• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On September 9th, Morgan Stanley released a research report indicating that Link REIT (00823.HK)s overall merchant sales in the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 (end of June 2026) declined by 1% year-on-year. Among them, the catering business continued to improve, growing by 1.5% year-on-year; supermarket performance remained weak, declining by 1.9% year-on-year. Management expects Hong Kong property renewal rents to decline by 5% year-on-year in the first half of fiscal year 2027 (end of September 2026), an improvement compared to the 8.2% decline for the full fiscal year 2026 and the 6.4% decline in the first half of fiscal year 2026. However, the guidance of an 8% year-on-year decline in renewal rents for the full fiscal year remains unchanged, implying that the performance in the second half of the year will be worse than the first half. Morgan Stanley noted that Link REITs annual cost reduction plan of HK$200 million is progressing well. Through cost reduction and share buybacks, the distribution per unit in fiscal year 2027 is expected to remain flat year-on-year, with financing costs remaining at 3.4%. The Anderson Road project is 80% pre-leased and is scheduled to open in October this year. Morgan Stanley expects it to support rental income in fiscal year 2028 and has given it an overweight rating with a target price of HK$44.On September 9th, JPMorgan Chase issued a research report stating that the sales slowdown at Laopu Gold (06181.HK) in the second quarter was more cyclical than structural. Furthermore, the companys gross margin exceeded expectations, its strategies for dealing with gold price fluctuations were clearer, and its VIC and overseas expansion could improve medium-term growth visibility. Liquidity and dividends also provide downside protection. JPMorgan Chase still expects Laopu Golds performance to gradually recover, projecting profits of approximately RMB 800 million and RMB 1.2 billion for the third and fourth quarters, respectively. Although short-term sales performance still depends on gold price trends, and the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays will be the next key observation points, the bank believes the companys brand competitiveness and medium- to long-term profitability remain solid. The bank maintains its "Buy" rating on the company with a target price of HKD 891.French industrial production fell 0.5% year-on-year in July, compared with a previous reading of -0.10%.French manufacturing output fell 0.8% month-on-month in July, compared with a previous reading of -1.10%.French manufacturing output fell 2% year-on-year in July, compared with a previous reading of -1.70%.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

 image.png