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On September 18th, many consumers reported on social media that they couldnt buy lemonade at various Mixue Ice City stores. A source close to Mixue Ice City reported that some stores in certain regions have recently experienced fluctuations in raw material supply due to weather delays in the arrival of a batch of imported lemons. Furthermore, Sichuan and Chongqing lemons have entered their harvest season and require storage for optimal taste, leading to supply shortages in some areas. However, overall lemon reserves are sufficient. A large volume of imported lemons is about to arrive, and the stored lemons have been evaluated and tested to meet usage standards. They are being distributed to stores, and the lemon shortages will soon be resolved.According to futures data from September 18th, Japans commercial crude oil inventories increased by 196,072 kiloliters to 10,698,257 kiloliters in the week ending September 13th. Gasoline inventories increased by 46,361 kiloliters to 1,691,790 kiloliters. Kerosene inventories decreased by 5,766 kiloliters to 2,692,860 kiloliters. The average refinery operating rate in Japan was 84.0%, compared to 87.6% the previous week.Samsung Electronics: Hiring 60,000 employees over the next five years; positions will focus on chips, biotechnology and artificial intelligence.According to futures data on September 18, overnight shibor was 1.5140%, up 3.10 basis points; 7-day shibor was 1.5280%, up 0.90 basis points; 14-day shibor was 1.5810%, down 2.60 basis points; January shibor was 1.5440%, up 0.30 basis points; March shibor was 1.5560%, up 0.20 basis points.On September 18th, Nick Timiraos, the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece," stated: "When the Federal Reserve cut interest rates on Wednesday, it superficially looked like a routine monetary policy operation. The market reaction was relatively muted, and Chairman Jerome Powell largely avoided the heated disagreements sparked by the decision, despite it occurring against the backdrop of unprecedented political confrontation." The policy shift initiated by Powells rate cut on Wednesday may represent his last effort to demonstrate that an independent US central bank remains capable of guiding the economy in a complex environment, rather than surrendering its independence before officials more aligned with President Trumps priorities gain greater control. Powells term as chairman will end next spring. For the third time in his tenure, Powell attempted an extremely delicate maneuver: cutting interest rates not because a recession is imminent, but to prevent one.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD consolidates above $2,000 as investors await initial US S&P PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Apr 21, 2023 13:52

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During the Asian session, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is oscillating above the psychological resistance of $2,000.00. After a gradual increase, the price of gold has leveled off near $2,005.00 as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States.

 

S&P500 futures have added some gains during the Asian session following three consecutive declines. As a result of Elon Musk's price-cutting frenzy, Tesla's revenue projections were gloomy, which dampened market sentiment. Near 101.77, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its correction. The USD Index has been consolidating in a range between 100.90 and 102.03 for the past several trading sessions. Therefore, a move that exceeds the previously specified limit will be considered decisive.

 

The subdued USD index weighs on US Treasury yields as well. The demand for U.S. government bonds has increased as weekly unemployment claims have increased. The number of individuals claiming unemployment benefits rose to 245K, exceeding the consensus estimate of 240K. This indicated a softening in the labor market and bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates after the monetary policy meeting in May.

 

In the future, the publication of the preliminary US S&P PMI data will determine the impact of the Fed's rate hikes on the scope of economic activity. According to projections, the Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI will decline to 49.0 and 51.5, respectively. A preliminary PMI reading that is weaker than anticipated could impact heavily on the U.S. dollar.