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On March 4th, Daiwa Research reported that it expects Baidus (09888.HK) Kunlun Chip IPO valuation to be higher than its peers due to its larger revenue scale and better profitability. Currently, Kunlun Chip derives most of its revenue from external demand, with major clients including Tencent and a large telecommunications operator. Management stated that chip production capacity constraints are not a short-term concern for the company, as Kunlun Chip has secured sufficient supply to support development over the next two years. The bank reiterated its "Buy" rating on Baidu with a target price of HK$175 and maintained its earnings forecasts for this year and next. Recent catalysts include the Kunlun Chip listing and details of the 2026 dividend plan.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: It is crucial for the government to ensure market confidence in long-term fiscal sustainability.On March 4th, Jefferies Group released a report estimating that memory chip costs will surge 3.6 times this year for the vast majority of smartphone OEMs. Therefore, the bank estimates that Xiaomi-W (01810.HK) smartphone sales will plummet by 55%, partially offset by a 31% increase in average selling price. The main cuts are concentrated in mid-to-low-end phones, and approximately 60% of Xiaomis shipments have an average selling price below US$150. The bank forecasts that Xiaomis smartphone gross margin will drop by 7 percentage points this year to a record low of 4%. Coupled with a downward revision of its gross margin forecast for Xiaomis automotive business, the banks revenue and EBIT forecasts for Xiaomi this year are 16% and 34% lower than its market peers, respectively. Using a sum-of-the-parts estimation method, the bank drastically cut its target price for Xiaomi from HK$43.36 to HK$30.45, a reduction of nearly 30%, maintaining a "hold" rating, citing overly high market expectations for the company and the downside risk to earnings from persistently high memory costs.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Compared to the past, companies are more actively passing on costs affected by exchange rate fluctuations, and we remain highly vigilant about this when formulating policies.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: We are analyzing very carefully how exchange rate fluctuations affect current and future price trends.

Silver Price Prediction - Silver Price Increased Due to Weak Dollar

Alina Haynes

May 12, 2022 11:03

On Wednesday, silver prices increased alongside the other precious metals. As yields decreased, the dollar declined. In spite of stronger-than-anticipated headline and core CPI reports, Benchmark rates declined today. Gold prices rose as the currency weakened.

CPI Rose Greater Than Anticipated

Wednesday, the U.S. Labor Department revealed April's CPI. The headline CPI came in at 8.3%, slightly lower than March but higher than the 8.1% experts had predicted. The study also revealed that the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 6.2% year over year, which was greater than anticipated. The month-over-month growth also exceeded projections. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) stated that April inflation grew 0.3% on the headline CPI, compared to the 0.2% expected, and 0.6% on the core CPI, compared to the 0.4% expected gain.

Technical Evaluation

After falling, silver prices recovered, reclaiming short-term support near the September lows at 21.42.

 

Near the 20-day moving average of 23.52, there is observed to be resistance. The 20-day moving average has fallen below the 50-day moving average, indicating a medium-term decline. As indicated by the fast stochastic crossover buy signal, near-term momentum has turned positive. Prices are oversold since the fast stochastic is displaying a value of 13 below the oversold threshold of 20.

 

The medium-term momentum has become negative as the histogram and MACD both print in a negative direction (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in a negative direction, reflecting the downward trend in price movement.

 

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