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July 21 – Capital Economics strategist Thomas Mathews stated in a report that gold remains valuable as a hedge against a stock market crash. Recently, golds performance has arguably been more of a "risk" asset than a "safe" one, given its recent price volatility, which has mirrored that of the benchmark S&P 500. Golds poor performance amidst Middle East conflicts appears to have weakened its supposed inflation-hedging role. However, the link between gold and real bond yields appears to remain intact, and any decline in real yields is expected to boost gold. If the US economy is hit and prompts the Federal Reserve to significantly cut policy rates, the recent positive correlation between gold and the stock market will not be sustained.The ChiNext index rose by more than 1%, with memory chips, semiconductors, and gaming sectors leading the gains.On July 21st, Z.ai announced the completion of a 1GW-level domestically produced AI computing power data center, utilizing entirely domestically produced AI chips. Simultaneously, Z.ai also officially completed its acquisition of XCore Sigma, a domestic AI heterogeneous computing power software company. XCore Sigma originated from the Compiler Laboratory of the Institute of Computing Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and has long been deeply involved in heterogeneous computing power software stacks and compiler optimization, considered one of the top AI infrastructure teams in China. Sources indicate that these two moves respectively fill two key gaps in computing power supply and release capabilities. The former provides the computing resources needed for large-scale model training, while the latter improves the utilization rate of heterogeneous chips, reduces inference costs, and enhances model deployment efficiency through basic software capabilities such as compilers, runtimes, and inference engines.On Tuesday, July 21, the Hang Seng Index opened 7.49 points higher, or 0.03%, at 25,150.54; the Hang Seng Tech Index opened 3.51 points higher, or 0.07%, at 4,755.66; the H-share Index opened 0.71 points lower, or 0.01%, at 8,381.19; and the Red Chip Index opened 4.19 points lower, or 0.1%, at 4,069.11.Hong Kong stocks opened higher, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.03% and the Hang Seng Tech Index up 0.07%. Chip, PCB and star tech stocks led the gains, while oil stocks opened lower. Zhipu (02513.HK) opened up 4.44%.

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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