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The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 3.7 occurred at 21:39 on June 8 near Kangding City, Ganzi Prefecture, Sichuan Province (29.92 degrees north latitude, 101.96 degrees east longitude). The final result is subject to the official rapid report.On June 8th, Citigroup stated that earnings growth driven by AI infrastructure development is expected to propel the S&P 500 to break the 8,000-point mark in 2026. The bank raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 8,100 points, representing an upside of over 9.5% from last Fridays closing price, up from its previous target of 7,700 points. Strategist Kronat predicts that S&P 500 earnings per share will reach $350 in 2026 and rise to $400 in 2027. Kronat stated, "The AI tailwind is driving a surge in the fundamentals of related industries, and we are confident that earnings will continue to exceed expectations by the end of the year." He pointed out that unexpectedly strong earnings in the first quarter were unusually common, and while unlikely to be sustained, the rate of positive surprises in the coming quarters will remain above normal. Kronat believes that earnings will replace valuation expansion as the main driver of the index. He added that although the uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran war, inflation, and the interest rate path may cause volatility, AI spending remains a focus for investors. Regarding concerns about an AI bubble, Kronat believes the markets fervor for AI growth is far from over. "We are in the middle of a phase where price-to-earnings ratios will moderate, and earnings growth will bear a greater responsibility," he said.Artificial intelligence chip maker Cerebras Systems (CBRS.O) rose about 5%, with at least nine brokerages initiating coverage of the stock.The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened 237.28 points higher, or 0.47%, at 51,104.06 on Monday, June 8; the S&P 500 opened 71.34 points higher, or 0.97%, at 7,455.08; and the Nasdaq Composite opened 390.62 points higher, or 1.52%, at 26,100.06.On June 8th, Morgan Stanley strategists stated in a report that the US dollar could weaken in the coming months if risk appetite improves and the Federal Reserve avoids raising interest rates. They noted that positive risk sentiment is unfavorable for the dollar in the absence of rising interest rates. However, they added that if the US economy outperforms other countries, leading to larger interest rate hikes, it would be more favorable for the dollar. "Given that both the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan are expected to raise interest rates this month, narrowing interest rate differentials should encourage increased risk appetite, thus putting pressure on the dollar."

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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