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Market news: U.S. officials will meet with a Ukrainian delegation at 9 a.m. Sunday in South Florida.November 30th - OPEC+ is about to hold a meeting to assess the global oil market. Given the increasingly apparent signs of oversupply, the alliances oil-producing countries are still expected to pause supply increases in the first quarter of next year. Several representatives indicated that the Saudi- and Russian-led alliance is likely to adhere to the plan reached earlier this month to make a modest production increase in December, followed by stable production levels for the first three months of next year. While this pause demonstrates some caution from OPEC and its partners after their rapid resumption of oil production earlier this year, it still leaves the global market facing a significant oversupply in early 2026, potentially putting further pressure on oil prices.Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced that he has appointed former Ukrainian Ambassador to the United States, Irina Markarova, as his advisor on reconstruction and investment.On November 30th, Canadian Solar announced that it plans to adjust its US market business by establishing two new joint ventures, M and N, with its controlling shareholder, Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ). CSI will hold 24.9% of the shares, and CSIQ will hold 75.1%. Company M will focus on the US photovoltaic business, while Company N will focus on the US energy storage business. Simultaneously, the company plans to restructure its US manufacturing plant, with CSIQ holding 75.1% and CSI holding 24.9%, to obtain a one-time equity transfer consideration and subsequent ongoing equity gains from the 24.9% stake in the US business. This transaction and the waiver of commitments have been approved by the board of directors and are subject to shareholder approval.On November 30th, Baili Tianheng announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, SystImmune, recently received a $250 million milestone payment from BMS. According to the cooperation agreement, the company is also eligible for up to $250 million in near-term contingent payments, as well as additional payments of up to $7.1 billion upon achieving specific development, registration, and sales milestones.

US DOLLAR FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST: BULLISH

Alice Wang

Jul 18, 2022 15:20

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After a US inflation data boosted expectations for a Federal Reserve rate rise this week, the US dollar increased and reached levels not seen since September 2002. In June, the consumer price index (CPI) increased by 9.1% as compared to the same month a year before, above the consensus estimate of 8.8%. Core inflation, which excludes the cost of gasoline and food, increased more than was predicted.


According to Fed Funds futures, this raised the likelihood of a 100 basis-point rate rise at the July 27 FOMC meeting to above 50%. These wagers decreased over the weekend but were still larger than they were before to the CPI report. Before the FOMC blackout period started on July 16, representatives from the Federal Reserve assisted in lowering such expectations.


According to the CFTC's most recent Commitments of Traders report, traders reduced their long bets on the US dollar for a second consecutive week. Despite the two-week fall, traders' net long positions in the USD have mainly not changed. The reference period for the data concluded on July 12, leaving markets in the dark about post-CPI positioning.