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On April 28th, John Luke Tyner, head of fixed income at Aptus Capital Advisors, stated in a report that this weeks Federal Reserve meeting will provide clues as to which officials are inclined to react to energy-related inflation and which view it as a temporary factor. He noted that the meetings dovish tone, with no dot plot and a high probability of no policy action, "paves the way for a more intense meeting in June," where Kevin Warsh is likely to chair. Tyner added that a new dot plot will be released in June, and more time will be available to clarify the situation in the Middle East and its impact on the economy and inflation.On April 28, the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the current economic situation and economic work. The meeting emphasized the need to make full and effective use of macroeconomic policies. It stressed the importance of continuously optimizing the structure of fiscal expenditures and ensuring basic public services at the grassroots level. The meeting also emphasized enhancing the forward-looking, flexible, and targeted nature of monetary policy to maintain ample liquidity. Maintaining the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level was also stressed. Finally, the meeting called for a thorough assessment of the consistency of macroeconomic policy orientation.On April 28, the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the current economic situation and economic work. The meeting emphasized the need to accelerate the construction of a modern industrial system and maintain a reasonable proportion of manufacturing. It stressed the importance of deepening the construction of a unified national market and thoroughly addressing "involutionary" competition. The meeting also called for the comprehensive implementation of the "Artificial Intelligence+" action plan, developing new forms of intelligent economy, and improving the governance of artificial intelligence. Furthermore, it stressed the need to further deepen the reform of state-owned assets and enterprises. Finally, it emphasized the need to systematically address external shocks and challenges, improve the level of energy and resource security, and respond to various uncertainties with the certainty of high-quality development.April 28 – The Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee held a meeting on April 28 to analyze and study the current economic situation and economic work. The meeting pointed out the need to further tap the potential of domestic demand. This includes expanding the supply of high-quality goods and services to promote consumption upgrading; further implementing the action plan to expand and improve the service industry; strengthening the planning and construction of water networks, new power grids, computing networks, next-generation communication networks, urban underground pipe networks, and logistics networks; and promoting the commencement of major projects when conditions are ripe.On April 28, the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the current economic situation and economic work. The meeting pointed out the need to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas. Efforts should be made to stabilize the real estate market and steadily promote urban renewal. Local government debt risks should be resolved in an orderly manner, and efforts should be focused on resolving the issue of overdue payments to enterprises. Reforms of small and medium-sized financial institutions should be promoted to stabilize and enhance confidence in the capital market.

Oil Quiet As Price Cap Suggestion Assists in Relieving Supply Concerns

Skylar Williams

Nov 25, 2022 14:48

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Benchmark Brent oil declined on Thursday, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude remained unchanged, hovering at two-month lows due to uncertainty about the degree to which a proposed G7 restriction on the price of Russian oil would limit supply.


A larger-than-anticipated rise in gasoline inventories in the United States and an expansion of COVID-19 limitations in China also knocked on oil prices.


At 15.15 p.m. ET (2015 GMT), Brent oil prices decreased 29 cents, or 0.3%, to $85.12 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude futures decreased 2 cents, to $77.96 per barrel.


Due to the Thanksgiving break in the United States, trade volumes were quite low.


The announcement on Wednesday that the expected price ceiling for Russian oil may surpass the current market level triggered a decrease of about 3 percent for both benchmarks.


European Union nations remained divided over what level to cap Russian oil prices to limit Moscow's ability to pay for its battle in Ukraine without causing a global oil supply shock; if positions converge on Friday, more conversations are possible.


A European official claimed that the G7 is discussing a cap of $65-$70 per barrel for Russian oil transported by sea, but European Union member states have not yet reached an agreement on a price.


A higher price ceiling might encourage Russia to continue selling its oil, decreasing the possibility of a global oil supply shortage.


According to two sources, several Indian refiners are discounting Russian Urals crude by between $25 and $35 per barrel compared to the worldwide benchmark Brent oil. Urals is Russia's principal crude export.


Despite the obstacles, Bart Melek, global head of commodities market strategy at TD Securities, is rather optimistic about oil. "The Russian price ceiling is another aspect that contributed to the current price fall," he stated.


The Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday that gasoline and distillate inventories in the United States climbed substantially during the previous week. [EIA/S]


In contrast, oil stockpiles decreased by 3.7 million barrels to 431.7 million barrels in the week ending November 18, despite a Reuters survey predicting a reduction of 1.1 million barrels.


China reported the highest daily number of COVID-19 cases since the outbreak began over three years ago on Wednesday. Local officials intensified measures to remove the breakouts, raising investor anxiety over the economy and demand for fuel.