• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On October 12th, French Prime Minister Jean-Claude Le Cornu, who was reappointed by French President Emmanuel Macron as Prime Minister on October 11th local time, stated during a visit to a police station in the Paris suburbs that he currently only wants to focus on resolving Frances political crisis. Given the deep political divisions within Frances political parties, he could be impeached by the National Assembly at any time. Le Cornu declined to specify when he would form a new government or its potential composition, but did indicate that it would not include anyone interested in running in the 2027 presidential election.On the evening of October 12th, local time, Wilders, leader of the far-right Dutch Freedom Party, posted on social media that the Dutch National Intelligence Service had officially informed him that he was being targeted by a terrorist organization. As a result, he had decided to suspend all campaign activities. The Netherlands is set to hold parliamentary elections on October 29th, and Wilderss far-right Freedom Party is currently leading in opinion polls. According to multiple European media reports, the terrorist organization also orchestrated the recent attack on Belgian Prime Minister Thomas de Weve. The Belgian government has arrested two suspects in connection with the case.On October 12, according to the Russian Satellite News Agency, the Afghan Ministry of Defense issued a statement saying that in response to repeated Pakistani airspace incursions and airstrikes, Afghanistan had carried out retaliatory operations against Pakistani security forces along the border. The statement said, "The operation successfully concluded at midnight." The report also warned that "if Pakistan violates Afghan airspace again, the Afghan armed forces will resolutely retaliate to defend the border." Reports indicate that Afghanistan began striking Pakistan on the evening of October 11 in response to attacks in Kabul and Paktika Province in the early morning hours of the 10th. According to Afghanistans Dawn News Network, the conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan has resulted in the deaths of 12 Pakistani soldiers. Reuters also reported that Pakistani security officials alleged that the Afghan side launched unprovoked attacks, with the two sides exchanging fire at more than six locations along the border.On October 12th, local time, senior Hamas official Osama Hamdan announced that 48 Israeli detainees in the Gaza Strip would begin to be released on the morning of the 13th. According to the first phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement, within 72 hours of the Israeli withdrawal, Hamas must release all Israeli detainees in the Gaza Strip and return the remains of those who died. Israel will also release approximately 1,900 Palestinian detainees. Hamas had previously stated that it might be difficult to recover the remains of some of the detainees within the 72-hour deadline, a fact Israel is aware of. It is understood that 20 Israeli detainees remain alive in Gaza, while another 28 have died.On October 11th, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Capital Markets analyst Anita Soni predicted in her latest forecast that gold prices will rise to $4,500 per ounce in 2026 and 2027, before falling back to $4,250 in 2028 and $4,000 in 2029. The analyst stated that she still expects gold to face a positive macroeconomic environment. Uncertainty regarding tariffs will persist, and the negative impact of tariffs implemented to date and those expected to be implemented on consumer purchasing power has yet to fully manifest in the US economy. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve succumbed to Trumps calls for rate cuts earlier than Soni had anticipated. Soni believes that while the rise in gold prices earlier this year was related to rate cuts, the recent parabolic surge stems from concerns about long-term inflation and wealth preservation, as the Feds monetary policy has not specifically focused on long-term inflation.

how to trade market sentiment?

Eden

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

Understand the mood of the market

Emotions are the key to understanding financial markets. However, it's tough to make rational decisions based on them. Even if you think you read your emotions or other peoples emotions, you may get lost in trying to comprehend the feelings of the crowd. And the market sentiment is the emotions of millions of traders around the world. 

Every trader knows the importance of emotions. You can see it in market volatility.

The two most dominant emotions

Fear and greed are the most dominant emotions among traders. They are either afraid of losing money, or they want to earn more. Greed is overwhelming at market peaks when the bubble is created.

On the other hand, fear takes over when the market hits bottom. Traders are panicking underestimating the real value of an asset. A savvy investor can see an opportunity for opening a long position in these situations. However, trading against the trend always involves high risk.

How to identify fear or greed? When you see a trend accelerating breaking new resistance levels without any fundamental explanation - no critical information that would justify it - you may expect the greed is in action. The same mechanism works the other way around with fear. If during a downtrends support levels are broken without an apparent reason, the fear may have taken over.

The market sentiment is very easy to read if you take a look back. Everything seems to be visible. Even if you are new to trading, you can easily spot greed taking over just when the bubble is about to burst. However, at the time of the bubble, hardly anyone notices it, even the wisest and most experienced traders.

It's difficult to profit directly from fear or greed taking over. Even if you can read the past and present sentiment correctly, you need to know what the collective traders' mood will be like tomorrow. Without any insider knowledge or ability to influence the prices with your trading volume it's impossible to do it repetitively.

What is the best market sentiment strategy?

The best market sentiment strategy is keeping away from it. If you don't use the most popular technical analysis tools and don't trade reversals, you can avoid the riskiest moves.

Don't chase the sentiment.Doing so you could develop a sustainable trading strategy with the right mixture of technical and fundamental analysis.