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On September 11, US President Donald Trump stated on Fox News Thursday night that he plans to block Democratic-backed legislation if Democrats regain control of the House and Senate after the midterm elections. This indicates that as Republicans struggle to retain their majority in Congress, Trump has begun to envision a governing strategy in a "divided government" scenario. Trump said, "Things will be different. Ill be a blocker, what else can I say? However, I might be able to make a deal with them (the Democrats). Theyll have demands, and you can make a deal with them. Thats often how it is." Trump also stated that this election is not as "difficult" as previous campaigns.Market news: After the Houthi rebels captured Moha in Yemen, Iranian Parliament Speaker Qalibaf praised the groups "victory".September 11th - US Treasury bonds suffered a sharp drop overnight due to escalating tensions in the Middle East pushing up oil prices, causing Australian government bonds to fall accordingly. The yield on Australian 3-year government bonds surged 18 basis points to 5.03%, while the yield on Australian 10-year government bonds jumped 13 basis points to 5.38%, both reaching new highs since May 2011.Trump stated that Iranians believe the U.S. Democrats might allow them to possess nuclear weapons.On September 11, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant took some unusual measures in recent weeks, seen as efforts to help lower yields, including expanding the bond buyback program and making rare interventions in the yens exchange rate. Bessant stated on Thursday that part of his actions were related to Irans actions. He said, "Im not doing this for the election." He pointed out that Iran is "trying to create economic problems for the United States through bond yields or oil prices." Bessant also attempted to clarify his "Im the house" comment. Two days earlier, when discussing Japan and the yen, he told traders, "Come and bet against me if you want." Regarding this statement, he explained, "When I said I am the house, I wasnt challenging people to compete with me." He said, "Im not saying Im always right, dont challenge me," "but what Im trying to express is that I have a more advantageous information, and Im trying to provide a reasonable analytical framework for the market to avoid panic."

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.