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US Treasury Secretary Bessant: Interest rates are unrelated to repurchase decisions.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant: If there are any changes to the balance sheet, the Treasury and the Federal Reserve will work together.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: We will announce priorities for strengthening fiscal consolidation.The Iranian Foreign Ministry stated that the economic sanctions imposed by the United States on Iran violate the basic human rights of Iranian citizens and are a typical example of "economic terrorism" and "crimes against humanity."1. The Houthi rebels claimed to have attacked "sensitive" targets at Najran Airport and the Saudi Aramco plant in Najran. Saudi Arabia has not yet immediately confirmed this. 2. The U.S. Department of Energy will release $500 million in subsidies to seven key mining projects. 3. This week, Mysteels Coal and Coke Division surveyed the profitability of independent coking plants nationwide. The national average profit per ton of coke was -149 yuan/ton; the average profit for near-grade coke in Shanxi was -148 yuan/ton, in Shandong -130 yuan/ton, in Inner Mongolia -161 yuan/ton, and in Hebei -96 yuan/ton. 4. According to USDA agricultural drought monitoring data, as of August 18, 2026, the drought rate in U.S. soybean producing areas was 26%, unchanged from the previous week; the drought rate in U.S. corn producing areas was 28%, down 1 percentage point from the previous week; and the drought rate in U.S. cotton producing areas was 44%, up 4 percentage points from the previous week. 5. An Indian government order on Thursday allowed duty-free imports of 1 million tons of sugar, a move aimed at lowering record-high sugar prices. 6. The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported that for the week ending August 13, net export sales of U.S. corn for the 2025/2026 marketing year were 233,000 tons, compared to 411,000 tons the previous week; net export sales of soybeans for the 2025/2026 marketing year were 85,000 tons, compared to 75,000 tons the previous week; net export sales of cotton for the 2026/2027 marketing year were 209,000 bales, compared to 1,000 bales the previous week; and net export sales of wheat for the 2026/2027 marketing year were 394,000 tons, compared to 256,000 tons the previous week. 7. The latest monthly report from the International Grains Council (IGC) shows that global wheat production in 2026/27 is projected to decrease by 4 million tons year-on-year to 817 million tons, trade volume to decrease by 2 million tons to 203 million tons, and consumption to decrease by 2 million tons to 826 million tons; carryover stocks are expected to decrease by 4 million tons to 275 million tons. 8. The International Aluminium Institute (IAI) projects global primary aluminum production in July 2026 at 6.16 million tons, compared to 6.267 million tons in the same period last year, with the previous months figure revised to 5.939 million tons. The average daily primary aluminum production in July was 198,700 tons, with the previous months figure revised to 198,000 tons. Chinas primary aluminum production in July is projected to be 3.866 million tons, with the previous months figure revised to 3.727 million tons. 9. The US Climate Prediction Center (CPC) indicates that El Niño is strengthening, with a greater than 90% probability of a super event this fall and winter. 10. Data released by the U.S. Labor Department on Thursday showed that initial jobless claims fell by 6,000 to 206,000 in the week ending August 15. The median forecast from economists surveyed was 210,000. Meanwhile, continuing jobless claims rose to 1.8 million last week. 11. According to Xinhua News Agency, reporters learned from the Shanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics on August 20 that Shanxi Provinces raw coal production from enterprises above designated size reached 68.933 million tons in July, and the cumulative raw coal production for the first seven months reached 680.287 million tons. 12. The U.S. Central Command confirmed that the aircraft carrier USS George Washington has been deployed to the Middle East, following the prolonged deployment of U.S. personnel aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln, which triggered a crisis. 13. EIA Natural Gas Report: For the week ending August 14, total U.S. natural gas inventories were 3,169 billion cubic feet, an increase of 16 billion cubic feet from the previous week and a decrease of 28 billion cubic feet from the same period last year, a year-on-year decrease of 0.9%, while being 185 billion cubic feet higher than the 5-year average, an increase of 6.2%.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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