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March 9th - The de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted shipping, forcing Saudi Arabia to divert its crude oil shipments to the Red Sea. Saudi Aramco recently launched a rare tender to supply approximately 4.6 million barrels of crude oil for immediate delivery, encompassing ultra-light, heavy, and its flagship Arab Light grade. This tender in the spot market reflects the pressure it faces. Because it typically sells only through long-term contracts, Saudi Aramco is unable to sell most of its oil through conventional channels and is instead transporting a record volume of crude to Yanbu port on the Red Sea via pipeline. Bloomberg vessel tracking data shows that its western terminal shipments have surged to approximately 2.3 million barrels per day this month, about 50% higher than any month since the end of 2016. Traders say the prices in these tenders represent a premium over the official selling prices for their respective grades in March. These official prices were set a month ago, well before the current Middle East conflict began.March 9th - According to foreign media reports, Saudi Aramco has provided spot crude oil supplies through a series of rare tenders due to the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz forcing cargoes to be diverted via the Red Sea. According to informed traders, the company recently offered approximately 4.6 million barrels of crude oil across three grades – Arab Extra Light, Arab Heavy, and Arab Light.Market news: Saudi Aramco has provided immediate crude oil supplies through a series of rare tenders.March 9th - As the escalating conflict in the Middle East pushes up global oil prices, the South Korean government has taken emergency measures. South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, at an emergency economic meeting on Monday, called for the "swift introduction and bold implementation of a maximum oil price system" to curb excessive price increases. Lee made these remarks as international oil prices approached $120 per barrel, a new high since 2022. Production cuts by Middle Eastern oil-producing countries, the continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and the USs threats to escalate the conflict have put continuous pressure on the energy market. South Korea relies almost entirely on energy imports, with approximately 70% of its oil transported through the Strait of Hormuz. This proposed oil price cap mechanism would be the first time South Korea has used such measures in nearly 30 years, aiming to mitigate the impact of geopolitical instability on its domestic energy supply chain.March 9th - According to the Financial Times, G7 finance ministers will hold an emergency meeting on Monday to discuss the possibility of jointly releasing emergency oil reserves under the coordination of the International Energy Agency (IEA). This meeting aims to address the surge in oil prices following the conflict in the Gulf region. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that the G7 finance ministers and IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol will hold a teleconference at 8:30 AM New York time (8:30 PM Beijing time) to discuss the impact of the war with Iran. Sources also indicated that three G7 countries, including the United States, have so far expressed support for the idea. The 32 member countries of the IEA hold strategic reserves as part of a collective emergency system established to address the oil price crisis. One source stated that some US officials believe a joint release of 300 to 400 million barrels of oil reserves would be appropriate, equivalent to 25% to 30% of the total reserves of 1.2 billion barrels.

Silver Price Prediction - Silver Price Increased Due to Weak Dollar

Alina Haynes

May 12, 2022 11:03

On Wednesday, silver prices increased alongside the other precious metals. As yields decreased, the dollar declined. In spite of stronger-than-anticipated headline and core CPI reports, Benchmark rates declined today. Gold prices rose as the currency weakened.

CPI Rose Greater Than Anticipated

Wednesday, the U.S. Labor Department revealed April's CPI. The headline CPI came in at 8.3%, slightly lower than March but higher than the 8.1% experts had predicted. The study also revealed that the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 6.2% year over year, which was greater than anticipated. The month-over-month growth also exceeded projections. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) stated that April inflation grew 0.3% on the headline CPI, compared to the 0.2% expected, and 0.6% on the core CPI, compared to the 0.4% expected gain.

Technical Evaluation

After falling, silver prices recovered, reclaiming short-term support near the September lows at 21.42.

 

Near the 20-day moving average of 23.52, there is observed to be resistance. The 20-day moving average has fallen below the 50-day moving average, indicating a medium-term decline. As indicated by the fast stochastic crossover buy signal, near-term momentum has turned positive. Prices are oversold since the fast stochastic is displaying a value of 13 below the oversold threshold of 20.

 

The medium-term momentum has become negative as the histogram and MACD both print in a negative direction (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in a negative direction, reflecting the downward trend in price movement.

 

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