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Conflict Status 1. The Israeli military claims to have struck approximately 10 Hezbollah facilities in southern Lebanon. 2. The Houthi rebels claim Saudi warplanes violated Yemeni airspace. Further attacks by Saudi Arabia would be met with "strikes targeting Saudi airports and vital objectives." US-Iran Negotiations 1. Irans acting defense minister: will respond to violations of the agreement. 2. The International Atomic Energy Agency: has not yet been granted access to Iranian nuclear facilities. 3. Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf: The US and Israel have failed to achieve any of their objectives in the war. All parties have now concluded that the military action against Iran has failed. The US should accept regional realities and call for the lifting of sanctions. Strait of Hormuz 1. Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf: will not allow US interference in the Strait of Hormuz. 2. Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf: The Strait of Hormuz should be jointly managed by Iran and Oman. 3. Data shows that the UAEs crude oil exports reached a record 3.7 million to 3.8 million barrels per day in June. 4. Data shows that Gulf region oil exports in June increased by more than 3 million barrels per day compared to May, exceeding 10 million barrels per day, but are still 40% lower than pre-war levels. Other developments: 1. Iran held a farewell ceremony for the late Supreme Leader Khamenei. 2. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: Israeli settlement expansion is unacceptable. 3. According to Reuters, sources say Japanese oil buyers are in preliminary talks with Iran regarding crude oil purchases. 4. According to Axios: Trump spoke with Netanyahu by phone on Friday. The Israeli Prime Ministers office stated that both sides agreed to hold a meeting in the United States soon.Claude: We are investigating anomalous errors occurring in multiple models.Conflict Update: 1. Ukraine reports 30 deaths in attack on Kyiv. 2. Russia reports 5 deaths and 18 injuries in Ukrainian attack on Zaporizhye. 3. Putin announces Russian forces have "completely liberated" Luhansk. 4. Russian Ministry of Defense claims control of Oleksandrivka in Ukraine. 5. Russian Ministry of Defense: Over the past week, Russian forces destroyed numerous Ukrainian military industrial facilities, energy and logistics facilities used by the Ukrainian military, as well as Ukrainian military airfields and ammunition depots. 6. Ukraines Security Service: Drones attacked two Russian military airfields in Crimea. Preliminary information indicates at least seven fighter jets were damaged in the attack. Other Updates: 1. Russia increases refinery subsidies in June to address fuel shortages. 2. Zelensky calls for Patriot missile production in Ukraine. 3. Poland says it will carefully consider making new financial support commitments to Ukraine. 4. NATO senior commander: Europe has largely filled the gap left by US military reductions. 5. NATO plans to pledge €70 billion in military aid to Ukraine in 2026 and “at least the same level” of support in 2027.On July 4th, the Russian Ministry of Defense released a war report on July 3rd, indicating that in the week between June 27th and July 3rd, in response to Ukrainian attacks on Russian civilian targets, Russian forces destroyed multiple Ukrainian military industrial facilities, energy and logistics facilities used by the Ukrainian military, as well as Ukrainian military airfields and ammunition depots. The Security Service of Ukraine reported on July 3rd that its drones struck two Russian military airfields in Crimea. Preliminary information indicates that the attacks damaged at least seven aircraft. As of now, Russia has not responded to this news.European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: Europe is facing a housing crisis. We plan to establish a "European Housing Union" and hold a high-level summit on European housing issues.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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