• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
1. Monday: ① Data: Canadas August CPI month-on-month rate; Chinas August M2 money supply year-on-year rate (to be determined). ② Holiday: The National Stock Exchange of India is closed for one day. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Chinas August retail sales of consumer goods year-on-year; Chinas August industrial value-added year-on-year; UKs July three-month ILO unemployment rate; UKs August unemployment rate; UKs August jobless claims; Frances final August CPI month-on-month rate; Germanys September ZEW economic sentiment index; Eurozones September ZEW economic sentiment index; Eurozones July seasonally adjusted trade balance; US ADP employment change week-on-week for the week ending August 29; Canadas July wholesale sales month-on-month rate; US September New York Fed Manufacturing Index; Chinas August total electricity consumption year-on-year; Chinas August total electricity consumption (to be determined). ② Events: The National Energy Administration releases total electricity consumption data around the 15th of each month; the National Bureau of Statistics releases monthly reports on residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities; the State Council Information Office holds a press conference on the operation of the national economy. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventories for the week ending September 11; UK August CPI month-on-month rate, UK August retail price index month-on-month rate; Eurozone July industrial production month-on-month rate; US August retail sales month-on-month rate, US August import price index month-on-month rate, US September NAHB housing market index, US July business inventories month-on-month rate, US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending September 11, US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending September 11, US EIA strategic petroleum reserves for the week ending September 11. ② Event: European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen delivers her State of the Union address. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US Federal Reserve interest rate decision (upper limit) to September 16; Chinas August SWIFT RMB share in global payments; Switzerlands August trade balance; Eurozones final August CPI year-on-year rate and final August CPI month-on-month rate; UK central bank interest rate decision to September 17; US initial jobless claims for the week ending September 12; US August housing starts (annualized); US August building permits; US September Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index; US August pending home sales index (month-on-month); US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending September 11. ② Events: US Securities and Exchange Commission holds a roundtable discussion on 24-hour trading; Bank of Canada releases monetary policy meeting minutes; Federal Reserve FOMC releases interest rate decision and economic projections summary, Federal Reserve Chairman holds monetary policy press conference [simultaneous interpretation]; Bank of England releases interest rate decision and meeting minutes. 5. Friday: ① Data: UK September GfK Consumer Confidence Index; Japan August Core CPI YoY; Germany August PPI MoM; UK August Seasonally Adjusted Retail Sales MoM; Eurozone July Seasonally Adjusted Current Account; US August Industrial Production MoM; US August Conference Board Leading Economic Index MoM; China August Year-to-Date National Power Generation Capacity; China August Year-to-Date National Power Generation Capacity YoY (TBD); Bank of Japan Target Interest Rate to September 18 (TBD). ② Events: RBA Governor Bullock attends hearing; Bank of Japan announces interest rate decision; Bank of Japan Governor Ueda Kazuo holds monetary policy press conference. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US Total Oil Rig Count for the Week Ending September 18. US President Trump: Witkov and Kushner have done an outstanding job. Look at Gaza. There isnt much fighting in Gaza now. Hamas is now willing to lay down their weapons. Nobody could have done what they did.US President Trump: Most of our diesel comes from Russia. Russian factories were attacked by Ukraine. I have asked Zelensky not to attack those diesel plants and refineries.US President Trump: Ive found Canada to be the most difficult country to deal with. Canada is eager to reach an agreement.On September 14th, Israeli Defense Minister Katz issued a statement on the 13th, local time, stating that the IDF plans to maintain control of the Ali Tahir Heights in southern Lebanon to prevent Hezbollah or any other party from returning and re-establishing a foothold. Katz stated that the heights remain part of Israels so-called "safe zone" in southern Lebanon, and the IDF will not withdraw or redeploy until Hezbollah is disarmed throughout Lebanon. Katz asserted, "Anyone who approaches the heights will be eliminated."

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

 image.png