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April 24 – A survey released Friday showed that U.S. consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in nearly four years in April, impacted by inflation concerns stemming from the escalating conflict with Iran. The University of Michigans Consumer Survey Center reported a final reading of 49.8 for the month, the lowest level since June 2022. However, this figure is a slight improvement from 47.6 reported earlier this month. The index was 53.3 in March. "Consumer confidence has recovered some of the losses from the beginning of the month after the announcement of a two-week ceasefire and a slight drop in gasoline prices," said Joanne Hsu, director of the Consumer Survey Center. "The conflict with Iran appears to be primarily affecting consumer sentiment by impacting gasoline prices and other potential prices. In contrast, military and diplomatic developments that fail to ease supply constraints or lower energy prices are unlikely to boost consumer confidence."Following Washington, D.C. Attorney General Piros announcement that the investigation into Powell was halted, federal funds rate swap pricing indicated that expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut this year have further intensified.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: The dollars dominance and reserve currency status have been further strengthened.U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia, Piro, said: "If necessary, we will not hesitate to reopen the investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Powell."U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia, Robert Piro, announced the suspension of the investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powells construction costs. The Federal Reserve Inspector General has been asked to review the Feds spending.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

 截屏2022-08-04 下午5.25.46_1024x576.png

 

In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.


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