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The Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index turned positive in the afternoon.Bank of Korea board member Shin Sung-hwan: Inflation risks make it difficult to cut interest rates.On May 11th, strategists at Daiwa Securities pointed out in a research report that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates in tandem with the Ministry of Finances intervention in the foreign exchange market. The report noted similar situations occurred in 2022 and 2024 when Japan took action in the foreign exchange market. The strategists stated that it is worth watching whether US Treasury Secretary Bessenter will mention the need for the Bank of Japan to tighten monetary policy to help stabilize the foreign exchange market during his visit to Tokyo this week. Bessenter previously stated that he will meet separately with Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama in Tokyo on Tuesday.Google (GOOG.O): Launches AI-powered Google Finance service across Europe.On May 11th, Goldman Sachs postponed its forecast for the timing of Federal Reserve rate cuts, from September and December of this year to December 2026 and March 2027. The bank noted that high energy prices are likely to keep inflation high. Given that the ongoing Middle East conflict, which has lasted for 10 weeks, has driven up energy prices and led policymakers to remain vigilant about inflation risks, several global brokerages have lowered their expectations for US rate cuts in 2026. Currently, market opinions are divided, with some institutions predicting a slight easing, while others expect no rate cuts at all.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to See Selling Pressure

Skylar Shaw

Sep 30, 2022 15:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued strong downward pressure on stock markets, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been quite bearish throughout Thursday's trading session. In the end, a lot of things are happening all around the globe, and the US dollar is strengthening. The S&P 500 won't do well in that climate, and neither will any other stock index, for that matter. I like fading rallies, and I also enjoy the notion of shorting those who do experience that break down below the 3600 mark.


The S&P 500 will likely have dropped below the 3500 level by then, which is a big, round, psychologically meaningful number. In the end, this is a market that, given enough time, should see a lot of volatility and, therefore, a lot of causes for people to feel uneasy. Nevertheless, bear market rallies have a reputation for being rather nasty, so an occasional snap to the upside is possible.


Given the market's continued exposure to a lot of outside unfavorable impact, they will almost certainly remain selling opportunities. Interest rates, global slowdowns, and a slew of other geopolitical concerns are all producing problems at the moment. In the end, I believe that in this situation, with enough time, we should see significant downward pressure. In light of this, maintain a manageable position size and refrain from going all in on each transaction you make. In a market like this, sound money management is essential.