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September 2nd - European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Bundesbank President Jean-Claude Nagel stated that the ECB will raise interest rates next week, but he remains cautious about whether further rate hikes will occur. In an interview published Wednesday, Nagel said, "The market currently expects a greater than 95% probability of a rate hike at our September meeting, and I think the market has a fairly accurate assessment of our potential response at this stage." However, Nagel did not commit to any subsequent actions. He stated, "I am cautiously refraining from providing any specific guidance on the policy direction after the September meeting. Oil and gas prices continue to fluctuate, financial markets are highly volatile, and uncertainty is very high. This is a troubling situation – from a monetary policy perspective as well. Inflation is still far from our medium-term target. According to our June forecast, only with higher interest rates can inflation fall back to 2% in the medium term."According to RIA Novosti, a Russian presidential aide said that Putin had no prior plans to hold talks with CIA Director Ratcliffe during his visit to Moscow.On September 2nd, the Iranian Army issued a statement saying that starting in the early hours of the day, as part of the 30th phase of Operation Lightning, the Iranian military deployed dozens of attack drones to strike radar systems and US military bases at the Al Dhafra and Minhad air bases in the United Arab Emirates. The Iranian military also stated that its Arash attack drones launched another large-scale attack on radar facilities and US personnel concentration areas at the Sheikh Issa air base in Bahrain. The Iranian military stated that this operation was a response to US attacks on "innocent civilians" and accused the US of committing "obvious war crimes" by attacking residential areas and wedding scenes. The Iranian military emphasized that the response to these actions would be "continuous, widespread, and large-scale."Euro Stoxx 50 futures fell 0.36%, German DAX futures fell 0.46%, and UK FTSE 100 futures fell 0.37%.Israel Defense Forces: Israeli soldiers will continue operations in the region and will not allow terrorists in the area to advance and launch attacks against Israeli soldiers.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.