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August 27th - According to the Financial Times, investors say France is replacing Italy as the focus of market concerns about the sustainability of European debt. France faces thorny budget negotiations next month and will hold presidential elections next year, with both far-left and far-right parties gaining support. For years, the yield on Italys benchmark 10-year government bonds has been significantly higher than that of France, but this summer it was lower for most of the time, as bondholders demanded higher risk compensation before buying French bonds. Investors say this reversal of historical trends signifies a major shift in market perception of the relative risks of the two countries. Rohan Khanna, head of European interest rate strategy at Barclays, said, "If you ask anyone in the market where the weak link in Europe is, most people will point to France." He added that France is facing a "perfect storm" for bond investors because "growth risk, political risk, and fiscal risk" coexist.August 27 - According to statistics released by Nepals National Disaster Risk Reduction Authority on the 27th, 165 bodies have been recovered following the flash floods that struck northern Nepal on the 26th, and 826 people remain missing.Market news: An oil refinery in Russias Volga region has ceased operations.On August 27, the National Meteorological Center continued to issue an orange typhoon warning and a yellow rainstorm warning at 10:00 AM. The Ministry of Transport raised its typhoon defense response level to Level II and maintained a Level III heavy rainfall defense response. On the morning of the 27th, the Ministry of Transport conducted point-to-point coordination with the transportation departments (commissions) of Zhejiang, Fujian, and Shanghai, as well as the maritime safety administrations of Zhejiang, Fujian, and Shanghai. The coordination required strengthening risk awareness, eliminating reliance on past experience, complacency, and wishful thinking, enhancing risk assessment and hidden danger investigation, and continuing to tighten and solidify the responsibility chain with high standards. It also stressed the need to strengthen the implementation of measures, closely monitor the typhoons path and rainfall changes, and effectively implement proactive defense measures of "response, inspection, and control," ensuring that all necessary shutdowns, closures, and evacuations are carried out to achieve the goal of "no deaths and minimal injuries," and to fully protect the safety of peoples lives and property. The Ministry of Transport will adjust the defense response level in a timely manner according to changes in weather warnings.On August 27, World Health Organization (WHO) experts said on the 26th that the current Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) remains highly active and has not yet reached its turning point. The country has reported over 5,600 confirmed cases. "We have slowed the rapid spread of the epidemic, but the curve has not yet turned," said WHO expert Belize at a live-streamed meeting of the organizations African Regional Committee. As of the 24th, the DRC had reported a total of 5,656 confirmed Ebola cases, with 2,715 deaths and 1,245 recoveries, resulting in a case fatality rate of approximately 48%.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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