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September 5th - According to Axios, Republican confidence in the economy has plummeted at an unprecedented rate since the pandemic began over the past six months, a decline comparable to that during the global financial crisis nearly two decades ago. Typically, the ruling party is more optimistic about the economy, while the opposition is far more pessimistic. However, the current situation is unusual; even with Republicans in the White House, Republican voters are increasingly negative about the economy this year. With only two months left until Election Day, this adds another ominous sign for Trump. The director of the University of Michigans consumer survey stated that most of the time, Republican and Democratic confidence in the economy moves roughly in parallel, but this is not the case now. Republicans initially had very positive expectations for the governments economic policies (including tariffs), but they have seen neither a slowdown in inflation, let alone the price reductions promised by Trump.September 5th - The U.S. military stated on the 4th that it has shot down more than 300 drug cartel drones along the U.S.-Mexico border this year. The U.S. Northern Command issued a statement that day saying that the U.S. military has used both kinetic and non-kinetic systems to shoot down more than 300 drones this year to support U.S. Customs and Border Protection, including more than 100 in August. The U.S. military began using the Army Multipurpose High Energy Laser (MLLS) system in border operations on August 24th, and as of September 4th, it had used the system to shoot down 11 drug cartel drones. The U.S. military began using the Army Multipurpose High Energy Laser (MLLS) system in border operations on August 24, and as of September 4, it had used the system to shoot down 11 drug cartel drones.September 5th - Just earlier this year, France completed the domestic consolidation of all its official gold reserves, completely clearing out its custodial holdings in the United States. Eric Monnet, a professor at the Paris School of Economics, stated that this operation not only standardized the quality and specifications of its gold reserves, but also effectively mitigated inflation arising from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, while highlighting considerations for national sovereignty and asset security amidst geopolitical changes. Currently, many countries in Europe, South Asia, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East are reassessing the risks of overseas custody. With rising geopolitical and financial market uncertainty, a new round of adjustments to gold reserve allocations is underway globally.German Chancellor Merz: (Regarding the attempted drone attack at the airport) The attribution is very clear and has a full legal basis.According to Interfax news agency, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that Russia struck two ships carrying military cargo at the port of Chernomorsk in Ukraine. Russia also attacked a cargo ship near the port of Odessa in Ukraine.

【Financial Celebrity】Alan Greenspan:Invest regularly and systematically.

LEO

Oct 25, 2021 14:05

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Greenspan has been named by many US presidents to serve as the chairman of the Federal Reserve and has served a record-breaking 18 years. He is recognized as the most outstanding Fed chairman in economics, and even Fulimin, an economist who has never received praise for this position, praises him. What is the reason that the successive presidents value him, even after leaving office, all walks of life still value his opinions?


Contribution to the U.S. Economy

Since Greenspan became chairman of the Federal Reserve in 1987, the US economy has experienced two recessions, a stock market bubble, and the longest period of growth in history. During his tenure, he gradually lowered the federal funds rate to 1%, and then gradually rose back to 5.25%. Stable economic development by adjusting interest rates is his characteristic.


Therefore, during these eighteen years, American prices have been very stable, and the inflation rate has hovered between two to three percent. This is because he has a thorough grasp of economic data and can often take precautions. When he anticipates excessive inflation, he will raise the fund interest rate, and lower it when the unemployment rate or output index is unfavorable. Almost no central bank chairman in history can effectively control inflation or deflation by adjusting interest rates like Greenspan.


From clarinet performer to economist

In fact, Greenspan was not an economist at first, but a professional clarinet player. Later, he gave up music to study economics, and obtained a bachelor and master degree in economics from New York University in 1948 and 1950, respectively. After graduation, he studied at Columbia University, but dropped out afterwards. He is a friend of the philosopher Ayn Rand, influenced by the other side, and his position focuses on the market system.


In 1954, he co-founded "Townsend-Greenspan & Co." (Townsend-Greenspan & Co.) with Towson. He has also worked in various government consulting agencies as an economic consultant. His first high-profile job appointment in his life was from 1974 to 1977, serving as the chairman of the "Economic Advisory Council" during Ford's presidency. How has the result been in the past few years? The results are surprising.


He also made frequent mistakes

On January 7, 1973, Greenspan made a bold prediction in the New York Times, describing the economy at that time as "the situation has never been so optimistic." In fact, he was so wrong. Four days later, the Dow Jones Industrial Index reached its peak of 1051 points. However, following the severe economic recession in the United States after the "Great Depression", the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 46% in the following two years.


On September 5, 1974, on the second day of his first appointment as Chairman of the "Economic Advisory Council", he announced that there will be no major economic downturn in our economy. However, as we all know, from mid-1974 to mid-1975, the US economy shrank by 5.8%.


Greenspan predicted in 1978 that the ending interest rate of short-term Treasury bills would be 4.4%, but in fact it was 9.8%. As for the inflation rate of the year, his forecast was 4.5%, but the annual inflation rate rose to 9.2%.

In 1977, Greenspan returned to campus and received his doctorate from New York University. In the mid-1980s, Greenspan became a member of the Alcoa Board of Directors.


On August 11, 1987, Greenspan assumed the chairmanship of the Federal Reserve Committee. During his tenure, he gradually lowered the federal funds rate to 1%, and then gradually rose back to 5.25%. He was nominated and appointed many times by Reagan, Bush Sr. and Clinton. On May 18, 2004, President Bush nominated him as his successor to the chairman of the Federal Reserve. This was his fifth re-election to the position, unprecedented in American history.


In 2002 he was awarded the honour of KBE and Officer of the French Legion of Honor. In 2004, he was awarded an honorary doctorate by Prince Philip (Duke of Edinburgh, Honorary Chancellor of the University of Edinburgh, husband of Queen Elizabeth II) at McEwen Hall, University of Edinburgh.


In 2006, Greenspan ended his Fed career. He was later appointed as the Honorary Advisor to the British Chancellor of the Exchequer, and he plans to continue to write works.


In 2007, he was hired as a senior consultant by PIMCO, the world's largest bond investment management company.


Greenspan Quotes:
1.     I know you think you understand what you thought I said but I'm not sure you realize that what you heard is not what I meant.
2.    Government regulation cannot substitute for individual integrity.
3.    Protectionism will do little to create jobs and if foreigners retaliate, we will surely lose jobs
4.    Any informed borrower is simply less vulnerable to fraud and abuse.
5.    Whatever you tax, you get less of.
6.    Anything that we can do to raise personal savings is very much in the interest of this country.