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On May 8th, San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly downplayed the disagreements surrounding the Feds statement, hinting that she wouldnt vote against it like some of her colleagues. She stated that the wording of the statement was less important than the actions taken, and that the real signal from the meeting was unanimous agreement on the decision. Last month, three officials objected to wording that hinted at future rate cuts, arguing that the uncertainty surrounding the energy shock and the Iran war made a "rates could rise or fall" signal more appropriate. Daly, who has no voting rights this year, said the public understands the Feds responsibility for price stability. Daly stated that there are no signs that energy prices are pushing up medium- or long-term inflation expectations. "Its too early to judge. If the conflict ends and oil prices fall without escalating to the broader economy, the pre-conflict dynamics are expected to return to normal." She is committed to achieving the 2% inflation target but shouldnt overreact to the expected duration of the energy shock. She described policy as "slightly tightening," adding that a resolution to the war would put downward pressure on inflation; the labor market is stable and has not generated inflationary pressure.Federal Reserves Kashkari: Optimistic about artificial intelligence.Both WTI and Brent crude oil prices rose by about $2 in the short term, currently trading at $98.08 per barrel and $100.58 per barrel respectively.Federal Reserves Daly: There are currently no signs that soaring energy prices are pushing up medium- to long-term inflation expectations.Federal Reserves Daly: Current monetary policy is "slightly tight," and if the conflict between the United States and Iran is resolved, it will put downward pressure on inflation.

S&P 500 Weekly Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Look Threatened

Steven Zhao

Oct 08, 2022 14:31

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Weekly Technical Analysis for the S&P 500

The S&P 500 attempted to rise during the week, but it gave up a significant portion of the gain as we ultimately formed an inverted hammer. It goes without saying that the inverted hammer, which is right below the 200-Week in May, merits notice as well. The 3700 level was a previously supported location, which is maybe even more significant, so it would make sense that it would have a lot of inherent resistance.


The week's inverted hammer shape does indicate that we are prepared to fall lower. It is conceivable that we would seek for the 3500 level if we were to collapse below the inverted hammer's bottom. You should be paying attention to the 3500 level since it is a large, rounded number with psychological significance that undoubtedly will generate a lot of media attention.


Alternately, the market is likely to go for the 4000 level if we were to break over the top of the inverted hammer. Although I don't believe that occurs, it is something to be aware of. In the end, the Federal Reserve's mishandling of the stock market is a problem, and it is clear that they are not prepared to continue tightening monetary policy. You will need to keep an eye on the interest rate sector and bond market to pay special attention to where we should go next at this point since it's possible that increasing interest rates will continue to act against the stock market.