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Real-time News
September 1st - Data from the National Association of Home Mortgage Borrowers (NAM) shows that UK house prices rose in August, indicating that housing demand remains resilient despite the economic impact of the ongoing conflict between the US and Iran. The average UK house price rose 0.2% in August to £275,465, reversing a revised 0.1% decline in the previous month. Augusts price performance was slightly better than economists expectations of a 0.1% increase. This data suggests that the UK housing market may be weathering the impact of the Middle East conflict. Ample household savings and Prime Minister Andy Burnhams cost-of-living measures are helping to maintain housing demand. However, energy costs remain high, and house prices have fallen in two of the past four months. Overall economic sentiment in the UK may deteriorate further. The Iranian energy shock has dampened market hopes for interest rate cuts, with traders now expecting the Bank of England to raise rates by 25 basis points by the end of the year. Meanwhile, speculation surrounding potential tax increases in the new Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healys first budget could further dampen the willingness of potential homebuyers.The UKs Nationwide house price index rose 0.2% month-on-month in August, below the expected 0.10% and the previous reading revised from 0.10% to -0.1%.The UKs Nationwide house price index rose 1.6% year-on-year in August, below the expected 2% and the previous reading revised from 1.80% to 1.4%.Germanys real retail sales fell 3.4% month-on-month in July, compared with an expected 0.4% and a previous reading of -0.7%.Germanys real retail sales fell 2.5% year-on-year in July, compared with a previous reading of -0.2%.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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