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On August 12, Saudi Arabia reported to OPEC that its crude oil production increased by more than 1 million barrels per day last month, driven by the resumption of supplies from Persian Gulf oil-producing countries during the brief ceasefire in the Iran-Iraq conflict. According to the latest OPEC monthly report, Saudi Arabia stated that its crude oil production in July was 8.2 million barrels per day, up from 7.1 million barrels per day in June. However, this level is still several million barrels per day lower than before the conflict. The International Energy Agency estimated in a report that as of early August, Saudi Arabias domestic crude oil inventories had risen to their highest level since at least 2016. The breakdown of the US-Iran ceasefire and the resurgence of hostilities have put Saudi Arabias two main export routes—the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait in the Red Sea—at risk. However, Middle Eastern oil-producing countries are still quietly shipping large quantities of crude oil out of the region. Among the seven member countries that report production data directly to the OPEC Secretariat, crude oil production increased by a total of 1.88 million barrels per day, with the majority of the increase coming from Iraq and Saudi Arabia.OPECs monthly report shows that Saudi Arabias crude oil production in July was 8.2 million barrels per day, up from 7.1 million barrels per day in the previous month.On August 12, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jia-kun answered a reporters question. Videos circulating on Indian social media show that China has strengthened its military activities in the disputed border region between China and India. An Indian government spokesperson did not deny that a new border incident had occurred. Can China confirm whether a new incident has occurred recently in the China-India border region? Has China strengthened its military activities in the disputed area? Guo Jia-kun stated that the situation on the China-India border is generally stable. Last week, China and India held the 36th meeting of the Working Mechanism for Consultation and Coordination on Border Affairs, agreeing to maintain communication through diplomatic and military channels and jointly safeguard peace and tranquility in the border region.1. Algerias crude oil production increased by 8,000 barrels per day (bpd) in July to 995,000 bpd. 2. Congos crude oil production decreased by 4,000 bpd in July to 274,000 bpd. 3. Guineas crude oil production increased by 10,000 bpd in July to 56,000 bpd. 4. Gabons crude oil production decreased by 14,000 bpd in July to 207,000 bpd. 5. Irans crude oil production increased by 26,000 bpd in July to 2,478,000 bpd. 6. Iraqs crude oil production increased by 665,000 bpd in July to 2,621,000 bpd. 7. Kuwaits crude oil production increased by 393,000 bpd in July to 1,845,000 bpd. 8. Libyas crude oil production increased by 40,000 bpd in July to 1,362,000 bpd. 9. Nigerian crude oil production decreased by 37,000 barrels per day in July to 1.546 million barrels per day. 10. Saudi Arabian crude oil production increased by 590,000 barrels per day in July to 7.352 million barrels per day. 11. UAE crude oil production decreased by 30,000 barrels per day in July to 3.78 million barrels per day. 12. Venezuelan crude oil production increased by 13,000 barrels per day in July to 1.117 million barrels per day. 13. OPEC crude oil production increased by 1.659 million barrels per day in July to 23.632 million barrels per day.OPEC Monthly Report: Second-hand data shows that OPEC+ crude oil production increased by 1.4 million barrels per day in July, reaching 37.65 million barrels per day.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.