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On January 31st, OCBC strategist Christopher Wong stated that golds price action "confirms the adage a sharp rise is inevitably followed by a sharp fall." He believes that while Warshs nomination as Fed Chair was the trigger, a correction was already inevitable. "Its like one of the excuses the market has been waiting for—to liquidate those parabolic price movements." Precious metals had already paved the way for sharp fluctuations, as soaring prices and volatility put pressure on traders risk models and balance sheets. Goldman Sachs noted in a report that the record wave of call option buying also "mechanically reinforced the upward momentum," as sellers of these options hedged against rising prices by buying more metal.On January 31, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Grushko stated that the best guarantee for Ukraines security is a concrete guarantee of Russias security, a guarantee that no one in the West has offered. He emphasized, "If we believe that Ukrainian territory will not be used as a bridgehead threatening Russias security, then Ukraines security will also be guaranteed." The Russian Foreign Ministry previously stated that any scenario involving NATO member states deploying troops in Ukraine is absolutely unacceptable to Russia and could lead to a sharp escalation of the situation. The Russian Foreign Ministry also stated that statements from Britain and other European countries regarding the possible deployment of NATO troops in Ukraine are incitement to continue the conflict.January 31st - According to Yahoo Finance, Kevin Warsh, President Trumps nominee for Federal Reserve Chairman, appeared in newly released Epstein case documents released by the US government on Friday. The documents show that Warshs name was listed in the email guest list for the "2010 St. Barths Christmas" event, alongside figures such as Russian oligarch Roman Abramovich; he also attended a dinner hosted by British aristocrat William Astor. This revelation occurred on the same day Warsh was nominated for Fed chairman. His main controversy previously stemmed from his relationship with Republican donor Ronald Lauder, who was accused of influencing Trumps interest in Greenland during his first term and holding business interests there. Warsh may now need to address his relationship with Epstein and his 2010 Christmas trip, and there is also speculation that Trumps nomination is related to their shared social circle.January 31 – With the House of Representatives in recess and unable to consider the appropriations bill, the U.S. federal government entered a technical, partial shutdown at midnight local time on January 31. Analysts point out that although the shutdown is expected to be short-lived, it once again highlights the structural predicament of U.S. fiscal politics. In recent years, temporary funding, short-term extensions, and marginal shutdowns have become the norm in congressional budget battles, with government operations frequently hampered by political disagreements. Currently, the market generally believes that the direct impact of this technical shutdown on financial markets and economic operations is limited, but if subsequent congressional negotiations are again stalled, the risk of a prolonged shutdown and a wider impact cannot be ruled out.January 31st - The US government officially began a partial shutdown early this morning local time. This followed the Senates passage of a spending bill to fund most federal government departments, which was then submitted to the House of Representatives for consideration. However, because House members were not in Washington and would not return until Monday (February 2nd), the Senate vote could not prevent a partial government shutdown.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – 3700 Continues to Hold as Support

Skylar Shaw

Jun 23, 2022 14:55

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After initially tumbling into the 3700 support level throughout the trading day, the S&P 500 has made a big rebound. 

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

After first dropping below the 3700 level during the trading session on Wednesday, the S&P 500 has seen a wild journey. Since the 3700 level has been significant for a few weeks, it is probable that sellers will now make it their goal. 3600 and 3500 are the next targets if we can drop below the most recent low. What we are currently witnessing is a small-scale bear market rebound, which does make some sense given the extreme selling pressure that we had previously witnessed.


If we do move higher from here, 4000 should be a resistance level that will be difficult to surpass unless there is a fundamental shift in the news. In the end, I believe we have a position where breaking down makes more sense, but we could be in for a setup where we "fade the rallies." Since there is nothing positive in the economic pipeline right now and many earnings predictions will need to be revised at this point, I do not enjoy investing in the stock market right now. A brief recovery rally does, however, make a lot of sense because markets do not continuously decline.


I see this as a chance to go short once more, but if we were to breach the 4200 level, you would need to be persuaded that the true brand has changed. I'm not currently concerned about the move because it costs 400 points. In the end, a recession is inevitable, and the market is now beginning to reflect that.