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On September 18th, Nick Timiraos, the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece," stated: "When the Federal Reserve cut interest rates on Wednesday, it superficially looked like a routine monetary policy operation. The market reaction was relatively muted, and Chairman Jerome Powell largely avoided the heated disagreements sparked by the decision, despite it occurring against the backdrop of unprecedented political confrontation." The policy shift initiated by Powells rate cut on Wednesday may represent his last effort to demonstrate that an independent US central bank remains capable of guiding the economy in a complex environment, rather than surrendering its independence before officials more aligned with President Trumps priorities gain greater control. Powells term as chairman will end next spring. For the third time in his tenure, Powell attempted an extremely delicate maneuver: cutting interest rates not because a recession is imminent, but to prevent one.Nick Timiraos, the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece": This is the third time under Powells leadership that the Fed has begun cutting interest rates without facing a significant economic downturn. But given the more difficult inflation situation and political factors (the White Houses confrontational nature), the stakes in 2019 and 2024 will be different than they are now.New York Times CEO: Trump is using an "anti-media strategy."The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected. Why did gold prices briefly rise before retracing all gains? Has the actual impact of previous interest rate adjustments truly lived up to expectations? The Futures Focus Timeline provides a summary.Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi: We are monitoring the impact of the US economic situation on Japan.

Oil Quiet As Price Cap Suggestion Assists in Relieving Supply Concerns

Skylar Williams

Nov 25, 2022 14:48

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Benchmark Brent oil declined on Thursday, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude remained unchanged, hovering at two-month lows due to uncertainty about the degree to which a proposed G7 restriction on the price of Russian oil would limit supply.


A larger-than-anticipated rise in gasoline inventories in the United States and an expansion of COVID-19 limitations in China also knocked on oil prices.


At 15.15 p.m. ET (2015 GMT), Brent oil prices decreased 29 cents, or 0.3%, to $85.12 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude futures decreased 2 cents, to $77.96 per barrel.


Due to the Thanksgiving break in the United States, trade volumes were quite low.


The announcement on Wednesday that the expected price ceiling for Russian oil may surpass the current market level triggered a decrease of about 3 percent for both benchmarks.


European Union nations remained divided over what level to cap Russian oil prices to limit Moscow's ability to pay for its battle in Ukraine without causing a global oil supply shock; if positions converge on Friday, more conversations are possible.


A European official claimed that the G7 is discussing a cap of $65-$70 per barrel for Russian oil transported by sea, but European Union member states have not yet reached an agreement on a price.


A higher price ceiling might encourage Russia to continue selling its oil, decreasing the possibility of a global oil supply shortage.


According to two sources, several Indian refiners are discounting Russian Urals crude by between $25 and $35 per barrel compared to the worldwide benchmark Brent oil. Urals is Russia's principal crude export.


Despite the obstacles, Bart Melek, global head of commodities market strategy at TD Securities, is rather optimistic about oil. "The Russian price ceiling is another aspect that contributed to the current price fall," he stated.


The Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday that gasoline and distillate inventories in the United States climbed substantially during the previous week. [EIA/S]


In contrast, oil stockpiles decreased by 3.7 million barrels to 431.7 million barrels in the week ending November 18, despite a Reuters survey predicting a reduction of 1.1 million barrels.


China reported the highest daily number of COVID-19 cases since the outbreak began over three years ago on Wednesday. Local officials intensified measures to remove the breakouts, raising investor anxiety over the economy and demand for fuel.

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