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A Reuters poll found that 74% of economists believe Japan’s total budget request for fiscal year 2027 has exacerbated market concerns about fiscal discipline.A Reuters poll showed that 62% of economists expect the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates to at least 1.75% in the second quarter of 2027 (previously the survey expected a final rate of 1.50%).A Reuters poll shows that 97% of economists expect the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates to 1.25% on September 18 (compared to 57% in the August survey).Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Bagaei: US Secretary of State Rubios lies cannot replace the facts. Ansar Hezbollah (the Houthi rebels) is an independent actor that makes its own decisions; it neither accepts anyones instructions nor acts as anyones agent.Conflict Situation: 1. Iranian Foreign Ministry: Will respond decisively to any attack by the US military. 2. US Central Command: No US Navy warships were attacked; 10 Iranian oil tankers were destroyed. 3. Iranian Revolutionary Guard: Strikeed 2 US warships and 8 oil tankers, and also struck 10 vessels violating regulations. 4. Houthi rebels in Yemen: In the past 12 hours, Saudi warplanes conducted 48 airstrikes on the provinces of Artev, Marib, Taiz, Khodaeda, Saada, and Albayda. These airstrikes will be punished. 5. Iranian officials stated that Tehran is prepared for a more intense war with the US if necessary. The official stated that Iran will escalate its response to US attacks. 6. Saudi-led coalition in Yemen: Houthi rebels attacked the Saudi cities of Khamis Mushait, Abha, and Jizan on Wednesday using ballistic missiles and drones. 7. According to Iranian media reports, Saudi Arabia recently launched airstrikes against Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen. The Houthis claimed at least 70 attacks on six provinces. Sources indicated that Saudi forces used artillery and drones to attack parts of Saada province in northern Yemen, an area controlled by the Houthis. Strait of Hormuz: 1. Iran announced it will establish a new maritime "sanctions zone." 2. UK Maritime Trade Organization: Several merchant ships were attacked in the Gulf. 3. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard proposed a series of conditions for ending the war. 4. According to Saudi media Alhadath: Iranian media reported that an oil tanker was attacked in the Strait of Hormuz. 5. Pakistan reportedly issued a warning to Iran on behalf of Saudi Arabia, demanding that it restrain attacks by the Houthi rebels in Yemen. Given Pakistans defense agreements with Saudi Arabia and Turkey, this move carries significant weight. 6. According to Iranian state media: Explosions were heard off Qeshm Island, Iran, and several areas in Sirik were hit by artillery fire. Other matters: 1. US officials and Western diplomats say the Trump administration has not opposed the UK-led initiative to impose new sanctions on Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank. 2. Japanese Foreign Ministry: Japan and Oman held a video conference of international law officials to exchange views on international law issues related to the Strait of Hormuz. 3. Israeli officials: The UK has been notified that its consulate in Jerusalem must close. 4. UN envoy: Houthi cross-border attacks could escalate the conflict, endanger civilians, and undermine political efforts. 5. US President Trump: We are not seeking a deal with Iran. Negotiations with Iran are possible. The war with Iran will end immediately after the midterm elections. 6. Iran: Once the war ends, it will prepare for IAEA inspections.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to See Selling Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Sep 30, 2022 15:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued strong downward pressure on stock markets, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been quite bearish throughout Thursday's trading session. In the end, a lot of things are happening all around the globe, and the US dollar is strengthening. The S&P 500 won't do well in that climate, and neither will any other stock index, for that matter. I like fading rallies, and I also enjoy the notion of shorting those who do experience that break down below the 3600 mark.


The S&P 500 will likely have dropped below the 3500 level by then, which is a big, round, psychologically meaningful number. In the end, this is a market that, given enough time, should see a lot of volatility and, therefore, a lot of causes for people to feel uneasy. Nevertheless, bear market rallies have a reputation for being rather nasty, so an occasional snap to the upside is possible.


Given the market's continued exposure to a lot of outside unfavorable impact, they will almost certainly remain selling opportunities. Interest rates, global slowdowns, and a slew of other geopolitical concerns are all producing problems at the moment. In the end, I believe that in this situation, with enough time, we should see significant downward pressure. In light of this, maintain a manageable position size and refrain from going all in on each transaction you make. In a market like this, sound money management is essential.