the refinerys main crude oil distillation unit, AVT-3, which has a daily processing capacity of 17,140 tons, accounting for about 40% of the refinerys total processing capacity. The refinery also has two other main distillation units. Of these, the AT-4 unit has a designed capacity of 11,430 tons per day, accounting for 27% of the total processing capacity; the AVT-4 unit has a capacity of 14,300 tons per day, accounting for 33% of the total processing capacity. Sources say the AVT-4 unit was previously damaged in another drone attack on August 28 and is currently under repair. Market participants indicated that fuel produced at the Yaroslavl refinery was not listed for sale on the Russian domestic commodity exchange on Thursday.The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that the Russian Armed Forces struck two cargo ships carrying military supplies in the Odessa region of Ukraine, one of which was in port and the other was attacked while sailing at sea.Google (GOOG.O) launched Expert Intelligence, bringing professional content to Gemini Notebook.The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has approved Boeings (BA.N) application to sell up to 35 additional 777 freighters.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to See Selling Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Sep 30, 2022 15:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued strong downward pressure on stock markets, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been quite bearish throughout Thursday's trading session. In the end, a lot of things are happening all around the globe, and the US dollar is strengthening. The S&P 500 won't do well in that climate, and neither will any other stock index, for that matter. I like fading rallies, and I also enjoy the notion of shorting those who do experience that break down below the 3600 mark.


The S&P 500 will likely have dropped below the 3500 level by then, which is a big, round, psychologically meaningful number. In the end, this is a market that, given enough time, should see a lot of volatility and, therefore, a lot of causes for people to feel uneasy. Nevertheless, bear market rallies have a reputation for being rather nasty, so an occasional snap to the upside is possible.


Given the market's continued exposure to a lot of outside unfavorable impact, they will almost certainly remain selling opportunities. Interest rates, global slowdowns, and a slew of other geopolitical concerns are all producing problems at the moment. In the end, I believe that in this situation, with enough time, we should see significant downward pressure. In light of this, maintain a manageable position size and refrain from going all in on each transaction you make. In a market like this, sound money management is essential.

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