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On May 14th, Lindsay James, investment strategist at UK wealth management firm Quilter, stated in a report that although UK first-quarter GDP growth exceeded expectations, this momentum may be unsustainable due to geopolitical pressures and domestic political tensions. Data shows that UK GDP grew by 0.6% in the first quarter, with only March showing a 0.3% increase, significantly better than the markets expected contraction of 0.2%. James stated, "A decent first-quarter figure may provide some buffer against the political situation, but higher energy costs and rising government bond yields point to a more challenging environment in the coming months."According to CNBC, US and EU lawmakers have pledged a European review of Paramounts deal with Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. (WBD.O).Emerging market stocks rose for the third consecutive trading day this week, with technology companies continuing their strong rally, supported by optimism about increased demand for AI-related hardware and services. The benchmark MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 0.7%, bringing its monthly gain to over 7%. TSMC, Alibaba, and Samsung Electronics accounted for a combined 105% of the indexs gains, meaning that without their performance, the index would actually be down. Since early April, chipmakers have led the market rebound, with upwardly revised corporate earnings largely offsetting inflation concerns stemming from the Iran war. While the information technology sector rose 1.4% on Thursday, declines in sectors such as utilities, energy, and industrials highlighted a clear divergence between Asian technology stocks and other emerging market sectors.On May 14th, futures market news reported that mixed fuel prices led to divergent profit trends across different glass production lines. The average profit for production using three types of fuel rebounded by 2.47 yuan to -98.38 yuan/ton. According to Longzhong Informations production cost calculation model, from May 8th to May 14th this week, the average weekly profit for float glass using natural gas as fuel was -132.80 yuan/ton, an increase of 2.15 yuan/ton compared to the previous week; the average weekly profit for float glass using coal gas as fuel was -14.88 yuan/ton, a rebound of 15.25 yuan/ton compared to the previous week; and the average weekly profit for float glass using petroleum coke as fuel was -147.47 yuan/ton, a decrease of 10.00 yuan/ton compared to the previous week. The entire industry remains in a state of deep loss, constraining further declines in glass prices. These losses may also force some production lines to undergo cold repairs to facilitate industry consolidation.German government bonds continued to rise, with the 10-year yield falling 4 basis points to 3.06%.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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