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Futures News, May 21st: Driven by fluctuating geopolitical tensions, the average crude oil price rose this cycle, and the domestic reference crude oil change rate turned positive. At 24:00 today (May 21st), the retail price limits for refined oil products will be raised. The retail price limits for gasoline and diesel will increase by 75 yuan and 70 yuan per ton respectively, equivalent to an increase of 0.06 yuan per liter for 92# gasoline, 95# gasoline, and 0# diesel. Future international oil prices will fluctuate repeatedly around the progress of US-Iran negotiations, and the next cycle is expected to show a weak trend and high volatility. The new cycles crude oil change rate will start with a negative value, corresponding to a decrease of 60 yuan/ton on the first day. The price adjustment window is at 24:00 on June 4th.ECB Governing Council member Rehn: Medium- to long-term inflation expectations have not deviated significantly.ECB Governing Council member Rehn: Wage growth is still slowing.ECB Governing Council member Rehn: In adverse circumstances, it may be necessary to raise interest rates to maintain credibility. We are moving towards an adverse scenario.May 21st, Futures.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures prices have continued to fall sharply in recent intraday trading, mainly due to the break below the short-term upward channel. Previously, this channel dominated market movements, but the current break has exacerbated selling pressure, pushing market momentum towards a bearish trend. At the same time, the 50-day moving average (EMA) continues to exert dynamic negative pressure on prices, and the current price is trading below it, further increasing the likelihood of further declines in the near future. Meanwhile, although the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has entered oversold territory, it continues to release negative signals, reflecting weak buying momentum and the continued dominance of bears. Limited fluctuations are expected in the short term, but it is unlikely to change the current bearish pattern.

Hang Seng Index, ASX200, Nikkei 225: Bulls Deliver Friday Support

Jimmy Khan

Mar 03, 2023 14:49


Industry Snapshot

Asian stock markets had a positive start, with the Hang Seng Index, ASX 200, and Nikkei 225 all rising.

Despite a tightening labor market and a sharp rise in labor costs, US economic data failed to push risky assets into the red. Initial applications for unemployment decreased from 192k to 190k, and unit labor expenses increased by 3.2% in Q4 compared to Q3's 2.0%. The more aggressive Fed interest rate track to achieve goal inflation was backed by the most recent labor market data.


Bostic, a member of the FOMC, softened the impact by emphasizing the need for gradual increases in interest rates. Bostic wants to raise rates by 25 basis points later this month, allaying concerns about a 50-basis point increase.


The Dow Jones and S&P 500 both saw increases of 1.05% and 0.76% on Thursday, while the NASDAQ Composite Index increased by 0.73%. The US Futures, however, predicted a more tense Friday session. This morning, the NASDAQ mini fell by 34 points while the Dow mini lost 36 points.


Later today, the US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI data and several FOMC members' remarks may revive Fed Fear. Support for risky assets would be put to the test by a further uptick in service sector activity and a steep rise in the ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Index combined with aggressive Fed comments. Logan, Bowman, and Bostic, members of the FOMC, will speak today.