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On July 13th, Citigroup strategists stated that the UK stock markets strong defensive nature and heavy commodity weighting are diminishing its appeal as geopolitical tensions ease. A team led by Beata Manthey downgraded the UKs rating in their global asset allocation from "overweight" to "underweight," favoring investments in the US and Japanese markets. The team maintained a "neutral" rating for European markets excluding the UK. The team stated, "The UK markets strong defensive nature and high commodity weighting have diminished its appeal in an environment of earnings growth and market leadership diffusion." Benefiting from its approximately 10% energy stock weighting, the UK benchmark FTSE 100 index performed exceptionally well until mid-April, with energy stocks such as BP and Shell benefiting from the oil price surge caused by the Iran conflict. Meanwhile, the indexs nearly 35% allocation to defensive sectors such as healthcare and consumer staples made it a relatively safe haven during periods of geopolitical tension or economic recession. However, since the US-Iran ceasefire was announced on April 8th, the FTSE 100 has significantly underperformed.The commander of the Ukrainian drone force stated that Ukrainian drones struck 15 Russian vessels in the Sea of Azov, including seven oil tankers.Market news: WeRide (WRD.O) is accelerating the global expansion of its end-to-end intelligent driving solutions.The New Taiwan dollar fell to 32.226 against the US dollar, a new low since the end of April 2025.July 13th - Morgan Asset Management predicts that central banks will likely maintain a slightly hawkish stance, but will be more restrained in raising interest rates. They now believe the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2026, with one rate cut in the second half of 2027; the UK and Europe will maintain their current stance for the remainder of this year. As for the Bank of Japan, they expect it to continue its gradual normalization, with one rate hike each in the second half of 2026 and 2027.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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