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On August 29th, NBC News, citing two sources familiar with the matter, reported that US Defense Secretary Peter Hegseth has been discussing the possibility of running for president in 2028 with close associates in recent months. Hegseth and his wife believe he shares some similarities with Trump, including a tough, confrontational style and conservative stances on social issues, which could garner support from the MAGA base. This month, Hegseth also traveled to Iowa to campaign for Republican lawmakers. Iowa has long been a key outpost in US presidential elections, further fueling speculation that he is preparing to run. If he does run, Hegseth could compete with Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Rubio, and others. However, a Pentagon spokesperson denied the claims, stating that "Secretary Hegseth will not run for president," and that his primary focus remains leading the Department of Defense. The report points out that the ongoing war with Iran could be a major political burden for Hegseth, with 18 US military personnel already killed and the average US gasoline price rising from less than $3 per gallon to slightly over $4.On August 29th, Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian stated that todays changes in the US Treasury yield curve released two signals. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year yields narrowed by approximately 7 basis points, and the spread between the 2-year and 30-year yields narrowed by approximately 10 basis points, showing a flattening trend. El-Erian believes this reflects a dual interpretation in the fixed-income market: in the short term, it represents a hawkish repricing following Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs firm commitment to the inflation target; in the long term, it reflects recognition of the Federal Reserves long-term credibility.According to NBC News, U.S. Defense Secretary Hergsays is considering running for president in 2028.On August 29th, Deutsche Bank economists predicted that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in September and December. Fed Chairman Warsh, in his Jackson Hole speech, emphasized the need to bring inflation back to the 2% target and released a clearly hawkish signal. Deutsche Bank believes that unless future economic data is "significantly weaker than expected," the threshold for avoiding a 25 basis point rate hike in September is already very high. The market has also quickly increased its bets on rate hikes: CME data shows that the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points or more by December has risen to 51%, up from only 29% the previous day; the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 38%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is only 11%. Following Warshs speech, market bets on a September rate hike have also clearly intensified.US President Trump criticized New York Governor Hoher for "taking Canadas side," refusing to use the name "American Lake," and "preferring Canada to win," while also supporting Blackman as the next governor of New York.

High Mortgage Rates Force First-time Buyers to Rent, According to Rightmove

Aria Thomas

Nov 25, 2022 14:27

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The property website Rightmove (OTC:RTMVY) said on Friday that the demand for rental homes in the United Kingdom surged in October as prospective first-time buyers postponed their purchases owing to rising mortgage rates.


However, the total number of renters and purchasers on the market declined by 1% compared to the same period previous year.


In recent months, mortgage rates in the United Kingdom have risen beyond 6%, increasing after the "mini-budget" of former prime minister Liz Truss on September 23 rattled financial markets.


Since then, rates have fallen due to Jeremy Hunt's Autumn Statement, which guaranteed stamp duty reductions through March 31, 2025.


According to Britain's largest property marketplace, first-time buyers have been significantly impacted by the hike, prompting them to consider renting in the near future while they await the inevitable stability of mortgage rates.


Tim Bannister, a property expert at Rightmove, commented, "It is very understandable why some buyers, especially first-time buyers, are waiting for better financial stability."


Now that there are indicators that mortgage rates are stabilizing, it is probable that they will settle at a higher level than buyers in the past have experienced.


42% of prospective first-time buyers who intend to enter the property market over the next several years have already amassed their entire down payment while awaiting a reduction in interest rates. 43% more were engaged in savings.


Tenants are already facing a large increase in expenses owing to the rising costs of electricity, fuel, food, and council tax, which are reflected in the statistics.


As a result of the highest rate of inflation in 41 years, real wages are decreasing, placing incomes under the most severe pressure in decades.