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NIS, a Russian-controlled oil company, said it has applied for a new license from the U.S. Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control in order to continue operating after June 16.Bank of Japan: Governor Kazuo Ueda will submit written comments at the June meeting, but will not participate in the vote.It is understood that the British government is developing plans to revise the steel tariff system.According to Japans Kyodo News, Japan is negotiating with the U.S. Treasury Department to extend sanctions waivers for Russias Sakhalin-2 energy project.On June 10th, RBC Capital Markets (RCM) predicted that rising energy prices would continue to push up overall US inflation, with little prospect of significant relief in food prices, especially after recent reports of rising beef prices. The bank expects core CPI to rise 0.3% month-on-month in May, with year-on-year growth reaching 2.9%. RCM believes that higher jet fuel prices will continue to push up core services inflation, while a tight labor market and resilient wage growth limit further declines in core services inflation. Meanwhile, core goods inflation has been supported by rising new and used car prices in recent months, which has somewhat masked price pressures on trade-sensitive goods such as clothing, personal care products, and auto parts. Both the ISM manufacturing and services surveys show that business input costs are rising sharply. Recent PPI data indicates that businesses still have the pricing power to pass on higher costs to consumers. Therefore, RCM expects businesses to continue passing on upstream cost pressures in May, with both overall PPI and core PPI rising 0.6% month-on-month and year-on-year growth reaching 6.3% and 5.5%, respectively. Furthermore, a survey conducted by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) in April showed a significant increase in the proportion of businesses planning to raise product prices over the next three months, approaching 30%. This indicates that the process of passing on business costs to end-user prices may continue throughout the summer, thus providing further support for inflation trends in the coming months.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Leveled Off as the Dollar Rally Stopped

Alina Haynes

May 11, 2022 10:31

Investors continue to purchase gold in anticipation of tomorrow's inflation report, which could affect Fed monetary policy. In comparison to other major currencies, the dollar declined.

 

Today, benchmark rates declined in response to the Federal Reserve's less aggressive strategy. Today, the ten-year yield fell below 3 percent, after gaining 23 basis points yesterday.

 

The NFIB Small Business Economic Trends index remained unchanged from the prior month at 93.2. This indicator of small company confidence in the United States was below the 48-year average of 98.

 

This information indicates that small enterprises are struggling to combat rising inflationary pressures. Small enterprises face increased labor expenses and a labor scarcity, which exacerbates their economic difficulties.

 

The Fed's policy decision at the next meeting will likely be affected by tomorrow's inflation data.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices are approaching the 200-day moving average of 1836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to 1800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average in the vicinity of 1,874, there is observed resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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