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July 15th - According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, in the first half of the year, the national online retail sales of goods and services reached 10,071.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%. Among them, online retail sales of goods reached 6,429.6 billion yuan, an increase of 4.8%; within online retail sales of goods, food, clothing, and daily necessities increased by 16.8%, 6.2%, and 1.3% respectively. Online retail sales of services reached 3,641.9 billion yuan, an increase of 6.0%.According to the National Bureau of Statistics, in the first half of the year, investment in high-tech industries increased by 4.6% year-on-year, with investment in the aviation, spacecraft and equipment manufacturing, computer and office equipment manufacturing, and information services industries increasing by 23.3%, 8.1%, and 15.5% year-on-year, respectively.July 15th - According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, in the first half of the year, by location of business, urban retail sales of consumer goods reached 21,550.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.2%; rural retail sales of consumer goods reached 3,321.6 billion yuan, an increase of 2.5%. In June, urban retail sales of consumer goods reached 3,684.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%; rural retail sales of consumer goods reached 584.7 billion yuan, an increase of 2.1%. By consumption type, in the first half of the year, retail sales of goods reached 22,046.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%; catering revenue reached 2,825.5 billion yuan, an increase of 2.8%. In June, retail sales of goods reached 3,792.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%; catering revenue reached 476.7 billion yuan, an increase of 1.2%. By retail format, in the first half of the year, among retail enterprises above the designated size, convenience stores and supermarkets saw year-on-year increases of 6.6% and 3.8% respectively; specialty stores, department stores, and brand specialty stores saw decreases of 1.5%, 2.1%, and 8.7% respectively.According to the National Bureau of Statistics, private fixed asset investment fell by 8.5% year-on-year in the first half of the year. On a month-on-month basis, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) fell by 0.37% in June.July 15th - According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to June, by industry, investment in the primary sector reached 460 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%; investment in the secondary sector reached 8.312 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.1%; and investment in the tertiary sector reached 13.8649 trillion yuan, a decrease of 8.4%. Industrial investment decreased by 1.1% year-on-year. Among them, investment in mining increased by 5.9%, investment in manufacturing decreased by 1.2%, and investment in the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water decreased by 2.7%. Infrastructure investment decreased by 2.4% year-on-year. Among them, investment in information transmission increased by 25.6%, investment in water transportation increased by 19.8%, and investment in air transportation increased by 11.0%.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.