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On July 30th, Eckhard Schulte, Chairman of the Board of MainSky Asset Management, stated in a report that Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs avoidance of providing any form of forward guidance makes it extremely difficult for the market to form a coherent analysis of Fed policy. The market will have to adapt to this communication style; the resulting high level of uncertainty will drag down stocks, long-term bonds, and the dollar. Warsh clearly stated that the Fed is serious about its 2% inflation target and intends to achieve it. However, he did not provide a coherent explanation for why the Fed did not heed the opinions of three dissenting members who advocated for interest rate hikes.According to monitoring of 500 county-level markets and collection points nationwide, in the fourth week of July (collection date July 23), prices of piglets, pork, eggs, chicken, commercial broiler chicks, mutton sheep, raw milk, and soybean meal increased week-on-week. Prices of live pigs, commercial layer chicks, live cattle, and broiler feed decreased week-on-week. Prices of beef, corn, fattening pig feed, and layer hen feed remained unchanged week-on-week. The national average price of piglets was 23.20 yuan/kg, up 1.3% from the previous week and down 34.9% year-on-year. The national average price of live pigs was 11.45 yuan/kg, down 0.4% from the previous week and down 22.9% year-on-year. The national average price of pork was 20.96 yuan/kg, up 0.1% from the previous week and down 17.4% year-on-year. The national average price of eggs was 10.96 yuan/kg, up 1.3% from the previous week and up 27.0% year-on-year. The national average price of corn was 2.48 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous week and down 0.8% year-on-year.Saudi Arabias GDP fell 4.8% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026. Non-oil activity fell 24.7% year-on-year in the second quarter.Shell (SHEL.N): It expects its combined natural gas production in the third quarter to be approximately 570,000 to 630,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.The World Gold Council reported that Indian gold demand fell 6% year-on-year in the June quarter, primarily due to weak jewelry purchases. Indian gold demand is expected to recover in the second half of 2026, provided prices remain stable. Indias increased tariffs on gold imports have fueled smuggling and squeezed legitimate market participants.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.