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New York gold futures surged 4.00% intraday, currently trading at $5286.10 per ounce.On January 28th, China Railway Industry Corporation (CRIC) announced that its newly signed contracts for 2025 amounted to RMB 44.396 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 7.79%. Among these, the business of special engineering machinery and related services increased by 6.70% year-on-year, while the business of transportation equipment and related services decreased by 11.90% year-on-year. The total value of major contracts signed/won in the fourth quarter was RMB 2.532 billion, accounting for approximately 8.73% of the companys operating revenue in 2024.Eurozone money markets currently estimate a 25% probability of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by July, compared to 15% on Tuesday.1. Bank of America: The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice in 2026, in June and July respectively. 2. Goldman Sachs: Expects the Federal Reserve to implement two rate cuts this year, with the first cut in June. 3. Morgan Stanley: Expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points each in June and September. 4. Barclays: Expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points each in June and December this year. 5. EY Bordrin: Expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by a total of 50 basis points this year, but not until the second half of the year. 6. JPMorgan Chase: No longer expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026; the next action is expected to be a 25 basis point rate hike in the third quarter of 2027. 7. KBC: The next rate cut may not come until March, by 25 basis points. A further 25 basis point cut may be made in the second quarter to reach the neutral interest rate level. 8. Oxford Economics: The Federal Reserve will maintain its policy unchanged until June. A decline in inflation will allow the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates sooner if the labor market weakens further. 9. ING: The baseline forecast is for the Fed to cut rates in March and June, but the apparent risk now is that this pace could be delayed by three months overall. The Feds "dual mandate" will face more pressing pressure to achieve a rate cut in March. 10. ANZ: A pause in rate cuts in January was appropriate, but a prolonged pause is unnecessary. They forecast the FOMC to cut rates by 25 basis points each in March and June. 11. Wells Fargo: Given the two months of economic data to be released before the March meeting, rate cuts could come earlier, in March and June. The risk to their forecast leans towards a delay in the timing of rate cuts.The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 3.3 occurred at 15:27 on January 28 near Sunan County, Zhangye City, Gansu Province (38.93 degrees north latitude, 98.22 degrees east longitude). The final result is subject to the official rapid report.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – 3700 Continues to Hold as Support

Skylar Shaw

Jun 23, 2022 14:55

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After initially tumbling into the 3700 support level throughout the trading day, the S&P 500 has made a big rebound. 

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

After first dropping below the 3700 level during the trading session on Wednesday, the S&P 500 has seen a wild journey. Since the 3700 level has been significant for a few weeks, it is probable that sellers will now make it their goal. 3600 and 3500 are the next targets if we can drop below the most recent low. What we are currently witnessing is a small-scale bear market rebound, which does make some sense given the extreme selling pressure that we had previously witnessed.


If we do move higher from here, 4000 should be a resistance level that will be difficult to surpass unless there is a fundamental shift in the news. In the end, I believe we have a position where breaking down makes more sense, but we could be in for a setup where we "fade the rallies." Since there is nothing positive in the economic pipeline right now and many earnings predictions will need to be revised at this point, I do not enjoy investing in the stock market right now. A brief recovery rally does, however, make a lot of sense because markets do not continuously decline.


I see this as a chance to go short once more, but if we were to breach the 4200 level, you would need to be persuaded that the true brand has changed. I'm not currently concerned about the move because it costs 400 points. In the end, a recession is inevitable, and the market is now beginning to reflect that.

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