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June 30th - The British Retail Consortium (BRC) reported that UK food inflation has fallen to its lowest level in 15 months, the latest sign of easing cost pressures that could prevent the Bank of England from raising interest rates. Data released on Tuesday showed that UK food prices rose 2.4% in early June, down from a 2.7% increase the previous month, mainly due to lower inflation for fresh food. Overall retail price increases remained at 1.2%. BRC Chief Executive Helen Dickinson said, "Thanks to a bumper harvest and intense market competition, retailers have helped keep prices for summer treats like strawberries and ice cream low." Private sector surveys and official data showed that overall inflation in the UK economy had been more stable than previously expected before the initial peace agreement between the US and Iran led to a drop in oil prices. Therefore, the market no longer fully expects the Bank of England to raise interest rates this year, whereas previously it had anticipated three to four hikes of 25 basis points each.Japans inventory levels fell 0.6% month-on-month in May, compared with a previous decline of 0.3%.1. International precious metals futures generally closed lower. COMEX gold futures fell 1.61% to $4030.50 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell 1.54% to $58.76 per ounce. The US Supreme Court ruling solidified the Federal Reserves independence, and hawkish statements from the Fed reinforced tightening expectations, suppressing precious metal prices. Only geopolitical uncertainty provided some support, with an overall downward trend. 2. The WTI crude oil futures contract closed up 1.72% at $70.42 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract rose 1.34% to $73.57 per barrel. Escalating tensions following the US-Iran conflict slowed energy transport through the Strait of Hormuz, prompting the market to reassess the assumption of a rapid recovery in oil supply. Actual supply was constrained by tanker backlogs, and the previously oversold futures market further pushed up oil prices. 3. Most London base metals fell. LME zinc rose 0.43% to $3487.0/ton, LME copper fell 0.10% to $13344.5/ton, LME tin fell 0.40% to $50350.0/ton, LME lead fell 0.58% to $1892.5/ton, LME nickel fell 1.79% to $16400.0/ton, and LME aluminum fell 2.55% to $3098.5/ton. 4. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.59% to 52182.74 points, the S&P 500 rose 1.18% to 7440.43 points, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 2.07% to 25820.14 points. Caterpillar and Cisco rose more than 3%, leading the Dow Jones gains. Technology stocks led the gains, with the Wind US Tech Giants Index rising 2.05%, Tesla up over 8%, and Google up nearly 5%. SpaceX rose over 7%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose 1.41%, with Baidu Group up over 7% and Hesai Technology up over 6%. 5. European stock indices closed slightly lower: the German DAX fell 0.18% to 24,626.89 points; the French CAC40 fell 0.21% to 8,367.33 points; and the UK FTSE 100 fell 0.23% to 10,484.22 points. Overvaluation of technology stocks triggered profit-taking, and uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserves interest rate policy put pressure on market risk appetite. 6. Major Asia-Pacific stock indices diverged. The Nikkei 225 closed up 0.15% at 69,468.11 points. The South Korean KOSPI fell 0.2% to 8,394.65 points; the South Korean KOSDAQ rose 8.13%, briefly triggering a circuit breaker during the session. Foreign investors net sold 7.7 trillion won worth of South Korean KOSPI stocks on Monday, marking the largest single-day net selling on record. Indias SENSEX 30 index fell 0.48% to 76,728.37 points.Japans unemployment rate was 2.5% in May, below the expected 2.50% and the previous reading of 2.50%.On June 30th, according to foreign media reports, international oil prices rose on Monday as weekend clashes between the US and Iran highlighted the fragility of the interim peace agreement. Meanwhile, cautious market expectations for a continued recovery in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz limited the potential for further price increases. Sources said that the technical teams from the US and Iran responsible for implementing the interim peace agreement are expected to meet in Doha, the capital of Qatar, in the coming days. Last Thursday, media reports indicated that the amount of crude oil transported through the Strait of Hormuz had risen to its highest level since the start of the US-Israel war against Iran in late February. However, analysts warned that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is far from fully recovered, keeping oil prices high. Bob Yageer, head of energy futures at Mizuho Bank, said that people are realizing this. Its impossible to move all the crude oil out of the Gulf in the next week or two, nor is it possible to stuff all the crude oil into the strait to restore pre-war levels.

Silver Price Prediction - Silver Price Increased Due to Weak Dollar

Alina Haynes

May 12, 2022 11:03

On Wednesday, silver prices increased alongside the other precious metals. As yields decreased, the dollar declined. In spite of stronger-than-anticipated headline and core CPI reports, Benchmark rates declined today. Gold prices rose as the currency weakened.

CPI Rose Greater Than Anticipated

Wednesday, the U.S. Labor Department revealed April's CPI. The headline CPI came in at 8.3%, slightly lower than March but higher than the 8.1% experts had predicted. The study also revealed that the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 6.2% year over year, which was greater than anticipated. The month-over-month growth also exceeded projections. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) stated that April inflation grew 0.3% on the headline CPI, compared to the 0.2% expected, and 0.6% on the core CPI, compared to the 0.4% expected gain.

Technical Evaluation

After falling, silver prices recovered, reclaiming short-term support near the September lows at 21.42.

 

Near the 20-day moving average of 23.52, there is observed to be resistance. The 20-day moving average has fallen below the 50-day moving average, indicating a medium-term decline. As indicated by the fast stochastic crossover buy signal, near-term momentum has turned positive. Prices are oversold since the fast stochastic is displaying a value of 13 below the oversold threshold of 20.

 

The medium-term momentum has become negative as the histogram and MACD both print in a negative direction (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in a negative direction, reflecting the downward trend in price movement.

 

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