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Sources said Russia and Ukraine have exchanged remains of the victims, with Moscow returning 1,000 bodies to Kyiv and Ukraine handing over 24.On September 18th, TD Securities strategists wrote in a report that the slight decline in the British pound following the Bank of Englands decision to hold interest rates steady likely reflects the unchanged language of its forward guidance. The Bank of England reiterated that a "gradual and cautious" approach to future rate cuts remains appropriate, with subsequent decisions dependent on economic data. The strategists noted that this further reinforces the view that another Bank of England rate cut remains possible this year, with TD Securities predicting a November cut. They suggest that the British pound may decline against the euro ahead of the UKs Autumn Budget in November, but given that the Federal Reserve resumed rate cuts on Wednesday, further downside for the British pound against the US dollar is unlikely.Ukrainian President Zelensky: Ukrainian troops are launching a counteroffensive near Dobropolya and Pokrovsk in the east.On September 18th, former U.S. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers stated that the Federal Reserves policy is leaning toward being "too accommodative," and emphasized that the biggest risk facing the U.S. economy lies in inflation, not the job market. Summers stated, "If I were in Chairman Powells shoes, my biggest concern would certainly be inflation." Regarding the Feds interest rate cuts, Summers said, "I dont think theyre being forced to do so by political pressure, but I do think that at this moment, the (Fed) must be pulling out all the stops (to maintain an anti-inflation stance). And Im not sure theyve pulled out all the stops as Id hoped."On September 18th, British Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves stated that the government is exploring measures to reduce inflation and will announce them in the next budget in November. In a correspondence with Bank of England Governor Bailey, Reeves described current inflation as "excessively high," adding, "The Prime Minister and I are both clear that we must do everything in our power to control costs and reduce spending." Regulations require written communication between the Chancellor and the Bank of England Governor when inflation deviates by more than one percentage point from the 2% target. The Bank of Englands forecast indicates that inflation is currently at 3.8%, above the 2% target, and is expected to rise to 4% next month. On Thursday, the day of the Bank of Englands monetary policy meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-2 to maintain interest rates at 4% to continue to curb price increases.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.