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On August 23, Galaxy Securities stated that in the short term, the index will continue to fluctuate due to overseas volatility and stock structure disturbances, and the game and rebalancing between sectors will continue. However, external shocks are more of a phased disturbance, and the domestic policy signals and the logic of the main industry line have not been shaken. Looking ahead to the second half of the third quarter, the market will mainly be structural rotation and repair. It is recommended to focus on the policy line and the direction of economic verification to seize structural opportunities. Next week, pay attention to the following events: (1) Overseas macro pricing, the second valuation of the US second quarter GDP, the core PCE in July and the speech of the chairman of the Jackson Hole Annual Meeting will be released one after another; (2) Technology company performance verification, Nvidias financial report is an important indicator for observing the continued expectation of global AI capital expenditure; (3) The disclosure of A-share interim reports is about to end, which may become an important window for the concentrated release of individual stock alpha. The industrial enterprise profit data to be released next week will provide a total scale for profit recovery; (4) At the industry level, pay attention to the 2026 Wenchang International Aviation and Aerospace Forum, etc.Ukrainian President Zelensky: The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense faces a funding gap of $27 billion this year.According to Japans Kyodo News, a poll shows that the approval rating for the Sanae Takaichi cabinet has dropped to 50.2%, the lowest since she took office.The Norwegian government plans to provide 85 billion Norwegian kroner in support to Ukraine in fiscal year 2027.August 23 – According to a statement from the Iranian Foreign Ministry, Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghae stated that Pakistani Army Chief of Staff Asim Munir will visit Tehran on Monday. Baghae said the visit is a continuation of Pakistans efforts to strengthen regional peace and security. Pakistan is currently playing a mediator role in negotiations between Iran and the United States aimed at ending the conflict.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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