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The Eurozones seasonally adjusted trade balance for June, the final reading of seasonally adjusted employment for the second quarter, and the revised annual GDP growth rate will be released in ten minutes.On August 14th, the Hong Kong government announced on Friday that it has revised its 2026 GDP growth forecast upward to 3.5-4.5%, from the previous forecast of 2.5-3.5%. Hong Kong government economic advisor, Fan Wan-er, stated that Hong Kongs economy should see robust growth in the second half of this year. Strong global demand for AI-related electronic products is expected to continue supporting Hong Kongs merchandise trade performance, and related logistics services should also benefit from this positive momentum. The revised figures released today show that Hong Kongs second-quarter GDP grew by 4.3% year-on-year, but fell by 0.6% quarter-on-quarter, consistent with previous estimates.On August 14th, the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) reported the following warehouse receipts and changes: 1. Natural rubber futures warehouse receipts: 147,480 tons, a decrease of 260 tons from the previous trading day; 2. International copper futures warehouse receipts: 6,375 tons, an increase of 549 tons from the previous trading day; 3. Silver futures warehouse receipts: 1,334,644 kg, an increase of 21,380 kg from the previous trading day; 4. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 2,961,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 5. Alumina futures warehouse receipts: 271,490 tons, a decrease of 1,794 tons from the previous trading day; 6. Stainless steel warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 85,199 tons, a decrease of 726 tons from the previous trading day; 7. Rebar warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 34,417 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 8. Lead futures warehouse receipts: 65,864 tons, an increase of 173 tons from the previous trading day; 9. Nickel futures warehouse receipts totaled 101,387 tons, an increase of 588 tons from the previous trading day; 10. Pulp warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 370,235 tons, an increase of 1,004 tons from the previous trading day; 11. Pulp mill warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 20,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 12. Tin futures warehouse receipts totaled 5,452 tons, an increase of 324 tons from the previous trading day; 13. Petroleum asphalt mill warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 26,500 tons, an increase of 7,510 tons from the previous trading day; 14. Petroleum asphalt warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 15,550 tons, an increase of 2,290 tons from the previous trading day; 15. Hot-rolled coil futures warehouse receipts totaled 240,397 tons, a decrease of 11,182 tons from the previous trading day; 16. Butadiene rubber futures warehouse receipts totaled 23,610 tons, a decrease of 230 tons from the previous trading day; 17. Gold futures warehouse receipts were 113,676 kg, unchanged from the previous trading day; copper futures warehouse receipts were 33,676 tons, an increase of 6,468 tons from the previous trading day; zinc futures warehouse receipts were 113,466 tons, an increase of 506 tons from the previous trading day; fuel oil futures warehouse receipts were 35,420 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; aluminum futures warehouse receipts were 297,843 tons, a decrease of 2,227 tons from the previous trading day; low-sulfur fuel oil warehouse futures warehouse receipts were 330 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; and TSR20 rubber futures warehouse receipts were 15,624 tons, a decrease of 1,008 tons from the previous trading day.August 14th - In July, the amount of cross-border RMB settlement under current account items was 1.75 trillion yuan, of which goods trade, services trade and other current account items were 1.32 trillion yuan and 0.43 trillion yuan respectively; the amount of cross-border RMB settlement for direct investment was 0.63 trillion yuan, of which outward direct investment and foreign direct investment were 0.22 trillion yuan and 0.41 trillion yuan respectively.August 14th - At the end of July, the balance of domestic and foreign currency deposits reached 354.49 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%. The balance of RMB deposits at the end of July was 346.47 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%. In the first seven months, RMB deposits increased by 17.79 trillion yuan. Among them, household deposits increased by 6.95 trillion yuan, non-financial enterprise deposits increased by 1.57 trillion yuan, fiscal deposits increased by 1.95 trillion yuan, and deposits of non-bank financial institutions increased by 5.76 trillion yuan. At the end of July, the balance of foreign currency deposits reached 1.18 trillion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 17.9%. In the first seven months, foreign currency deposits increased by 121.2 billion US dollars.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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