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December 23 – The Singapore dollar and most Asian currencies strengthened against the US dollar in early trading as lower US Treasury yields reduced the attractiveness of US fixed-income assets. Deepali Bhargava, Head of Asia Pacific Research at ING, noted that the Singapore dollar is one of the strongest performing Asian currencies this year. She stated that Singapore avoided the worst impact of US tariffs, securing the lowest retaliatory tariff rate of 10%. Bhargava added that looking ahead, a weakening US dollar is expected to provide support for Asian currencies.On December 23, the Reserve Bank of Australias (RBA) December meeting minutes revealed that the bank maintained a hawkish tone as policymakers closely monitor inflation trends. Sally Auld, Chief Economist at National Australia Bank Group, commented that the minutes "reflected anxiety about recent inflation trends." She added that the RBA believes there is some excess demand in the current economic climate but is uncertain whether existing financial conditions are sufficiently restrictive to balance aggregate demand with aggregate supply. The minutes showed that the RBA discussed the potential need for an interest rate hike next year. Notably, market expectations have shifted significantly: previously, the market anticipated a further 25 basis point cut in the official cash rate by the end of 2026, but now it expects a 25 basis point rate hike at that time.On December 23rd, Futures News reported that the recent escalation of tensions, stemming from the USs continued detention of South American oil tankers and Trumps increased restrictions on South America, has fueled market concerns about potential oil supply disruptions, pushing up oil prices. US crude oil has already rebounded by $2 per barrel from its lows. Zhuochuang Information predicts that while the escalating situation in South America provides upward momentum for oil prices, negotiations in a certain European country are exerting downward pressure. Frequent geopolitical disturbances are causing wide price fluctuations. In the short term, attention should be paid to the sustainability of the oil price rebound, which is expected to remain bullish.Sources say Japan is likely to assume long-term interest rates of around 3% in its fiscal year 2026 budget, the highest level in 29 years.December 23 – The policy allowing Guangdong vehicles to enter Hong Kongs urban areas officially took effect at midnight today (December 23), with 100 slots available daily. Approved and successfully booked Guangdong vehicles can enter Hong Kong via the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macau Bridge, staying for a maximum of three days each time. Hong Kongs Secretary for Transport and Logistics, Chan Mei-po, stated that nearly all 100 slots were booked on the first day. Due to the upcoming long holiday in Hong Kong, the response to the "Guangdong vehicles southbound" measure has been very positive, and the Bureau will closely monitor the situation, including observing the number of vehicles entering Hong Kong. Chan Mei-po explained that most of the vehicles entering Hong Kong are electric vehicles, and the Hong Kong SAR government will gradually increase the number of charging facilities in the future.

S&P 500 Holds Close to Last Friday’s Highs Above 4,100; Boeing Shares Jump 6.0%

Skylar Shaw

Aug 02, 2022 14:52

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Major Indices Recover With a Slight Pullback

After reaching new multi-week highs in the middle of the session under turbulent, two-way trading circumstances, the major US stock indexes settled somewhat below Friday's closing levels. The most recent set of tier 1 US statistics, the July ISM Manufacturing PMI survey, revealed that the US industrial sector's growth had slowed to its lowest level in more than two years and that indicators of the future, such the New Orders subindex, had moved deeper into contractionary territory.


This increased worries that a recession is either already present in the US economy or is about to start. More encouragingly, however, is the fact that the ISM prices paid subindex, a measure of the inflationary pressures faced by manufacturers, experienced a significant decline in July to its lowest level in two years, suggesting that US inflation has likely peaked at the moment.


Together, the signs of a slowing economy and declining inflationary pressures imply that the US Federal Reserve won't need to raise interest rates as quickly in the next quarters, as markets have begun to bet on recently. Despite the fact that some traders were obviously taking profits last week as US stocks finished their highest month since 2020, confidence about a more dovish Fed tightening outlook is now holding the bears at bay.


The S&P 500 was last trading down around 0.25 percent at 4,120 after flirting with 4,150 earlier in the day. The bulls are still aiming for a test of early June's highs in the 4,170s. For the first time since early May, the Nasdaq 100 index was temporarily able to surge over the 13,000 mark, but it has since fallen back to trade around the 12,900s. The Dow almost missed reaching 33,000 before reversing course and trading largely flat at over 32,800 today.


Equity investors are anticipating the publication of US employment data for July on Friday. This data is anticipated to demonstrate that the US labor market is still strong, despite a little cooling.

Sector Energy Slacks Boeing shares increase as oil prices decline

The energy GICS sector of the S&P 500 fell by approximately 2.0% as a result of a strong decline in global oil prices and bad global manufacturing PMI survey data (from the US, UK, China, and Japan as well as the Eurozone). Thus, the index has given up a significant amount of last Friday's 4.5 percent increase, which was mostly fueled by quarterly earnings records for Exxon Mobil and Chevron.


The majority of the other sector was also in the red, but to a smaller extent than energy, with just Consumer Staples (+1.2%), Industrials (+0.2%), and Consumer Discretionary (+0.6%) showing positive returns. A Reuters story that the US aviation authority had accepted Boeing's inspection and modification plan, allowing it to start deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner plane, caused the share price of Boeing to soar to its highest levels since late April, according to major individual stock articles.