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Hang Seng Index futures closed down 0.19% at 26,643 points in overnight trading, a discount of 6 points.On November 11th, JPMorgan Private Bank stated that the strong upward momentum in gold prices could push them above $5,000 per ounce next year, primarily driven by continued purchases by central banks in emerging market economies. Alex Wolf, Global Head of Macro and Fixed Income Strategy at the bank, pointed out that gold prices could reach $5,200 to $5,300 by the end of 2026, more than 25% higher than current trading levels. Global central bank gold purchases have been a key driver of the sharp rise in gold prices over the past two years. Policymakers seeking a store of value and asset diversification pushed gold prices to a record high of over $4,380 in October this year. Although prices have retreated somewhat in recent weeks, they are still up more than 50% year-to-date. Wolf stated that for many central banks, gold still represents a relatively small proportion of their foreign exchange reserves, especially in emerging market countries. He added, "We are still seeing them increasing their gold holdings, although the pace of purchases may slow due to rising prices."On November 11, Hamas spokesman Hazem Qasim stated on the 10th that Israel is deliberately expanding the "yellow line" area in northern Gaza, effectively altering the post-ceasefire border, and has failed to implement the previously agreed-upon ceasefire map. He described the recent Israeli military operations in several areas as a "systematic breach" of the ceasefire agreement. Qasim said Hamas, through the mediators, has requested heavy machinery to search for the bodies of Israeli detainees in the rubble, but continued Israeli restrictions are hindering the operation.U.S. Senate Republican Leader Thune: Im not sure if I can vote today.U.S. Senate Republican Leader Thune: (The voting process for the temporary funding bill) remains stalled.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Fell Sharply as Yields Increased

Alina Haynes

May 10, 2022 11:13

Despite soaring inflation and falling economic growth, gold prices declined. The dollar strengthened against other major currencies. As a result of the Fed's rate tightening, benchmark yields continue to rise, as the ten-year Treasury yield rose to 3.185 percent.

 

In accordance with forecasts, wholesale inventories in the United States increased by 2.3% in March compared to the previous month. Year-over-year, wholesale inventories climbed by 22%. The calculation of the gross domestic product includes inventories.

 

Wednesday's inflation figures will likely indicate the magnitude of the Fed's next action.

Analytical Techniques

Gold prices experienced negative pressure and are on course to break below the 200-day moving average of $1,836. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,882 is observed resistance.

 

Short-term momentum is negative as the Fast Stochastic generated a sell crossing signal. With a value of 13.5 below the oversold threshold of 20, the fast stochastic indicates that prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average passes beneath the 9-day moving average of the MACD line. The MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram shows a negative trajectory, indicating falling prices.

 

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