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On August 5th, Kansas City Federal Reserve President Schmid stated, "The Fed needs a tighter monetary policy to restore inflation to its 2% target. The Feds current policy stance is not restrictive. Inflation is currently too high, which is worrying, and the Fed should not ignore it, even if it is caused by a supply shock. The recent easing of energy prices may be temporary. Investment in artificial intelligence is pushing up inflation, and the Fed should not ignore this."Federal Reserves Schmid: Im uneasy about the assumption that the inflation outbreak will be temporary. Our inflation problem isnt just about energy.Futures News, August 5th - According to foreign media reports, Malaysian palm oil futures on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange (BMD) are likely to open lower on Wednesday morning, following the decline in external markets. Statements from Qatari and US officials boosted hopes for a diplomatic solution to the oil shipping issue in the Strait of Hormuz, causing oil prices to fall on Tuesday, closing at a three-week low. During Wednesdays electronic trading session, Brent crude futures fell further, coupled with a decline in Chicago soybean oil futures, which will drag down the early performance of Malaysian crude palm oil futures. An expected increase in Malaysian palm oil inventories is also unfavorable for prices. The Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) will release monthly data on August 10th. A survey shows that Malaysian palm oil exports in July will surge 14.8% month-on-month, production will increase by 7.4%, and inventories will rise to a five-month high. However, strong palm oil exports in July and the potential threat of a strong El Niño phenomenon to palm oil production in Southeast Asia will provide potential support for the palm oil market. Shipping surveyors estimate that Malaysian palm oil exports in July increased by 12.1% to 19.5% month-on-month.Federal Reserves Schmid: The recent easing of energy prices may be temporary.Federal Reserves Schmid: The job market appears to be broadly balanced.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to See Selling Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Sep 30, 2022 15:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued strong downward pressure on stock markets, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been quite bearish throughout Thursday's trading session. In the end, a lot of things are happening all around the globe, and the US dollar is strengthening. The S&P 500 won't do well in that climate, and neither will any other stock index, for that matter. I like fading rallies, and I also enjoy the notion of shorting those who do experience that break down below the 3600 mark.


The S&P 500 will likely have dropped below the 3500 level by then, which is a big, round, psychologically meaningful number. In the end, this is a market that, given enough time, should see a lot of volatility and, therefore, a lot of causes for people to feel uneasy. Nevertheless, bear market rallies have a reputation for being rather nasty, so an occasional snap to the upside is possible.


Given the market's continued exposure to a lot of outside unfavorable impact, they will almost certainly remain selling opportunities. Interest rates, global slowdowns, and a slew of other geopolitical concerns are all producing problems at the moment. In the end, I believe that in this situation, with enough time, we should see significant downward pressure. In light of this, maintain a manageable position size and refrain from going all in on each transaction you make. In a market like this, sound money management is essential.