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1. Shipping authorities and commodity traders said on Monday that the Rhine River in Germany has seen its water level drop again due to the ongoing drought, forcing cargo ships to reduce their loads once more. However, the current level remains well above the record low reached in August. The Rhine is a vital transport route for grains, minerals, coal, and refined petroleum products. 2. Consulting firm AgRural reported that with the end of the soybean planting ban and favorable rainfall, some areas in Paraná state, Brazil, have begun planting, marking the official start of the 2026/27 soybean planting season. As of last Thursday, the planted soybean area in Brazil accounted for 0.05% of the estimated total area, compared to 0.02% at the same time last year. In Brazils south-central region, the first quarterly corn planting area for the 2026/27 season reached 17% of the estimated total area, up from 11% the previous week and 12% at the same time last year. 3. Thailands sugar production for the 2026/27 season is expected to decline significantly due to drought. Executives at Thai sugar mills stated that sugar production in Thailand may fall below 10 million tons in the 2026/27 crushing season, which begins in October, a decrease of at least 17% compared to the approximately 12 million tons produced in the previous season. The El Niño phenomenon continues to intensify, and Thailand is facing insufficient rainfall in some major producing areas. The northeastern region, which accounts for about 45% of the countrys total sugar production, has received significantly less rainfall this year than other producing areas. 4. According to Mysteels survey of 15 sample projects in Indonesia, Indonesias nickel matte production in August 2026 was 28,600 tons, a decrease of 8.62% month-on-month and 2.31% year-on-year; of which 23,300 tons were high-grade nickel matte and 5,300 tons were low-grade nickel matte (excluding those that have already increased in quality). 5. Ukraine stated that it launched overnight attacks on oil processing facilities in Russias Perm region and Tatarstan, resuming attacks after a US special envoy visited Moscow last weekend. Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that long-range forces were used to strike refineries in the Perm region and Tatarstan, but did not provide further details. 6. The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) fell, ending a three-day winning streak, due to weaker freight rates for Capesize and Panamax vessels. The BDI dropped 53 points, or 1.4%, to 3575 points.Turkish President: The bill for Israels wars in the region is not only paid by Iran and the Gulf states, but shared by everyone.On September 7, Rezaei, secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council, said in an interview with Irans Press TV on September 6 that Iran test-fired a new anti-ship missile over a US warship 48 hours earlier.September 7th - According to sources from the Houthi rebels in Yemen, Saudi warplanes launched airstrikes on the Hazim region of Yemens Jawf province on September 7th, local time. As of now, there has been no response from Saudi Arabia.Market news: Alarms sound in Kyiv.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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