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On July 2nd, local time, Iran released a video of a speech by Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Qassem Ghalibaf on the evening of July 1st. Ghalibaf stated that claims about "allowing IAEA inspectors to enter destroyed nuclear facilities" are false. He stated that the Iranian Islamic Parliament passed a law, approved by the Supreme National Security Council, stipulating that access to destroyed or damaged nuclear facilities cannot be permitted in any way. Ghalibaf emphasized that the IAEA is only allowed access to two locations: the Bushehr nuclear power plant and the Tehran nuclear research reactor. Iran does not grant any privileges beyond those granted by the Supreme National Security Council.Market news: A fire broke out at the Primir Palace Hotel in Kyiv following a Russian drone attack.US-Iran Negotiations: 1. According to Saudi Arabias Al Arabiya TV: A senior government official stated that US negotiators Kushner and Witkov held positive discussions with Qatari regional leaders, and technical negotiations with Iran are also progressing. 2. According to foreign media reports on July 1, citing sources, US and Iranian officials will hold indirect talks that day in Doha, the capital of Qatar. 3. According to Israels Channel 12, citing Saudi media reports: The Doha negotiators have reached a preliminary agreement to release $3 billion to Iran. 4. US President Trump: Iran negotiations are progressing well. Irans denuclearization is progressing well. 5. Iran says it will launch negotiations on a final agreement with the US at an appropriate time. 6. According to Axios: The US attempted to persuade Iran to abandon the "passage fee" mechanism in the Strait of Hormuz during the Doha negotiations. 7. According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA): Irans Deputy Foreign Minister stated that the Iranian delegations talks in Doha have concluded. 8. Sources: Iran is demanding a phased implementation of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, with a focus on unfreezing assets. 9. Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf: Reports of inspectors entering bombed sites are false. 10. US Vice President Vance: Technical negotiators are discussing the Iranian issue. 11. Iran claims the US violated its commitments under the memorandum of understanding and will establish a monitoring mechanism to review violations. 12. Iranian sources say Iran insists on retaining control of the Strait of Hormuz. 13. US Vice President Vance: Commercial shipping has achieved free passage in the past three days. 14. Qatar: All parties agreed to advance discussions, and the next meeting will be held after the funeral of the former Iranian Supreme Leader. Other developments: 1. Israeli media, citing senior security officials, stated that the Gaza Strip is nearing a boiling point, and returning to conflict is no longer a question of "if," but "when." 2. US officials: US troops will be stationed in Lebanon to monitor the ceasefire. 3. According to Saudi Arabias Al Arabiya TV: Israel launched airstrikes over Nabutia in southern Lebanon. 4. Iran Air resumes its Tehran-Mumbai route. 5. Thailand confirms that most of its ships have safely left the Strait of Hormuz. 6. British media: Gulf states reportedly seek to reach a regional security agreement with Iran unilaterally. 7. A ship ran aground in the Strait of Hormuz; the extent of the damage is unclear. 8. According to Iranian state media: A foreign container ship ran aground in the Strait of Hormuz because it did not follow the route designated by Iran.July 2nd - According to a report by US tech journalist Gurman, Apple (AAPL.O) is planning to launch an upgraded iPad Pro series and a redesigned entry-level MacBook Pro next year, along with several other major new products to celebrate the 20th anniversary of the iPhone. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that the company is testing four new iPad Pro models planned for release in the spring of 2027. These new models will retain the current 11-inch and 13-inch screens. The updates will primarily focus on internal improvements, including faster chips. As previously reported, Apple has tested a vapor chamber cooling (VC liquid cooling) system for its tablets to improve sustained performance and reduce overheating issues. Apple also reportedly plans to launch a redesigned entry-level MacBook Pro, codenamed K104, in the first half of next year. This 14-inch laptop will feature a completely new design, consistent with Apples upcoming high-end touchscreen MacBook, which is expected to be released between the end of this year and the beginning of next year.BHP Billiton (BHP.N): Has submitted an environmental permit application and plans to invest $1.5 billion to reactivate the Cerro Colorado copper mine in Chile.

The Dollar Fell as Riskier Assets Surged in Response to the Fed's Decision

Daniel Rogers

May 05, 2022 11:13

USD/CAD fell dramatically in the aftermath of the Fed meeting and during the press conference of the Fed Chair. The Federal Reserve concluded its two-day monetary policy meeting on Wednesday, hiking interest rates by 50 basis points and signaling to the markets that it will continue to monitor the market environment.

 

On June 1, the Fed will begin reducing its balance sheet. This was a foregone conclusion and is seen as quantitative tightening.

 

The Federal Reserve will initiate the run-off of 47 billion and 95 billion dollars off its balance sheet in three months. Consumer and business expenditures continue to be robust. Economic activity was almost certainly harmed by the invasion of Ukraine. The Fed stated that the Chinese lockdowns would almost certainly result in more supply chain disruptions.

Technical Evaluation

On Wednesday, the USD/CAD reversed and fell. It reached 2022 highs early in the week and then consolidated. Near the May high of 1.2920, resistance is present. Support is seen near the 1.2685 20-day moving average. The 20-day moving average has crossed above the 50-day moving average, indicating the start of a medium-term uptrend.

 

Short-term momentum reverses to the downside as the fast stochastics may be approaching a crossover sell signal. The medium-term momentum is bullish, since the MACD line generated a buy signal upon crossover. The MACD's trajectory is bullish but decelerating, indicating consolidation.

 

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