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Conflict Situation 1. Iran – ① Iranian military sources: The Iranian armed forces are fully prepared tonight. If the United States takes any aggressive action, they will face a heavy response again. ② Iran launched at least four ballistic missiles and multiple drones at US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan. ③ Iranian Parliament Speaker: Irans defense and deterrence capabilities remain intact. 2. Israel – ① Netanyahu: Iran will not acquire nuclear weapons. ② Israel is reportedly preparing to launch another strike against Iran. ③ Israeli Defense Minister: The action against Iran is far from over, and the Israel Defense Forces are ready to strike Iran with much greater force. 3. United States – ① US Defense Secretary: Key Iranian facilities will be bombed tonight, but not to restart the war. ② Trump: Close to ordering new strikes against Iranian power plants and bridges. A strong strike will be launched against Iran. We have the right to resume strikes against Iran. ③ US officials: The latest strikes against Iran will not hinder negotiations between the two sides. Almost all missiles and drones launched by Iran have been intercepted. Strait of Hormuz 1. US military: Attacked an oil tanker in the Gulf of Oman that violated blockade measures. 2. Trump claims millions of barrels of oil are being shipped from Iran every night; US Energy Secretary claims ignorance. 3. According to the Financial Times: An increasing number of oil tankers are shutting down their tracking signals and operating covertly through the Strait of Hormuz. 4. UK Maritime Trade Operations Office: Received a report of an incident 20 nautical miles northeast of Sohar, Oman. Local authorities reported a fire in the engine room of an oil tanker. The vessel reported one fatality and two crew members missing. Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Iran—① According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA): Iran stated it will assess its nuclear negotiations with the US based on the latest attacks. ② According to Islamic Republic Radio (IRNA): A Qatari delegation has arrived in Tehran to mediate the US-Iran situation. 2. The United States—① US media: Trumps two additional demands on Iran have delayed an agreement. ② Fox News: US-Iran negotiations are ongoing; Trump will continue to exert maximum pressure to reach an agreement. ③ Trump: Iran only talks, without taking any real action. They have spent too long negotiating an agreement in their favor, and now they will have to pay the price. 3. Other—① Russian Foreign Ministry: Russia is willing to facilitate a negotiated solution to the Iranian issue. ② Pakistani sources: The US and Israel are currently far from reaching an agreement. Other developments: 1. Likud stated that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu will participate in the upcoming elections. 2. Turkish President Erdogan: Israels attacks on Syria and Lebanon have reached a level that threatens Turkey. 3. Pakistani military: A military helicopter crashed in Pakistani-administered Kashmir, killing all on board. 4. The Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency passed a resolution demanding that Iran "immediately and necessaryly" declare its remaining enriched uranium stockpile and granting the agency "access to verify everything necessary for verification."June 11 - Irans Tasnim News Agency, citing military sources, reported early this morning (June 11) that the Iranian armed forces are prepared to respond strongly to any aggressive actions by the United States, and that Iran will strike new targets of US interests.U.S. Defense Secretary Hergsays: The message we want to send to Cuba is that it will not engage in actions that threaten the American people or the American homeland, because it will not end well for them.U.S. Embassy in Baghdad: In light of current developments, there may be travel disruptions or airspace closures, which could occur suddenly and without prior notice.According to Irans Tasnim News Agency, Iranian military sources said that if the United States takes action, Iran will strike new U.S. interests.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.