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On July 24th, three sources familiar with the matter revealed that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is likely to maintain its warning about inflation exceeding its 2% target next week, but also hinted that these risks have not increased significantly compared to three months ago. The BOJ is expected to focus on the ongoing inflation risks from the Middle East conflict, strong global demand for artificial intelligence, and rising import costs due to a weaker yen in its quarterly outlook report to be released at its policy meeting next week. Meanwhile, the BOJ believes the likelihood of the worst-case scenario—a severe supply disruption triggering a price surge and forcing the central bank to raise interest rates rapidly—has decreased compared to three months ago. Furthermore, the statement made during its June rate hike that there is a risk of "potential consumer inflation deviating from and exceeding the 2% target" is expected to reappear. Sources said that with the risk of a short-term inflationary shock from oil prices easing, policymakers are now turning their attention to the extent to which businesses continue to pass on rising costs to households. This shift indicates that the BOJ is moving beyond the direct impact of the Middle East conflict and focusing on broader inflationary factors, including AI-related demand and a weaker yen, to assess the timing of the next rate hike.Iranian Foreign Minister: Once the government normalizes asset confiscation, no ones assets will be safe. The resulting chaos will not be peaceful or orderly.July 24th - This morning (July 24th), the State Council Information Office held a press conference on the theme of "Starting the 15th Five-Year Plan." Officials from the Ministry of Public Security introduced the relevant situation regarding strengthening governance, protecting the peoples safety, and promoting development, and fully serving and guaranteeing the start of the 15th Five-Year Plan, and answered reporters questions. Currently, new types of crimes using artificial intelligence mainly include: using AI technology to forge identities, intrude into government and enterprise information systems, and steal others information and property; or impersonating acquaintances or authoritative figures to gain the trust of victims and then commit fraud; and using AI tools to generate online rumors and disrupt public order. Public security organs are making every effort to combat the above-mentioned illegal and criminal activities, while also severely cracking down on criminal gangs providing technical support, striving to eradicate the breeding ground for crime at its root. In the first half of this year, more than 170 cases of using AI tools to generate online rumors were investigated, and more than 190 people were dealt with according to law.The Hang Seng Tech Index fell by more than 2%, with PCB, robotics, and artificial intelligence concepts among the biggest losers.Sources say the Bank of Japan is shifting its focus to the extent to which businesses are passing on rising costs to households.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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