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Japans foreign exchange reserves stood at $1,207.5 billion in August, compared with $1,287.1 billion in the previous month.1. Monday: ① Data: Germanys July seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month; UKs August Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index month-on-month; Switzerlands August seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Eurozones September Sentix investor confidence index, Eurozones final Q2 GDP annual rate, Eurozones final Q2 seasonally adjusted employment quarter-on-quarter rate; Chinas August foreign exchange reserves. ② Holiday: US and Canadian stock markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day; gold, silver, and oil trading ends early. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Japans July trade balance; Germanys July seasonally adjusted trade balance; Frances July trade balance; US August NFIB small business confidence index, US August New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations; Chinas August trade balance in US dollars, Chinas August trade balance. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: Chinas August CPI year-on-year; Frances July industrial production month-on-month; US ADP employment change week-on-week for the week ending August 22. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction (to September 9) - winning yield, US 10-year Treasury auction (to September 9) - bid-to-cover ratio, US API crude oil inventories for the week ending September 4; Germanys final August CPI month-on-month rate; Eurozone ECB deposit facility rate (to September 10), Eurozone ECB main refinancing rate (to September 10); US initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, US August PPI year-on-year rate, US August PPI month-on-month rate, US August existing home sales (annualized), US July wholesale sales month-on-month rate, US EIA natural gas inventories for the week ending September 4; Chinas August M2 money supply year-on-year rate. ② Events: EIA releases monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report; OPEC releases monthly oil market report; Apple holds fall product launch event with the theme "Shine New Chapter"; ECB President Lagarde delivers a speech at the Bundesbank official dinner; TSMC releases August 2026 revenue report; ECB President Lagarde holds monetary policy press conference [simultaneous interpretation]. 5. Friday: ① Data: US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending September 4, US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending September 4, US EIA strategic petroleum reserves for the week ending September 4; UK July three-month GDP month-on-month rate, UK July manufacturing output month-on-month rate, UK July seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, UK July industrial production month-on-month rate; Swiss August consumer confidence index; US August unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate, US August seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate, US August seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month rate, US August unadjusted core CPI year-on-year rate, US September one-year inflation rate expectations preliminary value, US September University of Michigan consumer sentiment index preliminary value. ② Events: A new round of domestic refined oil price adjustments will begin; IEA releases monthly oil market report. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US total number of oil rigs for the week ending September 11. ② Events: ECB President Lagarde delivers a speech. On September 7th, US President Trump tweeted: "Many people have suggested changing the name of New Mexico. New Mexico has historically been one of the most fraudulent states in election history, so why not rename it NEW AMERICA? Its a much nobler and better name for this state with so much potential. Wow, I love that idea!"September 7th - British Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healy will deliver his first major speech on Monday, expected to place regional growth at the heart of his economic vision while pledging to maintain fiscal discipline. Speaking at a British manufacturing company, Healy is expected to announce a £150 million ($203 million) fund to support businesses in northern England and unveil plans to leverage public financial institutions to attract private investment across the UK. According to excerpts from his speech provided by Healys office, he will call these measures "the next chapter in the UK growth story."1. Xiaomis cumulative car deliveries exceed 800,000 units. 2. Rental prices for most Nvidia GPUs have increased. 3. Jensen Huang praises GPT-6 Astra: AGI has arrived. 4. SK Hynix accelerates its 1c DRAM transformation, leading the HBM4E competition in South Korea. 5. The "National Anti-Fraud AI" app is launched. 6. Gurman: Cook will not appear in Apples fall event video; its the era of Tenus. 7. Samsung Electronics DX division union, dissatisfied with the pay gap with other departments, will hold a protest rally in front of Chairman Lee Jae-yongs residence. 8. AI related to OpenAI "hijacked" a German website in May and June this year, with intelligent agents exchanging task answers on the website.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

 截屏2022-08-04 下午5.25.46_1024x576.png

 

In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.