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On February 3rd, DBS Bank senior economist Radhika Rao stated in a report that the Indian market is poised for a rebound following the announcement of the US-India trade agreement. She noted that high tariffs were a major factor dragging down market sentiment over the past quarter, while the agreement is "undoubtedly a significant boon to the real economy and exports," and will also boost financial market sentiment. Rao added that textiles, gems and jewelry, engineered products, leather, and chemical products are expected to be the main beneficiaries. She wrote that considering the punitive tariffs previously imposed for purchasing Russian oil, the reduction from 50% to 18% effectively brings Indias tariff levels close to those of most Southeast Asian countries.According to sources, Republican leaders in the U.S. House of Representatives are planning to vote next week on a key bipartisan housing bill.February 3rd - After more than five months of tariff suppression by Trump, India has finally seen a turning point. However, problems remain. For three decades, India has considered the United States its preferred export destination—not only for labor-intensive industries such as textiles, shrimp, and jewelry, but also for white-collar software services. The Trump administrations double whammy of trade restrictions and work visas for Indian tech workers is shaking this broad relationship. This is not unfounded: New Delhis budget for the next fiscal year, released on Sunday, has markets deeply concerned about the financial costs of resisting pressure from Washington. Take agriculture, for example. Will Modi ease the ban on GMO food imports when the domestic cultivation of GMO crops is prohibited? India adds 10 billion liters (2.6 billion gallons) of ethanol to its gasoline annually, enough to consume most of the corn harvested in the US Midwest. But getting Indian drivers to accept American corn in their fuel tanks is no easy task. It will be difficult to promote the benefits of free trade to local farmers if they dont benefit from it. The opposition is expected to closely scrutinize Modis concessions on agriculture.The Reserve Bank of Australia will release its interest rate decision and monetary policy statement in ten minutes.The U.S. House Rules Committee has advanced the government funding bill, clearing the way for a full vote as early as tomorrow.

S&P 500 (SPY) Declines As Treasury Yields Rise

Cory Russell

Oct 09, 2022 14:21

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REITs Continue to Face Serious Pressure

After making a failed effort to stabilize above the 20 EMA close to the 3800 level, the S&P 500 is now declining.


The Initial Jobless Claims data, which revealed that 219,000 Americans applied for unemployment benefits in a week as opposed to the analyst estimate of 203,000, was the main focus of trading today.


The Non Farm Payrolls data, which traders will review tomorrow, is anticipated to reveal that the economy gained 250,000 jobs in September. The dynamics of the S&P 500 will probably be significantly impacted by this news.


Treasury rates increased concurrently, which was negative for equities. Ten-year Treasury yields are now attempting to stabilize above the 3.80% mark. It will climb near the recent highs of 4.00% if this effort is successful, which would put more pressure on the stock market.


As WTI oil challenged the significant resistance level at the 50 EMA at $88.40, energy companies including Marathon Oil, Occidental Petroleum, and Halliburton kept climbing higher today.


REITs were still under significant pressure at the time. Traders sell anything associated with the REIT sector in response to increasing Treasury rates. Crown Castle, American Tower Corporation, and Digital Realty Trust are testing new lows.


The S&P 500 is down by roughly 0.5% today, but the retreat is significant since energy companies are the only sector that are up. This is hardly unexpected given that Treasury yields immediately recovered after the most recent fall, showing that market participants are still concerned about the Fed raising interest rates aggressively.