• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Polish central bank board member Duda: The basic scenario for monetary policy is to keep interest rates stable in the coming months.NATO Secretary General Rutte: If war breaks out, all allies, including the United States, will do everything in their power and to the best of their ability.Azerbaijans Ministry of Emergency Situations: A fire broke out at an oil refinery in Baku.Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: 1. With the Feds decision now finalized, overnight London spot precious metals surged before quickly retreating, with intraday losses exceeding 2%. Warshs debut was more hawkish than expected, which is bearish for gold in terms of outcome. However, given that this was already priced in, the short-term bearish impact may not be sustained. But from the perspective of interest rate hike expectations, the bearish effect may be more medium-term. Furthermore, with the signing of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, market attention may shift to the Strait of Hormuz navigation issue and oil prices, subsequently predicting interest rate trends. Overall, gold may continue to fluctuate at low levels. 2. Overnight, the market focused on the Federal Reserves interest rate meeting. The results showed that the Fed, in line with market expectations, kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive meeting. The decision received unanimous support from FOMC voting members for the first time in nine months. However, Warshs debut as FOMC chair indicated that the Fed maintained its hawkish stance. The dot plot showed that half of the voting members believed there should be one rate hike this year. Additionally, the statement removed interest rate guidance, stated its commitment to price stability, lowered its GDP growth and unemployment rate forecasts for this year, and raised its PCE and core PCE inflation forecasts to 3.6% and 3.3%, respectively. 3. On the geopolitical front, US officials stated that the US and Iran have remotely signed a memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the war and opening the Strait of Hormuz, and the agreement is now in effect. An Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson stated that the text of the memorandum of understanding between Iran and the United States has been finalized and formally signed by both sides.According to RIA Novosti: Traffic was disrupted on a section of the Moscow ring road near an oil refinery following a Ukrainian drone attack.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

 截屏2022-08-04 下午5.25.46_1024x576.png

 

In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.