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Major European and American stock index futures fell, with Nasdaq 100 futures down more than 1% and S&P 500 futures down 0.5%; Euro Stoxx 50 futures and German DAX futures fell 0.7% and UK FTSE futures fell 0.8%.On June 23, TA Securities analyst Shazma Juliana Abu Bakar stated in a report that the recent diesel subsidy reform in Malaysia is likely to have a negligible direct impact on inflation, as most eligible diesel users will continue to receive subsidized fuel, and logistics operators will also be protected. From July 1st, Malaysia will set diesel prices nationwide at market rates, allowing eligible citizens to purchase subsidized diesel at RM2.10 per liter. The analyst expects transportation costs and broader price pressures to remain manageable, noting that diesel accounts for only 0.2% of the Consumer Price Index (CPI). She added that the reform should help maintain household purchasing power, but its impact on overall consumption may be limited due to the relatively small beneficiary group. TA Securities maintains its 2026 inflation forecast for Malaysia at 2.1%-2.6% and GDP growth forecast at 4.3%-4.7%.Alibabas Hong Kong-listed shares (09988.HK) fell below HK$100, hitting a new low since April 2025, and are currently down more than 3%.The Hang Seng Tech Index fell by more than 2%, with MINIMAX-W (00100.HK) falling by more than 12% and Zhipu (02513.HK) falling by more than 9%.June 23 - Matthew Lynn, a financial columnist for The Daily Telegraph, stated that the US-Israeli military action against Iran was a perfect storm for the energy market, with experts vying to issue the most extreme oil price predictions. However, disaster did not occur. Oil prices did surge, but in real terms, they didnt even reach record highs. In 2008, oil prices reached $147 per barrel, equivalent to $224 today. Now, no one expects emergency measures to curb energy consumption, nor is anyone worried about interest rates soaring to 13% or unemployment skyrocketing. The era of what could be called a "long-term oil crisis," from 1973 to 2026, has ended. This will have three profound impacts. First, the importance of the Middle East will significantly decrease. Second, inflation will be contained. The US is likely to see prices remain almost unchanged year-on-year for the next decade or even longer. Third, and most importantly, the global economy will become more stable. The importance of oil as a commodity has been diminishing over the years. Of course, oil remains very important, but it will be much harder for it to dominate headlines again. Its era has passed, and the world will become more stable as a result.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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