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On May 18th, Fu Linghui, spokesperson, chief economist, and director of the Department of Comprehensive Statistics of the National Economy at the National Bureau of Statistics, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that the national urban surveyed unemployment rate in April was 5.2%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. Looking at the main employment group (aged 30 to 59), the surveyed unemployment rate also decreased compared to the previous month. These data reflect that employment has remained generally stable.On May 18th, ahead of the 618 shopping festival, Apples official flagship store lowered the price of all iPhone 17 Pro series phones by 1000 yuan, resulting in a surge in sales. Data from Tmall shows that in just three days after the sale began, searches for "iPhone" on Taobao and Tmall increased sevenfold compared to usual, with the iPhone 17 Pro series topping the sales charts in the 6000-10000 yuan price range. Affected by the continued rise in mobile phone storage prices, the memory price surge is expected to continue until at least the end of next year. The 618 promotion, with multiple platform subsidies and national subsidies, presents the best window for purchasing new phones. Following Apple, Huawei and Xiaomi also announced significant price adjustments, with the Huawei Mate X6 discounted by 3000 yuan and the Xiaomi 15 Ultra reduced by 1500 yuan.Hong Kong-listed chip stocks showed mixed performance, with GigaDevice (03986.HK) rising over 9%, Montage Technology (06809.HK) rising over 3%, and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) and others following suit. Innoscience (02577.HK) fell over 5%, and Tianshu Zhixin (09903.HK) fell nearly 2%.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a 5.2-magnitude earthquake occurred in Myanmar (16.55°N, 96.25°E) at 10:05 a.m. on May 18, with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.Samsung Electronics shares rose to 6%.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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