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Futures July 2, Economies.com analysts latest view today: In intraday trading, gold prices have fallen, which is a natural corrective trend. EMA50 remains an important technical support level for price movements in the short term. This decline is an attempt to get rid of the obvious overbought conditions on the (Relative Strength Index) RSI, especially with the emergence of negative signals, which may help prices accumulate new bullish momentum and support prices to resume their upward trend. It should be noted that the price has previously broken out of the bearish correction channel. As long as the price remains above the above support level and does not fall below the nearest support level, this will maintain the validity of the bullish view, otherwise it may weaken the expected bullish scenario.Futures July 2, Economies.com analysts latest view today: WTI crude oil futures continue to fluctuate in a narrow sideways range between the 65.56 resistance level and the 63.70 support level, indicating that the market is in a state of confusion and wait-and-see, waiting for new momentum to push prices out of this range. In the short term, bearish correction waves dominate, and as negative pressure from trading below EMA50 continues, if prices fail to break through the upper resistance level, the possibility of a decline is strengthened.On July 2, CICC published a Hong Kong stock strategy report, stating that the macro environment of Hong Kong stock industry rotation is: "Fund abundance + asset shortage = index volatility + extreme structure". The reason why the market presents this index volatility, but the characteristics of active structural market are determined by the three macro environments of insufficient overall economic returns, structural bright spots, and abundant funds. For the market, the Hang Seng Index has been fluctuating in the range of 23,000 to 24,000 points given by the bank in the past month. The corresponding risk premium and the optimistic sentiment are already equivalent to the high point in early October last year, so further optimism also requires more catalysts. CICC suggests that investors can moderately reduce their positions in the short term, or switch to AI Internet, which is expected to have a stable dividend and has cooled significantly compared with the beginning of the year, and wait for subsequent opportunities. If there is a large fluctuation, it can intervene more actively and buy back high-quality assets at a lower cost, but the premise is to keep the "bullet".Futures July 2, Economies.com analysts latest view today: Brent crude oil futures prices fluctuated, affected by the stability of the key support level of $66.50. If the subsequent price continues to remain stable, it will provide bullish momentum. However, in the short term, the bearish correction wave dominates the market, but because it is trading below EMA50, coupled with the negative overlap signal on the RSI, the negative pressure continues.Data released by BYD Denza Auto showed that it sold 15,783 vehicles in June, a year-on-year increase of 28.6%.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD recovers within the weekly bearish trend, Covid; Treasury yields in focus

Daniel Rogers

Nov 22, 2022 14:56

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Early Tuesday morning, the gold price (XAU/USD) reaches $1,745 for the first daily increase in four. In doing so, the precious metal applauds the wide US Dollar decline during a likely sluggish day preceding Wednesday's crucial data/events.

 

Consequently, the US Dollar Index (DXY) falls intraday by 0.25 percent to 107.55, halting a three-day rally. Recent challenges to the hawkish concerns surrounding the US Federal Reserve are reflected in the dollar's metric, which tracks US Treasury yields (Fed).

 

The US 10-year Treasury yields decline for the first time in four days, falling one basis point to around 3.81% as of press time, as the most recent remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) members fail to buttress the previously hawkish attitude.

 

In a CNBC interview, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, stated, "I think we can ease down from 75 in the December meeting." Previously, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic rejected the 75 basis point move and challenged the DXY bulls. In addition, October readings of -0.05 for the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, compared to the prior reading of 0.17, posed a challenge to US Dollar bulls.

 

On the other hand, a seven-month high in daily coronavirus cases from China rekindled fears of a supply bottleneck and gave US Dollar purchasers optimism ahead of tomorrow's preliminary monthly activity data and Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes.

 

In addition, the most recent articles from Nikkei Asia imply that China is likely hoarding the metal while selling US Treasury bonds, which gives buyers of gold reason for optimism.