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August 2nd - According to an Israeli official, as of August 1st local time, Israel assesses that US President Trump is closer than ever to approving a major military attack on Iran, although the specific plans have not yet been finalized. According to details of the contingency plan disclosed by the official, the US is considering precise and limited strikes against specific Iranian energy facilities. The assessment indicates that the US currently prefers to exclude Israel from the initial phase of the attack. However, Israel believes that a major US attack on Iran could directly trigger Iranian military retaliation, potentially forcing Israel into the conflict and into the fighting. Currently, the Israeli defense apparatus is maintaining a high level of vigilance.Trump posted on Truth Social: Oil exports are surging because of President Trump!August 2nd - On August 1st local time, the European Union announced that it will hold an emergency meeting of EU interior ministers via video conference on August 4th to discuss the migrant crisis in the Spanish enclave of Ceuta and the EUs response. This meeting was proposed by Spain. Spanish Prime Minister Sánchez had previously written to Ireland (the rotating president of the Council of the European Union), European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, and European Council President Diego Costa, urging the EU to coordinate its response to the current migrant crisis.Former US Vice President Harris: (Regarding the war with Iran) This war is a conflict that the current president, Trump, chose to get involved in. He went to war with Israel, and for the United States, there was no clear national security issue.August 2nd - On August 1st local time, the Turkish Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources announced that the Turkish National Oil Pipeline Company (BOTAŞ) and two Iraqi oil companies had officially signed a one-year crude oil transportation agreement. According to the agreement, Turkey and Iraq will efficiently utilize the oil pipeline, with a daily transport capacity of 750,000 barrels allocated to Iraq. Turkey stated that the pipelines total designed daily capacity is 1.5 million barrels. Previously, during a visit to Turkey, Iraqi Prime Minister Zaidi stated that Turkey would supply 1 million barrels of oil per day.

The IMF/World Bank Meetings to Test Risk Appetite as Fed Hawks Swoon

Skylar Shaw

Oct 11, 2022 14:48

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Last week's US economic figures exceeded forecasts. The US employment data and higher-than-expected ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI statistics allowed the Fed to raise interest rates by 75 basis points in November. The World Bank and IMF have been keeping an eye on central bank and economic activities.


Since the Jackson Hole Symposium, the Fed has maintained its stance. Fed Chair Powell issued a warning in August about the Fed's commitment to achieving the target inflation rate.


Powell also dispelled any expectations of a policy change at the time by warning the markets that inflation would need to be controlled by a protracted period of below-trend growth and a weaker labor market.


The Jackson Hole speech's response from the market was identical to that of Friday's employment data. The Powell speech resulted in a 3.94% decline in the NASDAQ 100. In reaction to an increase in hiring and a drop in the US unemployment rate to 3.5% last Friday, the NASDAQ fell by 3.80%.


The cryptocurrency market, which fell by $78 billion in reaction to Powell's speech and $11.5 billion in response to the employment data, experienced a distinct situation. Notably, the employment data offers the Fed leeway to aggressively front load rates. The crypto market was more affected by US inflation data.