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Yields on UK government bonds of all maturities fell by about 4-6 basis points in early trading.On Thursday, July 9th, the German DAX 30 index opened 247.33 points higher, or 0.99%, at 25113.00; the UK FTSE 100 index opened 30.04 points lower, or 0.29%, at 10459.00; the French CAC 40 index opened 59.35 points higher, or 0.72%, at 8312.01; the Euro Stoxx 50 index opened 56.94 points higher, or 0.92%, at 6261.85; the Spanish IBEX 35 index opened 211.39 points higher, or 1.11%, at 19260.69; and the Italian FTSE MIB index opened 418.25 points higher, or 0.81%, at 52235.50.Gold prices rebounded above $4,100 an ounce on July 9th after Wednesdays sell-off. This rally was supported by a weaker dollar and renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East following Wednesdays renewed clashes between the US and Iran. However, rising energy prices could complicate the inflation outlook, reinforcing market expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain high interest rates for a longer period or raise rates further. The minutes of the Feds mid-June policy meeting highlighted a hawkish shift within the committee, putting pressure on precious metals. Thomas Ryan, an economist at Capital Economics, said, "The minutes reiterated that the door to a September rate hike remains very open."According to Futures News on July 9th, as of 15:00 Beijing time, spot platinum rose 1.86% and spot palladium rose 1.78%.July 9th - Oil-themed funds opened higher but closed lower. Harvest Crude Oil LOF, E Fund Crude Oil LOF, and Southern Crude Oil LOF all turned negative in the afternoon, after rising over 7% in the morning session. The S&P Oil & Gas ETF Fullgoal and the Oil LOF also turned negative. US President Trump had previously stated that Iran had called earlier, expressing their desire to reach an agreement.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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