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Futures News, August 6th: 1. Strong winds and rain are expected in the Philippine Islands. Influenced by the long-distance moisture transport from Typhoon Whale (No. 14) and Typhoon Dolphin (No. 13), along with the southwest monsoon, the central and northern Philippines will experience continuous heavy rainfall. This precipitation event is characterized by its long duration and large cumulative rainfall. Over the next three days, moderate to heavy rain is expected in the central and northern Philippines, with heavy to torrential rain in most parts of Luzon and Mindoro, and locally extremely heavy rain in northwestern Luzon. The cumulative rainfall in these areas is expected to be 80-150 mm, with some areas receiving 180-250 mm, and locally exceeding 300 mm in northwestern Luzon. Gale-force winds of level 6-8, with gusts of level 9-10, are expected in the central and northern Philippines and surrounding waters. In addition, over the next three days, moderate to heavy rain is expected in the central and northern parts of the Indochina Peninsula, northern and southwestern coastal areas of India, and Bangladesh, with localized torrential rain or heavy downpours, accompanied by short-duration heavy precipitation, thunderstorms, and strong winds. 2. High temperatures will persist across many parts of Asia, Europe, and North America. Over the next three days, influenced by a high-pressure ridge, parts of South Korea, southern Japan, southern Mongolia, central and western Southern Europe, eastern Central Europe, southern Eastern Europe, the Midwestern United States, and northern Mexico will experience temperatures above 35°C, with some areas exceeding 40°C. High temperatures in Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, southern Afghanistan, central and southern Pakistan, southern Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia will reach 40-42°C, with some areas exceeding 45°C.US Vice President Vance: There is no disagreement with President Trump on the Iran issue, and we are working to implement his decisions.US Vice President Vance: Energy prices will fall, Iran will not have nuclear weapons, and we will be in a more advantageous position.U.S. Vice President Vance: The Iranians are tough to deal with, but their regime is fractured, and our mission is to achieve the best possible outcome for the American people.Artificial Intelligence: 1. Jeff Dean, a key figure in Googles AI efforts, leaves to found an AI startup. 2. Microsofts latest disclosure shows that its AI revenue primarily comes from OpenAI. 3. Meta launches its first programmable intelligent agent, Muse Code, which can work in conjunction with Muse Spark 1.2. 4. Cloudflare announces the launch of open-source "CloudflareOS": an open platform for AI agents and enterprise work. 5. Metas MUSE SPARK 1.1 model hacked into a companys system and made changes to its internal systems. Integrated Circuits (Chips): 1. Yu Chengdong: High memory prices may lead to large-scale price increases for mobile phones. 2. Reports indicate that Changxin rejected Apples price pressure, insisting on prices no lower than Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. 3. US media: Anthropic confirms it is building an internal chip team for Claude. 4. After distributing bonuses to employees, Samsung and SK Hynix pledged to increase shareholder returns. 5. SanDisk expects revenue of $10.3 billion to $10.8 billion for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027, compared to market expectations of $10.8 billion. Other: 1. Alibabas 2026 Yunqi Conference is scheduled to be held in Hangzhou from September 22nd to 24th. 2. Nikita Bier announced her resignation as head of the X product line, but will remain with the company as an advisor.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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