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U.S. Treasury Department: Issues general license to Venezuela.September 3rd - The Federal Reserves Beige Book showed that U.S. economic activity has grown moderately since early July. Of the 12 Fed districts, 10 recorded slight to moderate growth, while 2 remained unchanged. Consumer spending increased slightly, but consumer price sensitivity increased, with high-end consumption remaining strong; auto sales were sluggish due to weak confidence, high oil prices, and rising financing costs. Manufacturing activity rebounded in most districts, with some reporting strong demand for defense and data center-related orders. The job market grew more slowly, with only a slight overall increase. Labor demand was relatively good in manufacturing and construction, but demand declined in retail and hospitality. On the price front, most districts reported moderate price increases, with cost pressures from energy, transportation, raw materials, and tariffs persisting. Businesses expect a generally positive economic outlook but remain concerned about uncertainties surrounding energy prices, policy, and international conflicts.The Federal Reserves Beige Book: Overall employment rose slightly, with small increases in three districts, slight increases in four districts, and no change in five districts.The Federal Reserves Beige Book: The overall outlook for the coming months is positive, but sentiment is mixed across sectors, with respondents reporting greater uncertainty about the impact of rising energy prices.On September 3, Venezuelan Acting President Delcy Rodríguez met with U.S. Energy Secretary Wright on September 2. Following the meeting, the two countries formally signed several cooperation agreements. It is understood that the Venezuelan government signed agreements with several companies, including Chevron, regarding oil expansion projects. Recently, U.S. President Trump announced on social media that the U.S. had reached an agreement with Venezuela, gaining "majority control" over Venezuelas proven oil reserves of over 65 billion barrels. Venezuelan Acting President Delcy Rodríguez stated that the oil cooperation agreement with the U.S. will last for 25 years, with the goal of increasing crude oil production to 1.5 million barrels per day and maintaining Venezuelas autonomy over its natural resources.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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