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July 28 - According to Axios, senior U.S. officials believe that economic sanctions could ultimately cause more damage to the Tehran regime than a military strike. U.S. intelligence and open-source media reports point to a deepening economic crisis within Iran, including gasoline shortages in one of the worlds richest oil-producing nations. A senior U.S. government official stated, "The Iranians want to stop being bombed, and they want money. But the priorities are almost reversed—their real priority is money." Another U.S. official acknowledged that sanctions and a naval blockade would take much longer than bombing to force Tehran back to the negotiating table—and Trump has so far not approved a full-scale bombing campaign. This extended front could increase the political risk for Republicans, forcing them to defend an unpopular war and high oil prices during the midterm election campaign.Japans Topix index fell further to 2%.According to Axios, U.S. officials believe that economic sanctions could cause more harm to Iran than bombing.July 28 (Futures News) – According to foreign media reports, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) corn futures closed lower on Monday, with the benchmark contract down 2.9%, mainly reflecting the plunge in crude oil futures following the pause in the US-Iran conflict. Oil prices fell to their lowest point in a week on Monday. The USs sudden suspension of airstrikes against Iran over the weekend boosted hopes for a diplomatic solution to the conflict, de-escalation, and the resumption of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Agricultural product prices are typically influenced by the energy market, especially given the rapid growth in demand for agricultural products in biofuel production. One analyst stated that improved weather in the US Midwest was also a factor contributing to the plunge in futures prices. Commodity Weather Group indicated that temperatures in the Midwest are expected to ease after the weekends high temperatures, and upcoming rainfall will help alleviate drought pressures in agricultural areas.July 28 (Futures News) – According to foreign media reports, soybean oil futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed sharply lower on Monday, with the benchmark contract down 3.4%, hitting a two-week low, mainly dragged down by a plunge in crude oil futures. Crude oil prices plummeted in response to the Trump administrations suspension of the war on Iraq, hoping to reach a peaceful solution through diplomatic means and reopen the Strait of Hormuz; Brent crude futures fell nearly 9% that day. Soybean oil is a key raw material for biofuel production and is therefore frequently affected by fluctuations in the crude oil market.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Slump

Cory Russell

Oct 11, 2022 15:27

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

It does make sense that we would ultimately continue to decline since the S&P 500 E-mini contract gapped lower to open the Monday session. We have already filled that need, and now we are turning around and acting negatively. At this moment, 3600 seems to be nearly a lock, therefore I do think that a lot of people were going to enter the market at the first indication of weariness. With an eye on the 3500 level, if we can go below the 3600 level, it's possible that this market will decline much farther.


A recovery rally may begin if the candlestick for the Monday session is broken above the top.


However, this rally is likely to be short-lived because the market is still under the influence of many negative factors, not the least of which are the rising interest rates and, of course, the unfavorable macroeconomic conditions around the world. After all, the S&P 500 is filled with global juggernauts that, of course, do business globally.


Given that, it is highly possible that there will be a lot of back-and-forth, always looking for the negative. I believe that at this time, you must see this through the lens of choppy volatility with pessimism lurking behind it since the 50-Day EMA is breaking hard right below the 3900 mark. As a result, the market is quite likely to decline since volatility does not encourage confidence.