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Futures News, August 4th: Following the easing of tensions between the US and Iran, crude oil prices declined, dragging down fuel oil costs and prompting downstream traders to adopt a cautious approach to high-priced purchases. Today, the news regarding low-sulfur asphalt futures offered limited support, but on the supply and demand side, increased coking plant operating rates and reduced residual oil supply provided some support to the market. It is expected that domestic fuel oil negotiations will remain largely stable today, with some potential for price reductions to encourage increased supply.According to JLC Network Technologys calculations, as of the second working day of August 4th, the average price of benchmark crude oil was $84.73 per barrel, with a change rate of -5.23%. Domestic gasoline and diesel retail prices should be reduced by 240 yuan per ton. The adjustments are based on: 1. the domestic crude oil import structure and settlement benchmark varieties; 2. the possibility of slight adjustments based on import structure and other factors during the pricing mechanisms operation, which JLC Network Technology will revise accordingly; 3. at 24:00 on July 31st, domestic gasoline and diesel retail prices were increased by 685 and 655 yuan per ton respectively. Based on the "ten working days" principle, the adjustment window for this round is 24:00 on August 14th.As of 8:30 on August 4, 2026, WTI crude oil, Brent crude oil and other commodities saw the largest fluctuations. A chart reviews the overnight price changes in the international market and their corresponding theoretical mappings in the domestic market.As of 8:30 AM Beijing time, spot platinum was up 0.06% and spot palladium was down 0.06%.Futures News, August 4th: Market concerns eased, international oil prices fell, and cost support weakened, leading to a generally weak PX market today. The short-term PX tightness situation continues, with supply and demand remaining favorable.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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