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On April 12, US President Trump issued a new threat to Iran, saying, "At the appropriate time, we will be fully ready and our military will end the remaining forces in Iran."April 12 - Explosions and gunfire were heard in Kabul, the capital of Afghanistan, on April 12 local time.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.6 earthquake occurred at 21:27 on April 12 in Zizhong County, Neijiang City, Sichuan Province (29.67 degrees north latitude, 104.88 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.1. Monday: ① Data: US March existing home sales (annualized); China March M2 money supply (annualized). ② Events: OPEC releases monthly oil market report; International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank hold spring meetings until April 17; Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda visits the US from April 13 to 18 to attend G20 and IMF meetings. ③ Earnings: Goldman Sachs. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: US March NFIB Small Business Confidence Index; US March PPI (year-on-year); US March PPI (month-on-month); China March trade balance (in USD); China March trade balance. ② Events: Federal Reserve Board hosts "Strengthening the US Economy through Rural Investment: Working Forum"; IEA releases monthly oil market report; IMF releases World Economic Outlook report. ③ Holiday: National Stock Exchange of India closed. ④ Earnings: JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API and EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending April 10; final French March CPI month-on-month rate; Eurozone February industrial production month-on-month rate; Canadian February wholesale sales month-on-month rate; US April New York Fed Manufacturing Index, US March Import Price Index month-on-month rate, US April NAHB Housing Market Index. ② Events: The National Energy Administration releases total electricity consumption data around the 15th of each month; Bank of England Governor Bailey participates in a panel discussion at Columbia University; 2027 FOMC voting member and Chicago Fed President Goolsby participates in a panel discussion before the Semafor 2026 World Economic Conference; Fed Governor Barr delivers opening remarks at a working forum hosted by the Fed Board of Governors; Philadelphia Fed President Paulson, Richmond Fed President Barkin, Boston Fed President Collins, and Fed Governor Barr participate in a fireside chat at the Fed Board of Governors working forum; ECB President Lagarde delivers a speech. ③ Earnings Reports: Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, ASML. 4. Thursday: ① Data: Australias seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in March; Chinas first-quarter GDP year-on-year, Chinas March retail sales of consumer goods year-on-year, Chinas March industrial value-added year-on-year; UKs three-month GDP month-on-month in February, UKs February manufacturing output month-on-month, UKs seasonally adjusted goods trade balance in February, UKs February industrial production month-on-month; Eurozones final March CPI year-on-year rate, Eurozones final March CPI month-on-month rate; US initial jobless claims for the week ending April 11, US April Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, US March industrial production month-on-month, US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending April 10. ② Events: Federal Reserve Governor Bowman speaks at the Institute of International Finance Forum; the Federal Reserve releases its Beige Book on economic conditions; Bank of England Governor Bailey speaks on global economic imbalances on the sidelines of an IMF meeting; the National Bureau of Statistics releases its monthly report on residential sales prices in 70 major and medium-sized cities; the State Council Information Office holds a press conference on the operation of the national economy; FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams speaks; the G20 finance ministers and central bank governors meeting is held. ③ Earnings Report: TSMC. 5. Friday: ① Data: Eurozone February seasonally adjusted current account, Eurozone February seasonally adjusted trade balance. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of US oil rigs for the week ending April 17. ② Event: 2027 FOMC voting member and Richmond Fed President Barkin speaks.On April 12, local time, US President Trump posted on social media that the US-Iran talks had reached an agreement on "most issues," but failed to reach an agreement on the key issue of "nuclear weapons." Trump said the US had been briefed on the talks, which lasted approximately 20 hours, but Iran "was unwilling to give up its nuclear ambitions." Trump stated that the US would continue to push for negotiations, but was "fully prepared." He reiterated that Iran "will never possess nuclear weapons."

【Financial Celebrity】Alan Greenspan:Invest regularly and systematically.

LEO

Oct 25, 2021 14:05

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Greenspan has been named by many US presidents to serve as the chairman of the Federal Reserve and has served a record-breaking 18 years. He is recognized as the most outstanding Fed chairman in economics, and even Fulimin, an economist who has never received praise for this position, praises him. What is the reason that the successive presidents value him, even after leaving office, all walks of life still value his opinions?


Contribution to the U.S. Economy

Since Greenspan became chairman of the Federal Reserve in 1987, the US economy has experienced two recessions, a stock market bubble, and the longest period of growth in history. During his tenure, he gradually lowered the federal funds rate to 1%, and then gradually rose back to 5.25%. Stable economic development by adjusting interest rates is his characteristic.


Therefore, during these eighteen years, American prices have been very stable, and the inflation rate has hovered between two to three percent. This is because he has a thorough grasp of economic data and can often take precautions. When he anticipates excessive inflation, he will raise the fund interest rate, and lower it when the unemployment rate or output index is unfavorable. Almost no central bank chairman in history can effectively control inflation or deflation by adjusting interest rates like Greenspan.


From clarinet performer to economist

In fact, Greenspan was not an economist at first, but a professional clarinet player. Later, he gave up music to study economics, and obtained a bachelor and master degree in economics from New York University in 1948 and 1950, respectively. After graduation, he studied at Columbia University, but dropped out afterwards. He is a friend of the philosopher Ayn Rand, influenced by the other side, and his position focuses on the market system.


In 1954, he co-founded "Townsend-Greenspan & Co." (Townsend-Greenspan & Co.) with Towson. He has also worked in various government consulting agencies as an economic consultant. His first high-profile job appointment in his life was from 1974 to 1977, serving as the chairman of the "Economic Advisory Council" during Ford's presidency. How has the result been in the past few years? The results are surprising.


He also made frequent mistakes

On January 7, 1973, Greenspan made a bold prediction in the New York Times, describing the economy at that time as "the situation has never been so optimistic." In fact, he was so wrong. Four days later, the Dow Jones Industrial Index reached its peak of 1051 points. However, following the severe economic recession in the United States after the "Great Depression", the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 46% in the following two years.


On September 5, 1974, on the second day of his first appointment as Chairman of the "Economic Advisory Council", he announced that there will be no major economic downturn in our economy. However, as we all know, from mid-1974 to mid-1975, the US economy shrank by 5.8%.


Greenspan predicted in 1978 that the ending interest rate of short-term Treasury bills would be 4.4%, but in fact it was 9.8%. As for the inflation rate of the year, his forecast was 4.5%, but the annual inflation rate rose to 9.2%.

In 1977, Greenspan returned to campus and received his doctorate from New York University. In the mid-1980s, Greenspan became a member of the Alcoa Board of Directors.


On August 11, 1987, Greenspan assumed the chairmanship of the Federal Reserve Committee. During his tenure, he gradually lowered the federal funds rate to 1%, and then gradually rose back to 5.25%. He was nominated and appointed many times by Reagan, Bush Sr. and Clinton. On May 18, 2004, President Bush nominated him as his successor to the chairman of the Federal Reserve. This was his fifth re-election to the position, unprecedented in American history.


In 2002 he was awarded the honour of KBE and Officer of the French Legion of Honor. In 2004, he was awarded an honorary doctorate by Prince Philip (Duke of Edinburgh, Honorary Chancellor of the University of Edinburgh, husband of Queen Elizabeth II) at McEwen Hall, University of Edinburgh.


In 2006, Greenspan ended his Fed career. He was later appointed as the Honorary Advisor to the British Chancellor of the Exchequer, and he plans to continue to write works.


In 2007, he was hired as a senior consultant by PIMCO, the world's largest bond investment management company.


Greenspan Quotes:
1.     I know you think you understand what you thought I said but I'm not sure you realize that what you heard is not what I meant.
2.    Government regulation cannot substitute for individual integrity.
3.    Protectionism will do little to create jobs and if foreigners retaliate, we will surely lose jobs
4.    Any informed borrower is simply less vulnerable to fraud and abuse.
5.    Whatever you tax, you get less of.
6.    Anything that we can do to raise personal savings is very much in the interest of this country.