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On August 22nd, it was reported that long-term government bond yields in major global economies have continued to rise recently, increasing selling pressure in the bond market. However, Chinas bond market and exchange rate have remained relatively stable, with Panda bond issuance reaching a record high for the same period. Data shows that as of August 21st, the cumulative issuance of Panda bonds in 2026 reached 209.975 billion yuan, an increase of over 73% year-on-year. Against the backdrop of sharp fluctuations in the global bond market, the increased investment by international institutions in domestic RMB financing has attracted attention. Industry insiders explained, "We and overseas markets are in completely different economic and monetary cycles. Foreign capital accounts for only about 5%-8% of my countrys bond market, while domestic capital holds absolute pricing power. Coupled with our monetary policy adhering to a self-reliant approach, overseas shocks cannot reverse the overall trend of the domestic bond market." Looking ahead, industry insiders believe that overseas bond yields are likely to remain highly volatile, highlighting the investment value of RMB bonds, and potentially leading to continued foreign investment in the medium to long term. However, it should be noted that rising US Treasury yields have raised the return threshold for global investment funds, which may disrupt the willingness of overseas institutions to increase their holdings of RMB bonds. In addition, the rapid rise in bond yields in developed countries overseas may also constrain the valuation of domestic risky assets.On August 22, the U.S. Department of Defense dismissed Eric Slavin, editor-in-chief of the military newspaper Stars and Stripes, publisher Max Laidler, and senior Middle East correspondent Lara Cortt on August 21 for "insubordination." This followed the newspapers recent report on poor working conditions and sailors mental breakdowns aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier, sparking renewed criticism within the U.S. regarding the Trump administrations inability to end the conflict with Iran. Slavin stated in an interview on August 21 that he was dismissed for "insubordination." He had previously discussed his disagreements with the Department of Defense in an interview. Cortt wrote on the social media platform X on the same day: "Today, I was informed that the Department of Defense has dismissed me for insubordination."According to Irans Tasnim News Agency, Iranian officials have called on Qatar to transfer the detained Iranian pilot to a land-based hospital. Iranian officials stated that the detained pilot is currently on the water and is in "very poor" condition.According to Al Jazeera: Alarms sounded in Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine, as the government warned of a possible missile attack.On August 22, the State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters and the Ministry of Emergency Management organized a joint consultation meeting with the China Meteorological Administration, the Ministry of Water Resources, the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the Ministry of Transport, and key provinces including Hainan, Guangxi, Guangdong, Heilongjiang, Jiangsu, and Fujian. The meeting assessed the development of Typhoon Saudel (No. 18) and Typhoon Zitan (No. 19), as well as the development of heavy rainfall and the flood control situation in the Heilongjiang River main stream and Taihu Lake basin. The meeting also deployed flood and typhoon prevention work. The State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters and the Ministry of Emergency Management maintained a Level IV emergency response for flood and typhoon prevention in Hainan, Guangxi, and Guangdong, and a Level IV emergency response for flood control in Jiangsu.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.