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February 21 - It was learned on the 21st that the US military has begun withdrawing from the Kasruk military base in Hasakah province in northeastern Syria. Several US officials previously stated that the US military had recently completed its withdrawal from the Tanf military base near the Jordanian and Iraqi borders and the Shadadi military base in northeastern Syria, and will withdraw from its remaining bases in Syria within the next two months.Iranian diplomatic sources have confirmed that nuclear materials will not be transferred out of Iran.The Ukrainian military stated: "Our troops attacked a Russian gas processing plant in the Samara region and caused a fire."The Ukrainian military says that a Ukrainian Flamingo missile struck a Russian ballistic missile manufacturer in the Udmurt region.On February 21st, St. Louis Federal Reserve President Konstantin Mussalaim, a 2028 FOMC voting member, stated in an interview with Fox Business on Friday that his view on the economic outlook would not change significantly if the Trump administration maintained most tariffs through other means. He also indicated that he wanted to know whether businesses would receive tariff refunds and, if so, how much. When asked about the possibility of an interest rate cut this year, Mussalaim stated that the Feds benchmark interest rate is currently at or below the so-called "neutral rate" level—a level that neither stimulates nor inhibits economic growth. This level is well-suited to handle any direction the Feds mission may take.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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