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On July 16th, South Korean Minister of Trade, Industry and Energy Kim Jung-gwan pointed out that artificial intelligence (AI), regional development, and the industrial ecosystem are key battlegrounds for the South Korean economy to escape the brink of "zero growth," emphasizing that business leaders must work together to address these challenges while expanding into global markets. He stated, "The era of relying on free trade and exports is fading; going it alone and survival of the fittest have become the norm." He added, "In such volatile times, if we do not remain highly vigilant, the rankings of companies, industries, and even the nation will change." Regarding AI, which he identified as a primary battleground, Kim Jung-gwan expressed caution about the current semiconductor boom and stressed the importance of preparedness. He noted, "Most companies outside the semiconductor market are struggling, but thanks to the chip industry, the whole society gives the illusion of prosperity."Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: On July 15th, COMEX gold initially fell before rising, closing at $4066.9/ounce, a decrease of 0.07%. Domestic SHFE gold opened higher in the night session, then quickly weakened, recovering its losses to close at 887.42 yuan/gram, an increase of 0.03%. 1. On Wednesday, the US June PPI fell 0.3% month-on-month, the largest drop since April 2025, while the market had expected it to remain flat; Mays data was revised down from 1.1% to 0.6%. The June PPI rose 5.5% year-on-year, lower than Mays 6.0%. The unexpected decline in June producer prices further indicates that US inflationary pressures are gradually easing ahead of the recent escalation of conflict in the Middle East. Cooling expectations of a Fed rate hike provided some support for gold prices. However, reports indicate that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh told US lawmakers that the Fed has not yet achieved its mandate to maintain price stability, but declined to reveal how or when it will address this issue, potentially weakening market expectations for a positive PPI. 2. Geopolitically, the US-Iran conflict continues to escalate, with no signs of de-escalation. According to Reuters, the US launched strikes on Iranian coastal defense facilities and missile bases on Wednesday after reimposing a naval blockade on Iranian ports; Iran, in turn, threatened to cut off energy exports from more regions and stated it was waging a "war for the survival of the nation" with the US. Amid this escalating situation, market risk appetite has further declined, and gold prices are likely to trend weakly with a period of recovery.July 16th – The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) today released the "National Logistics Hub Innovation and Development Report (2026)". According to the report, the construction and operation of national logistics hubs have achieved significant results, with development moving towards innovation and excellence, demonstrating vigorous vitality. It is reported that in 2025, the average cargo throughput of national logistics hubs will increase by 5.5% year-on-year, a growth rate 2.3 percentage points higher than the national average freight volume. Infrastructure shortcomings are being rapidly addressed, with nearly 80% of hubs having railway stations or dedicated lines. The railway access ratio for land port-type and port-type hubs has reached 97.2% and 89.7%, respectively. The hubs resource aggregation capacity continues to strengthen, occupying a dominant position in the national logistics network. 71.3% of hubs have launched railway freight trains; the number of hub freight trains has increased by 7.4% year-on-year. Port-type hubs have launched over 2,700 freight routes. To date, my country has released seven batches of 181 national logistics hubs, accounting for approximately 79% of the total planned layout.July 16th - Capital Economics economist Gareth Leather stated that the Bank of Korea may further raise interest rates after Thursdays hike. He pointed out that in addition to the recent sharp rise in overall consumer inflation, what worries the Bank of Korea more is that South Koreas core inflation has risen from 2.0% at the beginning of 2026 to 2.5%. The financial stability risks posed by rising housing prices are another reason for the Bank of Korea to maintain higher interest rates. Furthermore, South Koreas export performance is strong, and the economy has the capacity to withstand higher interest rates.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: The specific monetary policy measures will be determined by the Bank of Japan.

Oil Quiet As Price Cap Suggestion Assists in Relieving Supply Concerns

Skylar Williams

Nov 25, 2022 14:48

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Benchmark Brent oil declined on Thursday, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude remained unchanged, hovering at two-month lows due to uncertainty about the degree to which a proposed G7 restriction on the price of Russian oil would limit supply.


A larger-than-anticipated rise in gasoline inventories in the United States and an expansion of COVID-19 limitations in China also knocked on oil prices.


At 15.15 p.m. ET (2015 GMT), Brent oil prices decreased 29 cents, or 0.3%, to $85.12 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude futures decreased 2 cents, to $77.96 per barrel.


Due to the Thanksgiving break in the United States, trade volumes were quite low.


The announcement on Wednesday that the expected price ceiling for Russian oil may surpass the current market level triggered a decrease of about 3 percent for both benchmarks.


European Union nations remained divided over what level to cap Russian oil prices to limit Moscow's ability to pay for its battle in Ukraine without causing a global oil supply shock; if positions converge on Friday, more conversations are possible.


A European official claimed that the G7 is discussing a cap of $65-$70 per barrel for Russian oil transported by sea, but European Union member states have not yet reached an agreement on a price.


A higher price ceiling might encourage Russia to continue selling its oil, decreasing the possibility of a global oil supply shortage.


According to two sources, several Indian refiners are discounting Russian Urals crude by between $25 and $35 per barrel compared to the worldwide benchmark Brent oil. Urals is Russia's principal crude export.


Despite the obstacles, Bart Melek, global head of commodities market strategy at TD Securities, is rather optimistic about oil. "The Russian price ceiling is another aspect that contributed to the current price fall," he stated.


The Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday that gasoline and distillate inventories in the United States climbed substantially during the previous week. [EIA/S]


In contrast, oil stockpiles decreased by 3.7 million barrels to 431.7 million barrels in the week ending November 18, despite a Reuters survey predicting a reduction of 1.1 million barrels.


China reported the highest daily number of COVID-19 cases since the outbreak began over three years ago on Wednesday. Local officials intensified measures to remove the breakouts, raising investor anxiety over the economy and demand for fuel.