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On March 28, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that although US Secretary of State Marco Rubio denied claims that the US was pressuring Ukraine to hand over the Donbas region in exchange for security guarantees, all the signals he received during negotiations indicated that Ukraine would only receive US security guarantees after withdrawing its troops from the Donbas region. Previously, Zelenskyy had revealed in an interview that the US was pressuring Ukraine to hand over the Donbas region in exchange for security guarantees. Secretary Rubio refuted Zelenskyys remarks, calling them a "lie."March 28 – According to the Wall Street Journal, Israel has begun limiting the use of its most advanced missile interceptors due to depleted stockpiles caused by ongoing Iranian attacks, forcing the IDF to increasingly rely on upgraded but less capable interceptor systems. Recently, two Iranian missiles struck the southern cities of Dimona and Arad after a failed interception attempt using a modified, lower-level system. Israels air defense system has long been considered one of the most advanced in the world, but has so far relied heavily on the Arrow system to counter long-range ballistic missile threats. However, officials are now limiting the use of these high-end interceptors, turning instead to upgraded versions of the Davids Sling (Israels medium- and long-range air defense system) and even the Iron Dome system, which were not originally designed to deal with such threats.On March 28, Iraqi Electricity Ministry spokesman Ahmed Abadi stated that Iran had halted natural gas supplies to southern Iraq since the evening of March 27, after a previous daily supply of 10 million cubic meters. Abadi added that Iran is also currently limiting its natural gas supplies to central Iraq to 10 million cubic meters per day. He noted that the ongoing instability in the region is impacting oil extraction, production, and exports within Iraq. The Iraqi Electricity Ministry is closely monitoring the situation to ensure that Irans restrictions do not affect the fuel supply needed by power plants in Iraq.On March 28, the Yemeni government issued a statement condemning Iran for dragging Yemen into the regional conflict through its supported armed forces. The statement pointed out that Iran, with the help of the Houthi rebels and other forces, is interfering in regional affairs, undermining national sovereignty, and threatening regional security. The Yemeni government believes that the Houthi actions serve Irans regional strategy. The statement warned that such actions will exacerbate Yemens humanitarian crisis and impact food and energy supplies. The government emphasized that the right to decide on war and peace belongs to the state, and any illegal military action must bear the consequences. The Yemeni government called on the people to refuse mobilization for war and urged the international community to increase pressure on the Houthi rebels and support the restoration of national power, stability, and development. Iran has not yet responded to this statement.On March 28, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) issued a statement saying that, as part of Operation Honest Commitment 4, the IRGC Navy and Space Force conducted strikes against multiple heavy industrial targets in the United States and Israel using missiles and drones in the 85th wave of attacks. The statement indicated that this operation was in retaliation for previous attacks by US and Israeli forces against Iranian civilian industrial facilities. During the operation, Iranian armed forces launched saturation attacks on heavy industrial centers in Israel and other regions, destroying some targets. The IRGC emphasized that if the US and Israel continue to attack Iranian industrial systems, the scale of Irans subsequent retaliation will "exceed their expectations." In addition, during the interception and counterattack operations, Iranian air defense systems shot down a US-made MQ-9 drone over Shiraz. A US F-16 fighter jet was hit in southern Fars province and subsequently crashed while en route to an emergency landing at a base in Saudi Arabia.

Stock Markets Take a Break Ahead of Non-Farm Payroll

Cory Russell

Aug 05, 2022 15:46

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As we swing back and forth between the Friday news, the S&P 500 has been trading a little sideways throughout the day.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 fluctuated throughout the session on Thursday since we are barely below the 200 day moving average and, of course, we have to be concerned about the employment report on Friday.


Given that circumstance, I believe an explosive move is most likely only a matter of time. If everything remained the same, one may believe that this barrier should hold, but the S&P 500 might really take off if we were to break over the 4200 mark. Although that is not my worst-case situation, I must have it in the back of my mind when I trade this.


The 4100 level, in my opinion, is critical. A far deeper correction may be seen if we were to drop below that level. We drop another 100 points or so at that moment and start looking at the 50 Day EMA.


Unfortunately, whether or not the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy any more forcefully depends entirely on perception. While the Fed adamantly maintains its capacity to do so, the market does not believe it. It's highly likely that the stock markets will see a little decline if the American employment report on Friday is hotter than expected. Traders will view this as yet more justification for the Federal Reserve to closely monitor its monetary policy, perhaps leading it to tighten further. In any case, I believe we are a bit overdone in the near future, but always keep an eye out for the opposite side.

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