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On Thursday, June 18, the Hang Seng Index opened down 166.97 points, or 0.69%, at 24,145.19; the Hang Seng Tech Index opened down 41.0 points, or 0.88%, at 4,628.07; the H-share Index opened down 71.31 points, or 0.88%, at 8,072.72; and the Red Chip Index opened down 22.5 points, or 0.54%, at 4,149.33.The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced today that it conducted 248 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with both the bid and winning bids amounting to 248 billion yuan. The operating rate was 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate.Hong Kong stocks opened lower, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.69% and the Tech Index down 0.88%. MINIMAX-W (00100.HK) rose more than 3.8%, Pop Mart (09992.HK) fell more than 3.3%, and NetEase (09999.HK) fell more than 2.8%.Gold prices rose in early Asian trading on June 18 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged overnight. DBS Group strategist Sherilyn Chew stated that while peace efforts between the US and Iran since the beginning of the week have supported gold prices, partially offsetting the impact of the Feds hints at a rate hike later this year, gold prices have tended to trade within a narrow range. This suggests that the recent rally is largely event-driven rather than supported by macroeconomic changes. However, central bank gold purchases are expected to remain strong, and market surveys indicate continued demand for increased gold reserves over the next year, which should provide medium-term support for gold prices. DBS Group expects gold prices to fluctuate within a range in the short term, and further gains are possible if bond yields decline.Hang Seng Index futures opened down 0.14% at 24,228 points, a discount of 82 points.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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